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Reducing Brazilian greenhouse gas emissions: scenario simulations of targets and policies

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  • Kênia Barreiro de Souza
  • Luiz Carlos de Santana Ribeiro
  • Fernando Salgueiro Perobelli

Abstract

This paper aims to evaluate the economic impacts of greenhouse gas emission reduction on the Brazilian economy. To this end, we developed an integrated input–output linear programming model for 2009 using the Supply and Use Tables and emissions data of the Brazilian Ministry of Science and Technology and Innovation. We simulated emissions targets for various potential scenarios in which the adopted policy design took account of sectoral composition in terms of emissions and available production technology. The results were directly affected by the high level of livestock emissions, counterbalancing this sector’s economic importance for Brazil. In the short term, sectoral emissions targets associated with taxation policy or emission permits could be developed in order to create private incentives to mitigate emissions. In this sense, the results also show that different sectoral targets may be able to balance environmental benefits with the possible economic losses incurred by such policies.

Suggested Citation

  • Kênia Barreiro de Souza & Luiz Carlos de Santana Ribeiro & Fernando Salgueiro Perobelli, 2016. "Reducing Brazilian greenhouse gas emissions: scenario simulations of targets and policies," Economic Systems Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(4), pages 482-496, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:ecsysr:v:28:y:2016:i:4:p:482-496
    DOI: 10.1080/09535314.2016.1230093
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    Cited by:

    1. de Area Leão Pereira, Eder Johnson & de Santana Ribeiro, Luiz Carlos & da Silva Freitas, Lúcio Flávio & de Barros Pereira, Hernane Borges, 2020. "Brazilian policy and agribusiness damage the Amazon rainforest," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
    2. Ferran Sancho, 2021. "The mitigation potential of eco-taxation on carbon emissions: income effects under downward rigid wages," Environmental Economics and Policy Studies, Springer;Society for Environmental Economics and Policy Studies - SEEPS, vol. 23(1), pages 93-107, January.

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