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IGARCH effect on autoregressive lag length selection and causality tests

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  • Alain Hecq

Abstract

Using Monte Carlo experiments, we show how information criteria determine, in the presence of GARCH errors, an optimal lag length in univariate time series and causality tests. We illustrate the simulations by testing the presence of serial correlation in exchange rates as well as Granger-causality between interest rates.

Suggested Citation

  • Alain Hecq, 1996. "IGARCH effect on autoregressive lag length selection and causality tests," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 3(5), pages 317-323.
  • Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:5:p:317-323
    DOI: 10.1080/135048596356438
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Bollerslev, Tim & Chou, Ray Y. & Kroner, Kenneth F., 1992. "ARCH modeling in finance : A review of the theory and empirical evidence," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 52(1-2), pages 5-59.
    2. Jérôme Henry & Jens Weidmann, 1995. "Asymmetry in the EMS revisited: Evidence from the Causality Analysis of Daily Eurorates," Annals of Economics and Statistics, GENES, issue 40, pages 125-160.
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Hecq A.W. & Lieb L.M. & Telg J.M.A., 2015. "Identification of Mixed Causal-Noncausal Models : How Fat Should We Go?," Research Memorandum 035, Maastricht University, Graduate School of Business and Economics (GSBE).
    2. Jerome Henry & Jens Weidmann, 2005. "The French-German Interest Rate Differential Since German," International Finance 0503009, EconWPA.
    3. Till Strohsal & Enzo Weber, 2014. "Mean-variance cointegration and the expectations hypothesis," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(11), pages 1983-1997, November.
    4. Olusanya E. Olubusoye & OlaOluwa S. Yaya, 2016. "Time series analysis of volatility in the petroleum pricing markets: the persistence, asymmetry and jumps in the returns series," OPEC Energy Review, Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, vol. 40(3), pages 235-262, September.
    5. repec:gam:jecnmx:v:5:y:2017:i:4:p:48-:d:117025 is not listed on IDEAS
    6. Hecq, Alain, 1995. "Unit root tests with level shift in the presence of GARCH," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 49(2), pages 125-130, August.
    7. Alain Hecq & Sean Telg & Lenard Lieb, 2017. "Do Seasonal Adjustments Induce Noncausal Dynamics in Inflation Rates?," Econometrics, MDPI, Open Access Journal, vol. 5(4), pages 1-22, October.
    8. Stavros Degiannakis & Evdokia Xekalaki, 2007. "Assessing the performance of a prediction error criterion model selection algorithm in the context of ARCH models," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(2), pages 149-171.
    9. R. Scott Hacker & Abdulnasser Hatemi-J, 2006. "Tests for causality between integrated variables using asymptotic and bootstrap distributions: theory and application," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 38(13), pages 1489-1500.

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