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Volatility Spillovers in East Asian Financial Markets: A Mem-Based Approach

  • Robert F. Engle

    (Stern School of Business, New York University)

  • Giampiero M. Gallo

    (Università di Firenze and FEDRA)

  • Margherita Velucchi

    (Università di Firenze)

We model the interrelations of equity market volatility in eight East Asian countries before, during, and after the Asian currency crisis. Using a new class of asymmetric volatility multiplicative error models based on the daily range, we find that dynamic propagation of volatility shocks occurs through a network of interdependencies, and shocks originating in Hong Kong may be amplified in their transmission throughout the system, posing greater risks to the region than shocks originating elsewhere. Although this partly explains the severity of the currency crisis, we also find evidence that parameters shifted, making the system more unstable during the crisis. © 2011 The President and Fellows of Harvard College and the Massachusetts Institute of Technology.

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Article provided by MIT Press in its journal Review of Economics and Statistics.

Volume (Year): 94 (2012)
Issue (Month): 1 (February)
Pages: 222-223

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Handle: RePEc:tpr:restat:v:94:y:2012:i:1:p:222-223
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  1. Fabrizio Cipollini & Robert F. Engle & Giampiero M. Gallo, 2006. "Vector Multiplicative Error Models: Representation and Inference," NBER Technical Working Papers 0331, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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