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Does the Euro affect the dynamic interactions of stock markets in Europe? Evidence from France, Germany and Italy

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  • Frank Westermann

Abstract

The dynamic links between stock market indices are analyzed in a GARCH-M framework, using daily data from France, Germany, Italy and the USA. It is shown that indices in the periods before and after the introduction of the Euro as a single currency display a very distinct behaviour. Consistent with the literature, in the earlier period price changes are found to have an impact the next day on other markets. In the latter period this type of co-movement disappeared within Europe. Feedback trading has been shown to induce (negative) autocorrelation in national stock markets. In this paper an international version of the feedback trading model is used to illustrate that the lead-lag relationships across countries and the strength of these links depend on the currency regime.

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  • Frank Westermann, 2004. "Does the Euro affect the dynamic interactions of stock markets in Europe? Evidence from France, Germany and Italy," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 10(2), pages 139-148.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:eurjfi:v:10:y:2004:i:2:p:139-148
    DOI: 10.1080/1351847032000143378
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    1. Alenka Kavkler & Mejra Festić, 2011. "Modelling Stock Exchange Index Returns in Different GDP Growth Regimes," Prague Economic Papers, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2011(1), pages 3-22.
    2. Tomoe Moore, 2007. "Has entry to the European Union altered the dynamic links of stock returns for the emerging markets?," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(17), pages 1431-1446.
    3. Sangita Choudhary & Shelly Singhal, 2020. "International linkages of Indian equity market: evidence from panel co-integration approach," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 21(4), pages 333-341, July.
    4. Huyghebaert, Nancy & Wang, Lihong, 2010. "The co-movement of stock markets in East Asia: Did the 1997-1998 Asian financial crisis really strengthen stock market integration?," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 21(1), pages 98-112, March.
    5. Bartram, Sohnke M. & Taylor, Stephen J. & Wang, Yaw-Huei, 2007. "The Euro and European financial market dependence," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 31(5), pages 1461-1481, May.
    6. Lupu, Dan & Asandului, Mircea, 2014. "Considerations on the relantionship between exchange rates and stock markets in Eastern Europe in time of crisis," MPRA Paper 95507, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. Ping Wang & Tomoe Moore, 2008. "Stock Market Integration For The Transition Economies: Time‐Varying Conditional Correlation Approach," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 76(s1), pages 116-133, September.
    8. Demian, Calin-Vlad, 2011. "Cointegration in Central and East European markets in light of EU accession," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 21(1), pages 144-155, February.
    9. Siv Taing & Andrew Worthington, 2005. "Return Relationships Among European Equity Sectors: A Comparative Analysis Across Selected Sectors in Small and Large Economies," Journal of Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 8(2), pages 371-388, November.
    10. Wang, Ping & Moore, Tomoe, 2009. "Sudden changes in volatility: The case of five central European stock markets," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 19(1), pages 33-46, February.
    11. Juneja, Januj, 2017. "How Germany benefits the most from its Eurozone membership," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 1074-1088.
    12. David Gray, 2014. "Central European foreign exchange markets: a cross-spectral analysis of the 2007 financial crisis," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 20(6), pages 550-567, June.
    13. Sangita Choudhary & Shelly Singhal, 0. "International linkages of Indian equity market: evidence from panel co-integration approach," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 0, pages 1-9.

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