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Government bond market linkages: evidence from Europe

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  • Jian Yang

Abstract

This paper examines linkages among six major European government bond markets (Germany, France, Italy, UK, Belgium and the Netherlands) during 1988-2003. There is weak evidence that a stable long-run relationship exists among the six markets during the sample period. Granger causal linkages are generally not pronounced between the markets, while the contemporaneous correlation is strong between bond market innovations. Allowing for both Granger causal relationships and contemporaneous correlation, forecast error variance decomposition suggests that European bond markets are generally interdependent without a distinctive leadership. There is also some evidence that the UK and Italy may be less integrated with other markets, possibly due to their nonparticipation in the European Monetary System during part of the sample period.

Suggested Citation

  • Jian Yang, 2005. "Government bond market linkages: evidence from Europe," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 15(9), pages 599-610.
  • Handle: RePEc:taf:apfiec:v:15:y:2005:i:9:p:599-610
    DOI: 10.1080/09603100500056775
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Bayraci, Selcuk, 2015. "Return, shock and volatility co-movements between the bond markets of Turkey and developed countries," MPRA Paper 65758, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Jian Yang & James Kolari & Guozhong Zhu, 2005. "European public real estate market integration," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 15(13), pages 895-905.
    3. Alexander Ludwig, 2014. "Credit risk-free sovereign bonds under Solvency II: a cointegration analysis with consistently estimated structural breaks," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(12), pages 811-823, June.
    4. He, Hui & Locke, Peter, 2011. "Global trends in real risk free rates," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 25(1), pages 53-63, January.
    5. Jian Yang & Jaeun Shin & Moosa Khan, 2007. "Causal linkages between US and Eurodollar interest rates: further evidence," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 39(2), pages 135-144.
    6. Irvin W. Morgan Jr & James P. Murtagh, 2012. "An analysis of global credit risk spreads during crises," Managerial Finance, Emerald Group Publishing, vol. 38(3), pages 341-358.
    7. repec:eee:riibaf:v:42:y:2017:i:c:p:1021-1029 is not listed on IDEAS
    8. Jian Yang, 2006. "Information transmission between Eurocurrency and domestic interest rates: evidence from the UK," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 16(9), pages 675-685.

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