IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/testjl/v22y2013i2p227-233.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Comments on: Model-free model-fitting and predictive distributions

Author

Listed:
  • Stefan Sperlich

Abstract

Discussing the paper “Model-free model-fitting and predictive distributions” by Politis ( 2013 ), we propose to extend this procedure to semiparametric and parametric mixed effects models (MEM) as in practice, these are probably the most popular ones for prediction. Specifically, combining Politis’ prediction method with procedures from Lombardía and Sperlich (Comput. Stat. Data Anal. 56:2903–2917, 2012 ) and González-Manteiga et al. (J. Multivar. Anal. 114:288–302, 2013 ) yields new MEM-based MF/MB point and interval predictors which can be used for example for small area statistics. Combining Politis’ idea with nonparametric matching estimators may also yield improved (point and interval) estimators for treatment effects and policy evaluation. Copyright Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa 2013

Suggested Citation

  • Stefan Sperlich, 2013. "Comments on: Model-free model-fitting and predictive distributions," TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 22(2), pages 227-233, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:testjl:v:22:y:2013:i:2:p:227-233
    DOI: 10.1007/s11749-013-0318-6
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1007/s11749-013-0318-6
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s11749-013-0318-6?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Stefan Sperlich & María José Lombardía, 2010. "Local polynomial inference for small area statistics: estimation, validation and prediction," Journal of Nonparametric Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 22(5), pages 633-648.
    2. Nielsen, Jens Perch & Sperlich, Stefan, 2003. "Prediction of Stock Returns: A New Way to Look at It," ASTIN Bulletin, Cambridge University Press, vol. 33(2), pages 399-417, November.
    3. Dimitris Politis, 2013. "Rejoinder on: Model-free model-fitting and predictive distributions," TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 22(2), pages 240-250, June.
    4. J. D. Opsomer & G. Claeskens & M. G. Ranalli & G. Kauermann & F. J. Breidt, 2008. "Non‐parametric small area estimation using penalized spline regression," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 70(1), pages 265-286, February.
    5. Claeskens,Gerda & Hjort,Nils Lid, 2008. "Model Selection and Model Averaging," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521852258.
    6. M. P. Wand, 2003. "Smoothing and mixed models," Computational Statistics, Springer, vol. 18(2), pages 223-249, July.
    7. Alberto Abadie & Guido W. Imbens, 2008. "On the Failure of the Bootstrap for Matching Estimators," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 76(6), pages 1537-1557, November.
    8. Chris Elbers & Jean O. Lanjouw & Peter Lanjouw, 2003. "Micro--Level Estimation of Poverty and Inequality," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 71(1), pages 355-364, January.
    9. José Lombardía, María & Sperlich, Stefan, 2012. "A new class of semi-mixed effects models and its application in small area estimation," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 56(10), pages 2903-2917.
    10. María José Lombardía & Stefan Sperlich, 2008. "Semiparametric inference in generalized mixed effects models," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 70(5), pages 913-930, November.
    11. Jiming Jiang & P. Lahiri, 2006. "Mixed model prediction and small area estimation," TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 15(1), pages 1-96, June.
    12. Dimitris Politis, 2013. "Model-free model-fitting and predictive distributions," TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 22(2), pages 183-221, June.
    13. González Manteiga, Wenceslao & Lombardía, María José & Martínez Miranda, María Dolores & Sperlich, Stefan, 2013. "Kernel smoothers and bootstrapping for semiparametric mixed effects models," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 114(C), pages 288-302.
    14. Salvati, Nicola & Chandra, Hukum & Giovanna Ranalli, M. & Chambers, Ray, 2010. "Small area estimation using a nonparametric model-based direct estimator," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 54(9), pages 2159-2171, September.
    15. Alberto Abadie & Guido W. Imbens, 2006. "Large Sample Properties of Matching Estimators for Average Treatment Effects," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 74(1), pages 235-267, January.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. José Lombardía, María & Sperlich, Stefan, 2012. "A new class of semi-mixed effects models and its application in small area estimation," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 56(10), pages 2903-2917.
    2. Salvati, Nicola & Chandra, Hukum & Giovanna Ranalli, M. & Chambers, Ray, 2010. "Small area estimation using a nonparametric model-based direct estimator," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 54(9), pages 2159-2171, September.
    3. Xuemei Hu & Weiming Yang, 2019. "Semi-parametric small area inference in generalized semi-varying coefficient mixed effects models," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 60(4), pages 1039-1058, August.
    4. González Manteiga, Wenceslao & Lombardía, María José & Martínez Miranda, María Dolores & Sperlich, Stefan, 2013. "Kernel smoothers and bootstrapping for semiparametric mixed effects models," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 114(C), pages 288-302.
    5. N. Salvati & N. Tzavidis & M. Pratesi & R. Chambers, 2012. "Small area estimation via M-quantile geographically weighted regression," TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 21(1), pages 1-28, March.
    6. María José Lombardía & Esther López‐Vizcaíno & Cristina Rueda, 2017. "Mixed generalized Akaike information criterion for small area models," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 180(4), pages 1229-1252, October.
    7. Nikos Tzavidis & Li‐Chun Zhang & Angela Luna & Timo Schmid & Natalia Rojas‐Perilla, 2018. "From start to finish: a framework for the production of small area official statistics," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 181(4), pages 927-979, October.
    8. Militino, A.F. & Goicoa, T. & Ugarte, M.D., 2012. "Estimating the percentage of food expenditure in small areas using bias-corrected P-spline based estimators," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 56(10), pages 2934-2948.
    9. Isabel Proença & Stefan Sperlich & Duygu Savaşcı, 2015. "Semi-mixed effects gravity models for bilateral trade," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 48(1), pages 361-387, February.
    10. Chiara Bocci & Emilia Rocco, 2014. "Estimates for geographical domains through geoadditive models in presence of incomplete geographical information," Statistical Methods & Applications, Springer;Società Italiana di Statistica, vol. 23(2), pages 283-305, June.
    11. van de Walle, Dominique & Mu, Ren, 2007. "Fungibility and the flypaper effect of project aid: Micro-evidence for Vietnam," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 84(2), pages 667-685, November.
    12. Michael Lechner & Ruth Miquel & Conny Wunsch, 2011. "Long‐Run Effects Of Public Sector Sponsored Training In West Germany," Journal of the European Economic Association, European Economic Association, vol. 9(4), pages 742-784, August.
    13. Tymon Słoczyński, 2015. "The Oaxaca–Blinder Unexplained Component as a Treatment Effects Estimator," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 77(4), pages 588-604, August.
    14. Jasmin Kantarevic & Boris Kralj, 2016. "Physician Payment Contracts in the Presence of Moral Hazard and Adverse Selection: The Theory and Its Application in Ontario," Health Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 25(10), pages 1326-1340, October.
    15. Jasjeet Singh Sekhon & Richard D. Grieve, 2012. "A matching method for improving covariate balance in cost‐effectiveness analyses," Health Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 21(6), pages 695-714, June.
    16. Johannes Gräb & Michael Grimm, 2008. "Spatial inequalities explained - Evidence from Burkina Faso," Ibero America Institute for Econ. Research (IAI) Discussion Papers 173, Ibero-America Institute for Economic Research.
    17. Pan, Li & Politis, Dimitris, 2014. "Bootstrap prediction intervals for Markov processes," University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series qt7555757g, Department of Economics, UC San Diego.
    18. Martin Huber & Michael Lechner & Giovanni Mellace, 2017. "Why Do Tougher Caseworkers Increase Employment? The Role of Program Assignment as a Causal Mechanism," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 99(1), pages 180-183, March.
    19. Andr'es Ram'irez-Hassan & Raquel Vargas-Correa & Gustavo Garc'ia & Daniel Londo~no, 2020. "Optimal selection of the number of control units in kNN algorithm to estimate average treatment effects," Papers 2008.06564, arXiv.org.
    20. Asdrubali, Pierfederico & Signore, Simone, 2015. "The Economic Impact of EU Guarantees on Credit to SMEs – Evidence from CESEE Countries," EIF Working Paper Series 2015/29, European Investment Fund (EIF).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:testjl:v:22:y:2013:i:2:p:227-233. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.