IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/wly/ijfiec/v30y2025i3p2622-2646.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Patented innovation and left‐tail risk: Evidence from China

Author

Listed:
  • Shaoqing Jia
  • Liuyong Yang
  • Fangzhao Zhou
  • Jiayao Li
  • Yawei Qi

Abstract

This study investigates the impact of patented innovation on the left‐tail risk of stock price, measured as the 1% value at risk (VaR) and expected shortfall (ES). Using the sample of all listed firms in the Chinese A‐share market from 2007 to 2020, we find that the quantity and quality of patents significantly decrease left‐tail risk. Second, the effect is more pronounced for firms in regions with patent pledge systems or stronger intellectual property rights protection. Short‐selling constraints and the engagement of retail investors hinder patented innovation from reducing left‐tail risk. Third, we further explore the mechanisms and find that patented innovation enhances financial performance, mitigates financial constraints, and attracts long‐term institutional investors, thereby decreasing left‐tail risk.

Suggested Citation

  • Shaoqing Jia & Liuyong Yang & Fangzhao Zhou & Jiayao Li & Yawei Qi, 2025. "Patented innovation and left‐tail risk: Evidence from China," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 30(3), pages 2622-2646, July.
  • Handle: RePEc:wly:ijfiec:v:30:y:2025:i:3:p:2622-2646
    DOI: 10.1002/ijfe.3032
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://doi.org/10.1002/ijfe.3032
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1002/ijfe.3032?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Holmstrom, Bengt, 1989. "Agency costs and innovation," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 12(3), pages 305-327, December.
    2. Hall, Bronwyn H., 1999. "Innovation and Market Value," Department of Economics, Working Paper Series qt9f31v1rw, Department of Economics, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley.
    3. Leippold, Markus & Wang, Qian & Zhou, Wenyu, 2022. "Machine learning in the Chinese stock market," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 145(2), pages 64-82.
    4. Chang, Xin & Chen, Yangyang & Wang, Sarah Qian & Zhang, Kuo & Zhang, Wenrui, 2019. "Credit default swaps and corporate innovation," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 134(2), pages 474-500.
    5. Sakaki, Hamid & Jory, Surendranath Rakesh, 2019. "Institutional investors' ownership stability and firms' innovation," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 103(C), pages 10-22.
    6. Hall, B. & Jaffe, A. & Trajtenberg, M., 2001. "The NBER Patent Citations Data File: Lessons, Insights and Methodological Tools," Papers 2001-29, Tel Aviv.
    7. James S. Ang & Yingmei Cheng & Chaopeng Wu, 2014. "Does Enforcement of Intellectual Property Rights Matter in China? Evidence from Financing and Investment Choices in the High-Tech Industry," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 96(2), pages 332-348, May.
    8. Hall, B.H., 1999. "Innovation and Market Value," Economics Papers 1999-w3, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford.
    9. Cui, Xin & Wang, Chunfeng & Liao, Jing & Fang, Zhenming & Cheng, Feiyang, 2021. "Economic policy uncertainty exposure and corporate innovation investment: Evidence from China," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
    10. Lamont, Owen & Polk, Christopher & Saa-Requejo, Jesus, 2001. "Financial Constraints and Stock Returns," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 14(2), pages 529-554.
    11. Kong, Dongmin & Yang, Yiwei & Wang, Qin, 2023. "Innovative efficiency and firm value: Evidence from China," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
    12. Lemley, Mark, 2000. "Rational Ignorance at the Patent Office," Berkeley Olin Program in Law & Economics, Working Paper Series qt1tc166q2, Berkeley Olin Program in Law & Economics.
    13. Kyosev, Georgi & Hanauer, Matthias X. & Huij, Joop & Lansdorp, Simon, 2020. "Does earnings growth drive the quality premium?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).
    14. Wang, Li-Hsun & Fung, Hung-Gay, 2022. "The effect of female CEO and CFO on tail risk and firm value," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 47(PB).
    15. C. Edward Fee & Charles J. Hadlock & Joshua R. Pierce, 2009. "Investment, Financing Constraints, and Internal Capital Markets: Evidence from the Advertising Expenditures of Multinational Firms," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 22(6), pages 2361-2392, June.
    16. Ashish Sood & Gerard J. Tellis, 2009. "Do Innovations Really Pay Off? Total Stock Market Returns to Innovation," Marketing Science, INFORMS, vol. 28(3), pages 442-456, 05-06.
    17. Li, Qingyuan & Li, Si & Xu, Li, 2018. "National elections and tail risk: International evidence," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 113-128.
    18. Jia, Ning, 2018. "Corporate innovation strategy and stock price crash risk," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 155-173.
    19. Vivian W. Fang & Xuan Tian & Sheri Tice, 2014. "Does Stock Liquidity Enhance or Impede Firm Innovation?," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 69(5), pages 2085-2125, October.
    20. Kong, Dongmin & Zhang, Bohui & Zhang, Jian, 2022. "Higher education and corporate innovation," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    21. Kim, Yongtae & Li, Haidan & Li, Siqi, 2014. "Corporate social responsibility and stock price crash risk," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 1-13.
    22. David Dicks & Paolo Fulghieri, 2021. "Uncertainty, Investor Sentiment, and Innovation [Was Prometheus unbound by chance? Risk, diversification, and growth]," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 34(3), pages 1236-1279.
    23. Kong, Dongmin & Shi, Lu & Zhang, Fan, 2021. "Explain or conceal? Causal language intensity in annual report and stock price crash risk," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 715-725.
    24. Mann, William, 2018. "Creditor rights and innovation: Evidence from patent collateral," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 130(1), pages 25-47.
    25. Hee‐Jae Cho & Vladimir Pucik, 2005. "Relationship between innovativeness, quality, growth, profitability, and market value," Strategic Management Journal, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 26(6), pages 555-575, June.
    26. Cragg, John G. & Donald, Stephen G., 1993. "Testing Identifiability and Specification in Instrumental Variable Models," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 9(2), pages 222-240, April.
    27. Jia, Shaoqing & Yang, Liuyong & Zhou, Fangzhao, 2022. "Geopolitical risk and corporate innovation: Evidence from China," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    28. David Audretsch & Alex Coad & Agustí Segarra, 2014. "Firm growth and innovation," Small Business Economics, Springer, vol. 43(4), pages 743-749, December.
    29. Ramana Nanda & Matthew Rhodes-Kropf, 2017. "Financing Risk and Innovation," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 63(4), pages 901-918, April.
    30. Hegde, Shantaram P. & Mishra, Dev R., 2023. "Patented knowledge capital and implied equity risk premium," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 148(C).
    31. Boulton, Thomas J., 2023. "Property rights and access to equity capital in China," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
    32. Hamdi Ben‐Nasr & Lobna Bouslimi & Rui Zhong, 2021. "Do Patented Innovations Reduce Stock Price Crash Risk?," International Review of Finance, International Review of Finance Ltd., vol. 21(1), pages 3-36, March.
    33. Meng, Qingbin & Li, Xinyu & Chan, Kam C. & Gao, Shenghao, 2020. "Does short selling affect a firm's financial constraints?," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
    34. Nana Xu & Zhifang He & Fangzhao Zhou & Wenjie Ding & Jiaqi Chen, 2023. "Mechanisms Underlying Geopolitical Shocks and Stock Price Crash Risk: Evidence from China," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 59(15), pages 4194-4203, December.
    35. Callen, Jeffrey L. & Fang, Xiaohua, 2013. "Institutional investor stability and crash risk: Monitoring versus short-termism?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(8), pages 3047-3063.
    36. Xu, Zhaoxia, 2020. "Economic policy uncertainty, cost of capital, and corporate innovation," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 111(C).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Xiong, Xun & Zhao, Long, 2025. "Manager sentiment and its effect on corporate innovation," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
    2. Hossain, Ashrafee T. & Masum, Abdullah-Al & Xu, Jian, 2023. "COVID-19, a blessing in disguise for the Tech sector: Evidence from stock price crash risk," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    3. Das, Kuntal K. & Yaghoubi, Mona, 2024. "Migration fear and stock price crash risk," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    4. Cui, Xin & Wang, Chunfeng & Sensoy, Ahmet & Liao, Jing & Xie, Xiaochen, 2023. "Economic policy uncertainty and green innovation: Evidence from China," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 118(C).
    5. James A. Brander & Wei Zhang, 2017. "Employee relations and innovation: an empirical analysis using patent data," Economics of Innovation and New Technology, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 26(4), pages 368-384, May.
    6. Daniel Bradley & Incheol Kim & Xuan Tian, 2017. "Do Unions Affect Innovation?," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 63(7), pages 2251-2271, July.
    7. Suyi Zheng & Jiandong Wen, 2023. "How Does Firm-Level Economic Policy Uncertainty Affect Corporate Innovation? Evidence from China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(7), pages 1-23, April.
    8. Rahman, Sohanur & Sinnewe, Elisabeth & Chapple, Larelle, 2024. "Environment-specific political risk discourse and expected crash risk: The role of political activism," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 95(PB).
    9. Chen Lin & Sibo Liu & Gustavo Manso, 2021. "Shareholder Litigation and Corporate Innovation," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 67(6), pages 3346-3367, June.
    10. Chen, Chen & Chen, Yangyang & Hsu, Po-Hsuan & Podolski, Edward J., 2016. "Be nice to your innovators: Employee treatment and corporate innovation performance," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 78-98.
    11. Zaman, Rashid & Atawnah, Nader & Haseeb, Muhammad & Nadeem, Muhammad & Irfan, Saadia, 2021. "Does corporate eco-innovation affect stock price crash risk?," The British Accounting Review, Elsevier, vol. 53(5).
    12. Wang, Jimin & Ho, Choy Yeing (Chloe) & Shan, Yuan George, 2024. "Does cybersecurity risk stifle corporate innovation activities?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    13. Hamdi Ben‐Nasr & Lobna Bouslimi & Rui Zhong, 2021. "Do Patented Innovations Reduce Stock Price Crash Risk?," International Review of Finance, International Review of Finance Ltd., vol. 21(1), pages 3-36, March.
    14. Licheng Zheng & Delong Luo & Ruiqing Jiang & Xiaoyong Lu, 2025. "The Strategy of Speculative Innovation: the Result of Capital Misallocation and Defective Incentive Policy," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 16(3), pages 12317-12363, September.
    15. Deng, Xin & Ali, Hesham & Aboelkheir, Heba, 2025. "Unleashing creative potential: The role of stable institutional ownership in exploratory innovation," Research Policy, Elsevier, vol. 54(3).
    16. Mao, Yifei, 2021. "Managing innovation: The role of collateral," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 72(1).
    17. Pang, Caiji & Wang, Ying, 2020. "Stock pledge, risk of losing control and corporate innovation," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
    18. Huang, Wen & Wu, Ying & Deng, Li, 2021. "Does banking competition stimulate regional innovation? Evidence from China," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    19. Hasan, Iftekhar & (Stan) Hoi, Chun-Keung & Wu, Qiang & Zhang, Hao, 2020. "Is social capital associated with corporate innovation? Evidence from publicly listed firms in the U.S," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    20. Richardson, Grant & Obaydin, Ivan & Liu, Chelsea, 2022. "The effect of accounting fraud on future stock price crash risk," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 117(C).

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:wly:ijfiec:v:30:y:2025:i:3:p:2622-2646. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Wiley Content Delivery (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.interscience.wiley.com/jpages/1076-9307/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.