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Do frontier equity markets exhibit common trends and still provide diversification opportunities?

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  • William Miles

Abstract

Many small, frontier equity markets in regions such as Africa and Eastern Europe have opened in recent years. As in other larger emerging markets, important issues for investors are the extent of financial integration with exchanges in other countries and, if some reasonable degree of integration is found, whether such markets still provide diversification opportunities. Here, we will examine a frequently used metric of integration by testing for the existence of common trends, or cointegration, in these frontier markets. While common stochastic trends are found, results show that coefficients on cointegrating vectors are at times negative, and reaction to deviations from the long-run trend are often slow, thus indicating that frontier markets are a good source of diversification opportunities despite a degree of integration.

Suggested Citation

  • William Miles, 2005. "Do frontier equity markets exhibit common trends and still provide diversification opportunities?," International Economic Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(3), pages 473-482.
  • Handle: RePEc:taf:intecj:v:19:y:2005:i:3:p:473-482
    DOI: 10.1080/10168730500199475
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. de Groot, Wilma & Pang, Juan & Swinkels, Laurens, 2012. "The cross-section of stock returns in frontier emerging markets," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 19(5), pages 796-818.
    2. Chen, Mei-Ping & Chen, Pei-Fen & Lee, Chien-Chiang, 2014. "Frontier stock market integration and the global financial crisis," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 84-103.
    3. Camilleri, Silvio John & Galea, Gabriella, 2009. "The Diversification Potential Offered by Emerging Markets in Recent Years," MPRA Paper 62491, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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