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The Stock Market Relationship between Turkey and the United States under Unionisation

Author

Listed:
  • Ugur Ergun

    (Management Department, Faculty of Economics, International Burch University, Bosnia Herzegovina)

  • Abu Hassan Shaari Mohd Nor

    (School of Economics Studies, Faculty of Economics and Management, Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia, 43600 Bangi Selangor, Malaysia)

Abstract

The main aim of this paper is to investigate the dynamic relationship and volatility spillover between the stock markets in Turkey and the United States under the conditions for Turkey's accession to the European Union. This study uses bivariate cointegration, ECM, CGARCH and threshold cointegration for daily data spanning from 1988 to 2008. The presence of nonlinear error correction terms is evaluated using threshold cointegration. Our empirical findings indicate that (a) there were strong dynamic linkages between the Istanbul Stock Exchange and National Association of Securities Dealers Automated Quotation (NASDAQ) after the Custom Union Agreement between Turkey and the European Union was signed, (b) threshold and negative error correction effects exist during the full sample period and (c) significant volatility spillovers exist from NASDAQ to the Istanbul Stock Exchange for the full sample period.

Suggested Citation

  • Ugur Ergun & Abu Hassan Shaari Mohd Nor, 2010. "The Stock Market Relationship between Turkey and the United States under Unionisation," Asian Academy of Management Journal of Accounting and Finance (AAMJAF), Penerbit Universiti Sains Malaysia, vol. 6(2), pages 19-33.
    • Handle: RePEc:usm:journl:aamjaf00602_19-33
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    File URL: http://web.usm.my/journal/aamjaf/vol6-2-2010/6-2-2.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Engle, Robert F. & White (the late), Halbert (ed.), 1999. "Cointegration, Causality, and Forecasting: Festschrift in Honour of Clive W. J. Granger," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780198296836, Decembrie.
    2. Onay, Ceylan, 2006. "A Co-integration Analysis Approach to European Union Integration: The Case of Acceding and Candidate Countries," European Integration online Papers (EIoP), European Community Studies Association Austria (ECSA-A), vol. 10, September.
    3. Arshanapalli, Bala & Doukas, John & Lang, Larry H. P., 1995. "Pre and post-October 1987 stock market linkages between U.S. and Asian markets," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 3(1), pages 57-73, May.
    4. Ali F. Darrat & Omar M. Benkato, 2003. "Interdependence and Volatility Spillovers Under Market Liberalization: The Case of Istanbul Stock Exchange," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 30(7‐8), pages 1089-1114, September.
    5. Mansor Ibrahim, 2006. "Integration or Segmentation of the Malaysian Equity Market: An Analysis of Pre- and Post-Capital Controls," Journal of the Asia Pacific Economy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 11(4), pages 424-443.
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    Cited by:

    1. Muhammad Hanif & Ariba Sabah, 2020. "Stock Markets’ Integration in Post Financial Crisis Era: Evidence from Literature," Capital Markets Review, Malaysian Finance Association, vol. 28(2), pages 43-71.
    2. Amira Akl Ahmed & Doaa Akl Ahmed, 2016. "Modelling Conditional Volatility and Downside Risk for Istanbul Stock Exchange," Working Papers 1028, Economic Research Forum, revised Jul 2016.

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