IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/vls/finstu/v20y2016i3p95-107.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

The Impact Of The Domestic And Foreign Macroeconomic News Announcements On The Turkish Stock Market

Author

Listed:
  • GOK, Ibrahim Yasar

    (Department of Banking and Finance, Suleyman Demirel University, Isparta, Turkey)

  • TOPUZ, Sefa

    (Department of International Trade, Gazi University, Ankara, Turkey)

Abstract

This study investigates the impacts of the US and domestic macroeconomic news announcements on the Turkish stock market volatility. We analyze the GARCH volatilities behaviour of Borsa Istanbul (BIST) 100 stock index around announcement and nonannouncement days. We test 13 US and 8 Turkish macroeconomic news announcements and used daily data for the period 01.04.201012.31.2015. We find that both US and Turkish GDP news announcements and also US new residential sales have significant impacts by increasing the volatility, which indicates the increasing uncertainty in these news announcements days. On the other hand, the total US and total domestic macroeconomic news effects do not have significant impacts on the BIST 100 volatility. Since the world stock markets integration can be investigated with respect to the macroeconomic news announcements of developed markets, our results indicate that Turkish stock market is less integrated and suggest portfolio diversification opportunities for international investors regarding Turkish stock market.

Suggested Citation

  • GOK, Ibrahim Yasar & TOPUZ, Sefa, 2016. "The Impact Of The Domestic And Foreign Macroeconomic News Announcements On The Turkish Stock Market," Studii Financiare (Financial Studies), Centre of Financial and Monetary Research "Victor Slavescu", vol. 20(3), pages 95-107.
  • Handle: RePEc:vls:finstu:v:20:y:2016:i:3:p:95-107
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: ftp://www.eadr.ro/RePEc/vls/vls_pdf/vol20i3p95-107.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Pearce, Douglas K & Roley, V Vance, 1985. "Stock Prices and Economic News," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 58(1), pages 49-67, January.
    2. Birz, Gene & Lott Jr., John R., 2011. "The effect of macroeconomic news on stock returns: New evidence from newspaper coverage," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 35(11), pages 2791-2800, November.
    3. Jan Hanousek & Evžen Kočenda, 2011. "Foreign News and Spillovers in Emerging European Stock Markets," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 19(1), pages 170-188, February.
    4. David Büttner & Bernd Hayo & Matthias Neuenkirch, 2012. "The impact of foreign macroeconomic news on financial markets in the Czech Republic, Hungary, and Poland," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 39(1), pages 19-44, February.
    5. Jon Wongswan, 2006. "Transmission of Information across International Equity Markets," Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 19(4), pages 1157-1189.
    6. Andersen, Torben G. & Bollerslev, Tim & Diebold, Francis X. & Vega, Clara, 2007. "Real-time price discovery in global stock, bond and foreign exchange markets," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 73(2), pages 251-277, November.
    7. Michael Ehrmann & Marcel Fratzscher, 2009. "Global Financial Transmission of Monetary Policy Shocks," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 71(6), pages 739-759, December.
    8. Suk-Joong Kim, 2018. "The Spillover Effects of US and Japanese Public Information News in Advanced Asia-Pacific Stock Markets," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Information Spillovers and Market Integration in International Finance Empirical Analyses, chapter 6, pages 175-201, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    9. Suk-Joong Kim & Michael D. McKenzie & Robert W. Faff, 2018. "Macroeconomic News Announcements and the Role of Expectations: Evidence for US Bond, Stock and Foreign Exchange Markets," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Information Spillovers and Market Integration in International Finance Empirical Analyses, chapter 5, pages 151-174, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    10. Tho Nguyen & Chau Ngo, 2014. "Impacts of the US macroeconomic news on Asian stock markets," Journal of Risk Finance, Emerald Group Publishing, vol. 15(2), pages 149-179, March.
    11. Brenner, Menachem & Pasquariello, Paolo & Subrahmanyam, Marti, 2009. "On the Volatility and Comovement of U.S. Financial Markets around Macroeconomic News Announcements," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 44(6), pages 1265-1289, December.
    12. Mark J. Flannery & Aris A. Protopapadakis, 2002. "Macroeconomic Factors Do Influence Aggregate Stock Returns," Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 15(3), pages 751-782.
    13. Nikkinen, Jussi & Omran, Mohammed & Sahlstrom, Petri & Aijo, Janne, 2006. "Global stock market reactions to scheduled U.S. macroeconomic news announcements," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 17(1), pages 92-104, September.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Jan Hanousek & Evžen Kočenda, 2011. "Foreign News and Spillovers in Emerging European Stock Markets," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 19(1), pages 170-188, February.
    2. Anderson, Hamish D. & Balli, Faruk & Godber, Cara, 2018. "The effect of macroeconomic announcements at a sectoral level in the US and European Union," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 256-272.
    3. Akhtar, Shumi & Akhtar, Farida & Jahromi, Maria & John, Kose, 2017. "Impact of interest rate surprises on Islamic and conventional stocks and bonds," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 218-231.
    4. Jan Hanousek & Evžen Kočenda, 2010. "Vliv vnitrodenních makroekonomických zpráv na akciové trhy nových států EU [Effect of Intraday Information Flow on the Emerging European Stock Markets]," Politická ekonomie, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2010(4), pages 435-457.
    5. Caporale, Guglielmo Maria & Spagnolo, Fabio & Spagnolo, Nicola, 2016. "Macro news and stock returns in the Euro area: A VAR-GARCH-in-mean analysis," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 180-188.
    6. Hanousek, Jan & Kocenda, Evzen & Kutan, Ali M., 2009. "The reaction of asset prices to macroeconomic announcements in new EU markets: Evidence from intraday data," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 5(2), pages 199-219, June.
    7. Grigaliuniene, Zana & Celov, Dmitrij & Hartwell, Christopher A., 2020. "The more the Merrier? The reaction of euro area stock markets to new members," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    8. Vrugt, Evert B., 2009. "U.S. and Japanese macroeconomic news and stock market volatility in Asia-Pacific," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 17(5), pages 611-627, November.
    9. Birz, Gene & Lott Jr., John R., 2011. "The effect of macroeconomic news on stock returns: New evidence from newspaper coverage," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 35(11), pages 2791-2800, November.
    10. Kim, Suk-Joong & Salem, Leith & Wu, Eliza, 2015. "The role of macroeconomic news in sovereign CDS markets: Domestic and spillover news effects from the U.S., the Eurozone and China," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 18(C), pages 208-224.
    11. Singh, Manohar & Nejadmalayeri, Ali & Lucey, Brian, 2013. "Do U.S. macroeconomic surprises influence equity returns? An exploratory analysis of developed economies," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 53(4), pages 476-485.
    12. Tarciso Gouveia da Silva & Osmani Teixeira de Carvalho Guillén & George Augusto Noronha Morcerf & Andre de Melo Modenesi, 2020. "Effects of Monetary Policy News on Financial Assets: evidence from Brazil on a bivariate VAR-GARCH model (2006-17)," Working Papers Series 536, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
    13. Abasov, Muzaffar, 2018. "Analyses of the impacts of U.S. macroeconomic announcements on the stock markets of a selection of countries," MPRA Paper 104267, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    14. Ikizlerli, Deniz & Holmes, Phil & Anderson, Keith, 2019. "The response of different investor types to macroeconomic news," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 13-28.
    15. Birz, Gene, 2017. "Stale economic news, media and the stock market," Journal of Economic Psychology, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 87-102.
    16. Laura Wallenius & Elena Fedorova & Sheraz Ahmed & Mikael Collan, 2017. "Surprise Effect of Euro Area Macroeconomic Announcements on CIVETS Stock Markets," Prague Economic Papers, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2017(1), pages 55-71.
    17. Medovikov, Ivan, 2016. "When does the stock market listen to economic news? New evidence from copulas and news wires," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 27-40.
    18. Kim, Suk-Joong & Nguyen, Do Quoc Tho, 2009. "The spillover effects of target interest rate news from the U.S. Fed and the European Central Bank on the Asia-Pacific stock markets," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 19(3), pages 415-431, July.
    19. Imane El Ouadghiri & Valérie Mignon & Nicolas Boitout, 2016. "On the impact of macroeconomic news surprises on Treasury-bond returns," Annals of Finance, Springer, vol. 12(1), pages 29-53, February.
    20. Nave, Juan M. & Ruiz, Javier, 2015. "Risk aversion and monetary policy in a global context," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 20(C), pages 14-35.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    US macroeconomic news; Turkish macroeconomic news; Turkish stock market; volatility; stock market integration; GARCH;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:vls:finstu:v:20:y:2016:i:3:p:95-107. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: . General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/cfiarro.html .

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Daniel Mateescu (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/cfiarro.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service hosted by the Research Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis . RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.