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Followers of the pied piper of pensioners

Author

Listed:
  • Conrado Cuevas
  • Dan Bernhardt
  • Mario Sanclemente

Abstract

Using survey and administrative data, we study followers of H&L, a massively popular Chilean pension advisor, establishing that financial literacy is not a panacea for poor retirement decision‐making. We detail the dynamics of who followed H&L and why. H&L differentially drew financially sophisticated investors, and exposure to H&L causally increased financial sophistication. Nonetheless, followers earned mean annual returns below all buy‐and‐hold strategies and were aware of this underperformance. Moreover, performance did not materially affect renewal rates. Most followers renew, citing high returns, loss minimization and trust as reasons for following. We show followers gained information about financial matters that had clear, tangible value, and they acted on this information. We posit that followers attributed this to H&L's skill, thus continuing to follow despite the underperformance. Les adeptes du joueur de flûte des retraités. À l'aide de données d'enquête et de données administratives, nous étudions les adeptes de Felices y Forrados (FyF, qui signifie en français « heureux et plein aux as »), une société de conseil en retraite chilienne très populaire, et établissons que la culture financière n'est pas une panacée contre les mauvaises décisions en matière de retraite. Nous décrivons en détail la dynamique des personnes qui ont suivi FyF et les raisons pour lesquelles elles l'ont fait. FyF a attiré de façon différentielle des investisseurs financièrement sophistiqués, et l'exposition à FyF a causalement augmenté la sophistication financière. Néanmoins, les adeptes ont obtenu des rendements annuels moyens inférieurs à toutes les stratégies d'achat à long terme et étaient conscients de ce sous‐rendement. En outre, le rendement n'a pas eu d'incidence notable sur les taux de renouvellement. La plupart des adeptes ont renouvelé leur adhésion en invoquant des rendements élevés, des pertes minimes et la confiance comme raisons. Nous montrons que les adeptes ont obtenu des renseignements sur les questions financières qui avaient une valeur claire et tangible et qu'ils ont agi en fonction de ces renseignements. Nous supposons que les adeptes ont attribué ce résultat à la compétence de FyF, et ont donc continué de suivre ses conseils malgré le sous‐rendement.

Suggested Citation

  • Conrado Cuevas & Dan Bernhardt & Mario Sanclemente, 2023. "Followers of the pied piper of pensioners," Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d'économique, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 56(4), pages 1517-1550, November.
  • Handle: RePEc:wly:canjec:v:56:y:2023:i:4:p:1517-1550
    DOI: 10.1111/caje.12684
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