IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/snbeco/v2y2022i9d10.1007_s43546-022-00302-6.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Analysis of the change in the structure of the Japanese power supply using the GTAP-E-power model

Author

Listed:
  • Akiko Higashi

    (Mitsubishi Research Institute, Inc.)

  • Ken Itakura

    (Nagoya City University)

  • Yushi Inoue

    (Mitsubishi Research Institute, Inc.)

  • Hiroaki Otake

    (Mitsubishi Research Institute, Inc.)

Abstract

This study analyzes the effect of the change in the structure of the Japanese power supply, which disaggregates the power sector based on the GTAP-E model framework. We analyze the impact of the change in the power structure on Japan’s macroeconomy, power sector, and industry by comparing the results of four scenarios. In our simulations, which are divided into two periods, shocks are introduced to the growth rate in real GDP, labor force, population, and Japanese zero-emission power supply; nuclear power, hydropower, wind power, solar power, and other types of power. First, simulations from 2011 to 2018 were performed to update the GTAP-E-Power database. Next, simulations from 2019 to 2030 were performed for policy scenarios with different growth rates of zero-emission power supply in Japan. The simulation results show that if Japan maintains the same growth rate of zero-emission power supply as that of the Sustainable Development Scenario of the World Energy Outlook 2019, the share of zero-emission power supply in 2030 will achieve the government’s target. The simulation results also show that an increase in zero-emission power supply has a positive effect on the Japanese trade balance.

Suggested Citation

  • Akiko Higashi & Ken Itakura & Yushi Inoue & Hiroaki Otake, 2022. "Analysis of the change in the structure of the Japanese power supply using the GTAP-E-power model," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 2(9), pages 1-22, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:snbeco:v:2:y:2022:i:9:d:10.1007_s43546-022-00302-6
    DOI: 10.1007/s43546-022-00302-6
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s43546-022-00302-6
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s43546-022-00302-6?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Burfisher,Mary E., 2021. "Introduction to Computable General Equilibrium Models," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9781108748025.
    2. Burniaux, Jean-Marc & Truong Truong, 2002. "GTAP-E: An Energy-Environmental Version of the GTAP Model," GTAP Technical Papers 923, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Department of Agricultural Economics, Purdue University.
    3. Burfisher,Mary E., 2021. "Introduction to Computable General Equilibrium Models," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9781108490085.
    4. Burniaux, Jean-March & Truong, Truong P., 2002. "Gtap-E: An Energy-Environmental Version Of The Gtap Model," Technical Papers 28705, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Nejati, Mehdi & Shah, Muhammad Ibrahim, 2023. "How does ICT trade shape environmental impacts across the north-south regions? Intra-regional and Inter-regional perspective from dynamic CGE model," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 186(PB).
    2. Hoefnagels, Ric & Banse, Martin & Dornburg, Veronika & Faaij, André, 2013. "Macro-economic impact of large-scale deployment of biomass resources for energy and materials on a national level—A combined approach for the Netherlands," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 727-744.
    3. Monge, Juan J. & Bryant, Henry L. & Gan, Jianbang & Richardson, James W., 2016. "Land use and general equilibrium implications of a forest-based carbon sequestration policy in the United States," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 127(C), pages 102-120.
    4. Eboli, Fabio & Parrado, Ramiro & Roson, Roberto, 2010. "Climate-change feedback on economic growth: explorations with a dynamic general equilibrium model," Environment and Development Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 15(5), pages 515-533, October.
    5. Tsung-Chen Lee & Hsiao-Chi Chen & Shi-Miin Liu, 2013. "Optimal strategic regulations in international emissions trading under imperfect competition," Environmental Economics and Policy Studies, Springer;Society for Environmental Economics and Policy Studies - SEEPS, vol. 15(1), pages 39-57, January.
    6. Roberto Roson & Francesco Bosello, 2007. "Estimating a Climate Change Damage Function through General Equilibrium Modeling," Working Papers 2007_08, Department of Economics, University of Venice "Ca' Foscari".
    7. Yazid Dissou & Lilia Karnizova & Qian Sun, 2015. "Industry-level Econometric Estimates of Energy-Capital-Labor Substitution with a Nested CES Production Function," Atlantic Economic Journal, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 43(1), pages 107-121, March.
    8. Hertel, Thomas W. & Tyner, Wallace E. & Birur, Dileep K., 2008. "Biofuels for all? Understanding the Global Impacts of Multinational Mandates," 2008 Annual Meeting, July 27-29, 2008, Orlando, Florida 6526, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    9. Alvaro Calzadilla & Katrin Rehdanz & Richard Betts & Pete Falloon & Andy Wiltshire & Richard Tol, 2013. "Climate change impacts on global agriculture," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 120(1), pages 357-374, September.
    10. Bosello, Francesco & Orecchia, Carlo & Parrado, Ramiro, 2013. "The additional contribution of non-CO2 mitigation in climate policy costs and efforts in Europe," Conference papers 332363, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    11. Britz, Wolfgang & Li, Jingwen & Shang, Linmei, 2021. "Combining large-scale sensitivity analysis in Computable General Equilibrium models with Machine Learning: An Example Application to policy supporting the bio-economy," Conference papers 333285, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    12. Liu, Li-Jing & Yao, Yun-Fei & Liang, Qiao-Mei & Qian, Xiang-Yan & Xu, Chun-Lei & Wei, Si-Yi & Creutzig, Felix & Wei, Yi-Ming, 2021. "Combining economic recovery with climate change mitigation: A global evaluation of financial instruments," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 438-453.
    13. B. Henderson & A. Golub & D. Pambudi & T. Hertel & C. Godde & M. Herrero & O. Cacho & P. Gerber, 2018. "The power and pain of market-based carbon policies: a global application to greenhouse gases from ruminant livestock production," Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Springer, vol. 23(3), pages 349-369, March.
    14. Calzadilla, Alvaro & Rehdanz, Katrin & Tol, Richard S.J., 2008. "Water scarcity and the impact of improved irrigation management: A CGE analysis," Conference papers 331788, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    15. Khellaf, Ayache & Nihou, Abdelaziz & Baray, Abdoul G. & van der Mensbrugghe, Dominique & Liverani, Andrea & Tyner, Wallace E., 2014. "Socioeconomic impacts of green energy growth policy in Morocco - a general equilibrium analysis," Conference papers 332493, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    16. Francesco Bosello & Carlo Orecchia & David A. Raitzer, 2016. "Decarbonization Pathways in Southeast Asia: New Results for Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Viet Nam," Working Papers 2016.75, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei.
    17. Parrado, Ramiro & De Cian, Enrica, 2014. "Technology spillovers embodied in international trade: Intertemporal, regional and sectoral effects in a global CGE framework," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 76-89.
    18. Weimer-Jehle, Wolfgang & Buchgeister, Jens & Hauser, Wolfgang & Kosow, Hannah & Naegler, Tobias & Poganietz, Witold-Roger & Pregger, Thomas & Prehofer, Sigrid & von Recklinghausen, Andreas & Schippl, , 2016. "Context scenarios and their usage for the construction of socio-technical energy scenarios," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 111(C), pages 956-970.
    19. Taheripour, Farzad & Tyner, Wallace E., 2014. "Shale oil and gas booms: Consequences for agricultural and biofuel industries," 2014 Annual Meeting, July 27-29, 2014, Minneapolis, Minnesota 170238, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    20. Jensen, Henning Tarp & Jensen, Hans Grinsted & Gylling, Morten, 2009. "Adoption of GM Food Crop Varieties in the European Union," Conference papers 331886, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:snbeco:v:2:y:2022:i:9:d:10.1007_s43546-022-00302-6. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.