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The Displacement and Multiplier Effects of Regional Selective Assistance: A Computable General Equilibrium Analysis

Listed author(s):
  • Gary Gillespie
  • Peter Mcgregor
  • J. Kim Swales
  • Ya Ping Yin

This paper uses a hybrid approach to simulate the effects of Regional Selective Assistance (RSA) for Scotland. This combines 'industrial survey' estimation of the direct impacts and computable general equilibrium (CGE) modelling of the system-wide effects. The results are compared to those derived using the method currently adopted in official evaluation studies of RSA and other regional regeneration policy instruments. The CGE approach captures capacity, labour market displacement and migration effects ignored in existing studies. Simulation identifies the conditions under which these effects are likely to be quantitatively important. A partir d'une facon hybride, cet article cherche a simuler pour l'Ecosse l'impact des primes regionales. Une estimation des effets directs a partir d'une enquete aupres de l'industrie se voit allier a la modelisation des effets generalises par une analyse d'equilibre general sur ordinateur. On compare les resultats a ceux qui proviennent des methodes employees actuellement dans les etudes officielles qui evaluent l'impact des primes regionales et d'autres incitations a finalite regionale. L'analyse d'equilibre general sur ordinateur saisit les effets de capacite, de deplacement du marche du travail et de migration dont les etudes anterieures ne tiennent pas compte. La simulation identifie les conditions selon lesquelles ces effets risquent d'etre quantitativement importants. Dieser Aufsatz benutzt eine Mischform des Ansatzes, um die Wirkung regionaler selektiver Hilfeleistung (Regional Selective Assistance= RSA) fur Schottland zu simulieren. Hierbei werden industrielle Ubersichtsschatzungen unmittelbare Auswirkungen mit der berechenbaren Erstellung des allgemeinen Equilibriums (Computable General Equilibrium= CGE) der Wirkungen kombiniert, die das gesamte System betreffen. Die Ergebnisse werden mit denen verglichen, die unter Benutzung der gegenwartig in offiziellen Bewertungsstudien der RSA und anderen Instrumenten der regionalen Regenerationspolitik benutzt werden. Der CGE Ansatz erfasst Kapazitat, Arbeitsmarkverschiebungen und Wanderungseffekte, die bereits vorhandene Studien vernachlassigt hatten. Simulation identifiziert die Bedingungen, unter denen diese Effekte von quantitativer Bedeutung sein konnten.

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Article provided by Taylor & Francis Journals in its journal Regional Studies.

Volume (Year): 35 (2001)
Issue (Month): 2 ()
Pages: 125-139

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Handle: RePEc:taf:regstd:v:35:y:2001:i:2:p:125-139
DOI: 10.1080/00343400120033115
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  1. Layard, Richard & Nickell, Stephen & Jackman, Richard, 2005. "Unemployment: Macroeconomic Performance and the Labour Market," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780199279173.
  2. Greenwood, Michael J, et al, 1991. "Migration, Regional Equilibrium, and the Estimation of Compensating Differentials," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 81(5), pages 1382-1390, December.
  3. repec:ilo:ilowps:296480 is not listed on IDEAS
  4. Mark D. Partridge & Dan S. Rickman, 1998. "Regional Computable General Equilibrium Modeling: A Survey and Critical Appraisal," International Regional Science Review, , vol. 21(3), pages 205-248, December.
  5. Green, G.R., 1993. "An Incomplete Information Core of Dynamic Economy," UWO Department of Economics Working Papers 9314, University of Western Ontario, Department of Economics.
  6. Treyz, George I, et al, 1993. "The Dynamics of U.S. Internal Migration," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 75(2), pages 209-214, May.
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