IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/wei/journl/v11y2021i1p2-10.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Extreme Value Theory and COVID-19 Pandemic: Evidence from India

Author

Listed:
  • Maaz Khan

    (Comsats University Islamabad, Islamabad, Pakistan)

  • Faheem Aslam

    (Comsats University Islamabad, Islamabad, Pakistan)

  • Paulo Ferreira

    (University of Évora, Évora, Portugal, and VALORIZA, Research Center for Endogenous Resource Valorization, Portalegre, Portugal)

Abstract

The COVID-19 pandemic has become major problem for financial markets and world economy. In this paper we investigated the extreme tail behavior of NIFTY 50 index during the COVID-19 pandemic. The extreme behavior of the stock market is examined through GPD model by suing high frequency data (5-min interval) of log returns ranging from 11th March 2020 to 30th Sept 2020 which provide more precise description of NIFTY 50 tail distribution in the pandemic period. The result indicates GPD give a real picture of uncertainties associated with COVID-19. The finding of study will assist in decision making to monitor COVID-19 impact on financial markets.

Suggested Citation

  • Maaz Khan & Faheem Aslam & Paulo Ferreira, 2021. "Extreme Value Theory and COVID-19 Pandemic: Evidence from India," Economic Research Guardian, Weissberg Publishing, vol. 11(1), pages 2-10, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:wei:journl:v:11:y:2021:i:1:p:2-10
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.ecrg.ro/files/p2021.11(1)4y1.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Bhaskar Chhimwal & Varadraj Bapat & David McMillan, 2020. "Impact of foreign and domestic investment in stock market volatility: Empirical evidence from India," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 8(1), pages 1754321-175, January.
    2. Alexakis, Christos & Eleftheriou, Konstantinos & Patsoulis, Patroklos, 2021. "COVID-19 containment measures and stock market returns: An international spatial econometrics investigation," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(C).
    3. Aslam, Faheem & Aziz, Saqib & Nguyen, Duc Khuong & Mughal, Khurrum S. & Khan, Maaz, 2020. "On the efficiency of foreign exchange markets in times of the COVID-19 pandemic," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 161(C).
    4. Scott R Baker & Nicholas Bloom & Steven J Davis & Kyle Kost & Marco Sammon & Tasaneeya Viratyosin & Jeffrey Pontiff, 0. "The Unprecedented Stock Market Reaction to COVID-19," The Review of Asset Pricing Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 10(4), pages 742-758.
    5. Acerbi, Carlo & Tasche, Dirk, 2002. "On the coherence of expected shortfall," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 26(7), pages 1487-1503, July.
    6. Faheem Aslam & Wahbeeah Mohti & Paulo Ferreira, 2020. "Evidence of Intraday Multifractality in European Stock Markets during the Recent Coronavirus (COVID-19) Outbreak," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 8(2), pages 1-13, May.
    7. Conghui Chen & Lanlan Liu & Ningru Zhao, 2020. "Fear Sentiment, Uncertainty, and Bitcoin Price Dynamics: The Case of COVID-19," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 56(10), pages 2298-2309, August.
    8. Erdem, Orhan, 2020. "Freedom and stock market performance during Covid-19 outbreak," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 36(C).
    9. Ashraf, Badar Nadeem, 2020. "Stock markets’ reaction to COVID-19: Cases or fatalities?," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Liu, Zhifeng & Huynh, Toan Luu Duc & Dai, Peng-Fei, 2021. "The impact of COVID-19 on the stock market crash risk in China," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
    2. Louhichi, Waël & Ftiti, Zied & Ameur, Hachmi Ben, 2021. "Measuring the global economic impact of the coronavirus outbreak: Evidence from the main cluster countries," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 167(C).
    3. Ștefan Cristian Gherghina & Daniel Ștefan Armeanu & Camelia Cătălina Joldeș, 2020. "Stock Market Reactions to COVID-19 Pandemic Outbreak: Quantitative Evidence from ARDL Bounds Tests and Granger Causality Analysis," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 17(18), pages 1-35, September.
    4. Bazán-Palomino, Walter & Winkelried, Diego, 2021. "FX markets’ reactions to COVID-19: Are they different?," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 167(C), pages 50-58.
    5. Díaz, Fernando & Henríquez, Pablo A. & Winkelried, Diego, 2022. "Stock market volatility and the COVID-19 reproductive number," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
    6. Huynh, Toan Luu Duc & Foglia, Matteo & Nasir, Muhammad Ali & Angelini, Eliana, 2021. "Feverish sentiment and global equity markets during the COVID-19 pandemic," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 188(C), pages 1088-1108.
    7. Rouatbi, Wael & Demir, Ender & Kizys, Renatas & Zaremba, Adam, 2021. "Immunizing markets against the pandemic: COVID-19 vaccinations and stock volatility around the world," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    8. Ashraf, Badar Nadeem, 2021. "Stock markets’ reaction to Covid-19: Moderating role of national culture," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 41(C).
    9. Fernandes, Leonardo H.S. & Silva, José W.L. & de Araujo, Fernando H.A. & Ferreira, Paulo & Aslam, Faheem & Tabak, Benjamin Miranda, 2022. "Interplay multifractal dynamics among metal commodities and US-EPU," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 606(C).
    10. Jialei Jiang & Eun-Mi Park & Seong-Taek Park, 2021. "The Impact of the COVID-19 on Economic Sustainability—A Case Study of Fluctuation in Stock Prices for China and South Korea," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(12), pages 1-17, June.
    11. Claudiu Tiberiu Albulescu & Eugenia Grecu, 2023. "Government Interventions and Sovereign Bond Market Volatility during COVID-19: A Quantile Analysis," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(5), pages 1-14, February.
    12. Ashraf, Badar Nadeem & Goodell, John W., 2022. "The impact of social cohesion on stock market resilience: Evidence from COVID-19," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(C).
    13. Giovanni Cardillo & Ennio Bendinelli & Giuseppe Torluccio, 2023. "COVID‐19, ESG investing, and the resilience of more sustainable stocks: Evidence from European firms," Business Strategy and the Environment, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 32(1), pages 602-623, January.
    14. Gu, Xin & Zhang, Weiqiang & Cheng, Sang, 2021. "How do investors in Chinese stock market react to external uncertainty? An event study to the Sino-US disputes," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    15. Ozkan, Oktay, 2021. "Impact of COVID-19 on stock market efficiency: Evidence from developed countries," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    16. Padhan, Rakesh & Prabheesh, K.P., 2021. "The economics of COVID-19 pandemic: A survey," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 220-237.
    17. Yarovaya, Larisa & Brzeszczyński, Janusz & Goodell, John W. & Lucey, Brian & Lau, Chi Keung Marco, 2022. "Rethinking financial contagion: Information transmission mechanism during the COVID-19 pandemic," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    18. Demir, Ender & Danisman, Gamze Ozturk, 2021. "Banking sector reactions to COVID-19: The role of bank-specific factors and government policy responses," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    19. Størdal, Ståle & Lien, Gudbrand & Mydland, Ørjan & Haugom, Erik, 2021. "Effects of strong and weak non-pharmaceutical interventions on stock market returns: A comparative analysis of Norway and Sweden during the initial phase of the COVID-19 pandemic," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 341-350.
    20. Katarzyna Czech & Michał Wielechowski, 2021. "Is the Alternative Energy Sector COVID-19 Resistant? Comparison with the Conventional Energy Sector: Markov-Switching Model Analysis of Stock Market Indices of Energy Companies," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(4), pages 1-17, February.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    COVID-19; Extreme Value Theory; Generalized Pareto Distribution; Value at Risk; NIFTY 50;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C55 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Large Data Sets: Modeling and Analysis
    • C58 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Financial Econometrics
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:wei:journl:v:11:y:2021:i:1:p:2-10. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Mihai Mutascu (email available below). General contact details of provider: .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.