IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/wly/ijfiec/v30y2025i2p1856-1872.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Green intent or black smoke: Exploring investor sentiment on sustainable development

Author

Listed:
  • Chi Wei Su
  • Xin Yue Song
  • Meng Qin
  • Oana‐Ramona Lobonţ

Abstract

The connections among fossil fuels, green bonds, and investors have undergone a substantial alteration due to the daunting difficulties posed by climate change risks and energy problems. This study employs quantile connection approaches to the dynamic spillover. The results indicate that extreme quantiles exhibit a higher degree of connectivity compared to the average quantile. In severe circumstances, risk spillover primarily emanates from fossil fuels, whereas investor sentiment (IS) is more vulnerable to the impact of related market hazards. The green bond (GBI) experiences a transition in its function, alternating between being a transmitter and a receiver. To summarise, comprehending the interrelation among these variables offers fresh perspectives for investment decision‐making and policy development to facilitate the shift towards sustainable energy and tackle the climate emergency.

Suggested Citation

  • Chi Wei Su & Xin Yue Song & Meng Qin & Oana‐Ramona Lobonţ, 2025. "Green intent or black smoke: Exploring investor sentiment on sustainable development," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 30(2), pages 1856-1872, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:wly:ijfiec:v:30:y:2025:i:2:p:1856-1872
    DOI: 10.1002/ijfe.2998
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://doi.org/10.1002/ijfe.2998
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1002/ijfe.2998?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Pham, Linh & Nguyen, Canh Phuc, 2022. "How do stock, oil, and economic policy uncertainty influence the green bond market?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 45(C).
    2. Diebold, Francis X. & Yılmaz, Kamil, 2014. "On the network topology of variance decompositions: Measuring the connectedness of financial firms," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 182(1), pages 119-134.
    3. Wang, Xiong & Li, Jingyao & Ren, Xiaohang, 2022. "Asymmetric causality of economic policy uncertainty and oil volatility index on time-varying nexus of the clean energy, carbon and green bond," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    4. Qadan, Mahmoud & Nama, Hazar, 2018. "Investor sentiment and the price of oil," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 42-58.
    5. Li, Lei & Yin, Libo & Zhou, Yimin, 2016. "Exogenous shocks and the spillover effects between uncertainty and oil price," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 224-234.
    6. Su, Chi-Wei & Pang, Li-Dong & Qin, Meng & Lobonţ, Oana-Ramona & Umar, Muhammad, 2023. "The spillover effects among fossil fuel, renewables and carbon markets: Evidence under the dual dilemma of climate change and energy crises," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 274(C).
    7. Reboredo, Juan C. & Ugolini, Andrea & Aiube, Fernando Antonio Lucena, 2020. "Network connectedness of green bonds and asset classes," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
    8. Emmanuel Joel Aikins Abakah & Aviral Kumar Tiwari & Chi‐Chuan Lee & Matthew Ntow‐Gyamfi, 2023. "Quantile price convergence and spillover effects among Bitcoin, Fintech, and artificial intelligence stocks," International Review of Finance, International Review of Finance Ltd., vol. 23(1), pages 187-205, March.
    9. Koop, Gary & Pesaran, M. Hashem & Potter, Simon M., 1996. "Impulse response analysis in nonlinear multivariate models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 74(1), pages 119-147, September.
    10. Duan, Xiaoping & Xiao, Ya & Ren, Xiaohang & Taghizadeh-Hesary, Farhad & Duan, Kun, 2023. "Dynamic spillover between traditional energy markets and emerging green markets: Implications for sustainable development," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    11. Francis X. Diebold & Kamil Yilmaz, 2009. "Measuring Financial Asset Return and Volatility Spillovers, with Application to Global Equity Markets," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 119(534), pages 158-171, January.
    12. Barreto, Raul A., 2018. "Fossil fuels, alternative energy and economic growth," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 196-220.
    13. Han, Yingwei & Li, Jie, 2022. "Should investors include green bonds in their portfolios? Evidence for the USA and Europe," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    14. Bouri, Elie & Saeed, Tareq & Vo, Xuan Vinh & Roubaud, David, 2021. "Quantile connectedness in the cryptocurrency market," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    15. Pesaran, H. Hashem & Shin, Yongcheol, 1998. "Generalized impulse response analysis in linear multivariate models," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(1), pages 17-29, January.
    16. Chau, Frankie & Deesomsak, Rataporn & Koutmos, Dimitrios, 2016. "Does investor sentiment really matter?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 221-232.
    17. Adekoya, Oluwasegun B. & Abakah, Emmanuel J.A. & Oliyide, Johnson A. & Luis A, Gil-Alana, 2023. "Factors behind the performance of green bond markets," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 92-106.
    18. Su, Yun Hsuan & Rizvi, Syed Kumail Abbas & Umar, Muhammad & Chang, Hsuling, 2023. "Unveiling the relationship between oil and green bonds: Spillover dynamics and implications," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 127(PA).
    19. Torsten Ehlers & Frank Packer, 2017. "Green bond finance and certification," BIS Quarterly Review, Bank for International Settlements, September.
    20. Pham, Linh & Cepni, Oguzhan, 2022. "Extreme directional spillovers between investor attention and green bond markets," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 186-210.
    21. He, Zhifang, 2020. "Dynamic impacts of crude oil price on Chinese investor sentiment: Nonlinear causality and time-varying effect," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 131-153.
    22. Sangiorgi, Ivan & Schopohl, Lisa, 2021. "Why do institutional investors buy green bonds: Evidence from a survey of European asset managers," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    23. Vishaal Baulkaran, 2019. "Stock market reaction to green bond issuance," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 20(5), pages 331-340, September.
    24. Arif, Muhammad & Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Farid, Saqib & Nepal, Rabindra & Jamasb, Tooraj, 2022. "Diversifier or more? Hedge and safe haven properties of green bonds during COVID-19," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 168(C).
    25. Rehman, Mobeen Ur & Raheem, Ibrahim D. & Zeitun, Rami & Vo, Xuan Vinh & Ahmad, Nasir, 2023. "Do oil shocks affect the green bond market?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C).
    26. Nicholas Apergis & Arusha Cooray & Mobeen Ur Rehman, 2018. "Do Energy Prices Affect U.S. Investor Sentiment?," Journal of Behavioral Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(2), pages 125-140, April.
    27. Jiang, Wei & Dong, Lingfei & Liu, Xinyi, 2023. "How does COVID-19 affect the spillover effects of green finance, carbon markets, and renewable/non-renewable energy markets? Evidence from China," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 281(C).
    28. Imane El Ouadghiri & Mathieu Gomes & Jonathan Peillex & Guillaume Pijourlet, 2022. "Investor Attention to the Fossil Fuel Divestment Movement and Stock Returns," Post-Print hal-03549713, HAL.
    29. Tomohiro Ando & Matthew Greenwood-Nimmo & Yongcheol Shin, 2022. "Quantile Connectedness: Modeling Tail Behavior in the Topology of Financial Networks," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 68(4), pages 2401-2431, April.
    30. Munir Khamis & Dalal Aassouli, 2023. "The Eligibility of Green Bonds as Safe Haven Assets: A Systematic Review," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(8), pages 1-27, April.
    31. Huang, Leping & Zhang, Kuo & Wang, Jingxin & Zhu, Yingfu, 2023. "Examining the interplay of green bonds and fossil fuel markets: The influence of investor sentiments," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 86(PA).
    32. Long, Shaobo & Tian, Hao & Li, Zixuan, 2022. "Dynamic spillovers between uncertainties and green bond markets in the US, Europe, and China: Evidence from the quantile VAR framework," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    33. Diebold, Francis X. & Yilmaz, Kamil, 2012. "Better to give than to receive: Predictive directional measurement of volatility spillovers," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 28(1), pages 57-66.
    34. Liu, Fangying & Su, Chi Wei & Tao, Ran & Umar, Muhammad, 2023. "The instability of U.S. economic policy: A hindrance or a stimulus to green financing?," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 33-46.
    35. Liu, Min, 2022. "The driving forces of green bond market volatility and the response of the market to the COVID-19 pandemic," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 288-309.
    36. Zhu, Zhaobo & Ji, Qiang & Sun, Licheng & Zhai, Pengxiang, 2020. "Oil price shocks, investor sentiment, and asset pricing anomalies in the oil and gas industry," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    37. Baz, Khan & Xu, Deyi & Cheng, Jinhua & Zhu, Yongguang & Huaping, Sun & Ali, Hashmat & Abbas, Khizar & Ali, Imad, 2022. "Effect of mineral resource complexity and fossil fuel consumption on economic growth: A new study based on the product complexity index from emerging Asian economies," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 261(PB).
    38. Imane El Ouadghiri & Mathieu Gomes & Jonathan Peillex & Guillaume Pijourlet, 2022. "Investor Attention to Fossil Fuel Divestment Movement and Stock Returns," The Energy Journal, , vol. 43(6), pages 285-308, November.
    39. Chi Wei Su & Yingfeng Chen & Jinyan Hu & Tsangyao Chang & Muhammad Umar, 2023. "Can the green bond market enter a new era under the fluctuation of oil price?," Economic Research-Ekonomska Istraživanja, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 36(1), pages 536-561, December.
    40. Imane El Ouadghiri & Mathieu Gomes & Jonathan Peillex & Guillaume Pijourlet, 2022. "Investor Attention to Fossil Fuel Divestment Movement and Stock Returns," Post-Print hal-03969308, HAL.
    41. Chen, Jinyu & Liang, Zhipeng & Ding, Qian & Liu, Zhenhua, 2022. "Extreme spillovers among fossil energy, clean energy, and metals markets: Evidence from a quantile-based analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 107(C).
    42. Chaofeng Tang & Kentaka Aruga & Yi Hu, 2023. "The Dynamic Correlation and Volatility Spillover among Green Bonds, Clean Energy Stock, and Fossil Fuel Market," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(8), pages 1-23, April.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Mensi, Walid & Selmi, Refk & Al-Kharusi, Sami & Belghouthi, Houssem Eddine & Kang, Sang Hoon, 2024. "Connectedness between green bonds, conventional bonds, oil, heating oil, natural gas, and petrol: new evidence during bear and bull market scenarios," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    2. Wei Su, Chi & Yue Song, Xin & Qin, Meng & Lobonţ, Oana-Ramona & Umar, Muhammad, 2024. "Optimistic or pessimistic: How do investors impact the green bond market?," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    3. Wang, Mei-Chih & Jiang, Peiyun & Chang, Tsangyao, 2025. "Re-examining China and the u.s.’s respective green bond markets in extreme conditions: Evidence from quantile connectedness," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 75(PA).
    4. Qi, Xiaohong & Zhang, Guofu, 2022. "Dynamic connectedness of China’s green bonds and asset classes," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    5. Khalfaoui, Rabeh & Mefteh-Wali, Salma & Dogan, Buhari & Ghosh, Sudeshna, 2023. "Extreme spillover effect of COVID-19 pandemic-related news and cryptocurrencies on green bond markets: A quantile connectedness analysis," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
    6. El Khoury, Rim & Alshater, Muneer M. & Li, Yanshuang & Xiong, Xiong, 2024. "Quantile time-frequency connectedness among G7 stock markets and clean energy markets," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 71-90.
    7. Yang, Yajie & Zhao, Longfeng & Chen, Lin & Wang, Chao & Wang, Gang-Jin, 2025. "The spillover effects between renewable energy tokens and energy assets," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    8. Yousaf, Imran & Ijaz, Muhammad Shahzad & Umar, Muhammad & Li, Yanshuang, 2024. "Exploring volatility interconnections between AI tokens, AI stocks, and fossil fuel markets: evidence from time and frequency-based connectedness analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    9. Zhou, Xiaoran & Enilov, Martin & Parhi, Mamata, 2024. "Does oil spin the commodity wheel? Quantile connectedness with a common factor error structure across energy and agricultural markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    10. Ghosh, Bikramaditya & Pham, Linh & Teplova, Tamara & Umar, Zaghum, 2023. "COVID-19 and the quantile connectedness between energy and metal markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C).
    11. Yousaf, Imran & Jareño, Francisco & Martínez-Serna, María-Isabel, 2023. "Extreme spillovers between insurance tokens and insurance stocks: Evidence from the quantile connectedness approach," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 39(C).
    12. Urom, C. & Ndubuisi, Gideon & Guesmi, K., 2022. "Quantile return and volatility connectedness among Non-Fungible Tokens (NFTs) and (un)conventional asset," MERIT Working Papers 2022-017, United Nations University - Maastricht Economic and Social Research Institute on Innovation and Technology (MERIT).
    13. Xu, Danyang & Hu, Yang & Corbet, Shaen & Hou, Yang (Greg) & Oxley, Les, 2024. "Green bonds and traditional and emerging investments: Understanding connectedness during crises," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    14. Siddique, Md. Abubakar & Nobanee, Haitham & Hasan, Md. Bokhtiar & Uddin, Gazi Salah & Nahiduzzaman, Md., 2024. "Is investing in green assets costlier? Green vs. non-green financial assets," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 1460-1481.
    15. Ghosh, Bikramaditya & Pham, Linh & Gubareva, Mariya & Teplova, Tamara, 2023. "Energy transition metals and global sentiment: Evidence from extreme quantiles," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 86(PA).
    16. Aysan, Ahmet Faruk & Batten, Jonathan & Gozgor, Giray & Khalfaoui, Rabeh & Nanaeva, Zhamal, 2024. "Metaverse and financial markets: A quantile-time-frequency connectedness analysis," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 72(PB).
    17. Alomari, Mohammed & Belghouthi, Houssem Eddine & Mensi, Walid & Vo, Xuan Vinh & Kang, Sang Hoon, 2024. "Extreme time-frequency connectedness between energy sector markets and financial markets," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 847-877.
    18. Koulmas, Pavlos & Konstantakis, Konstantinos N. & Michaelides, Panayotis G. & Karadimitropoulou, Aikaterini & Karkalakos, Sotiris, 2024. "Energy firms in China towards resilience: A dynamic quantile connectedness approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    19. Jareño, Francisco & Yousaf, Imran, 2023. "Artificial intelligence-based tokens: Fresh evidence of connectedness with artificial intelligence-based equities," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    20. Arif, Muhammad & Hasan, Mudassar & Alawi, Suha M. & Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr, 2021. "COVID-19 and time-frequency connectedness between green and conventional financial markets," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 49(C).

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:wly:ijfiec:v:30:y:2025:i:2:p:1856-1872. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Wiley Content Delivery (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.interscience.wiley.com/jpages/1076-9307/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.