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Upcoming picture of ageing population: Pakistan

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  • Ammara Cheema

Abstract

Ageing of population may have its implications at individual, family, community and economic level. This paper explains how ageing population will behave in the future based on projection assumptions. Future prospects and issues are identified and categorized alongwith relevance of ageing population trend examined in a survey. The findings demonstrate that ageing population of Pakistan will increase in the forthcoming years. Among several reasons for increase in ageing population, the most important is decline in death rate. The overall sex ratio indicates a better coverage of female in coming decades. For the next 50 years, the life expectancy may rise to 70.7 years. The old age dependency ratio may also increase in the times to come. Married elderly females may be less in number as compared to married elderly males. The high prevalence of other-than-married elderly females deserves special consideration in policy-making and planning. There exists much variation in the literacy rate of both elderly male and female. As the study reflects future pattern of ageing population, its findings may be of interest for researchers and practitioners. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media B.V. 2013

Suggested Citation

  • Ammara Cheema, 2013. "Upcoming picture of ageing population: Pakistan," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 47(5), pages 2399-2413, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:qualqt:v:47:y:2013:i:5:p:2399-2413
    DOI: 10.1007/s11135-012-9660-0
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Durr-e-Nayab, 2008. "Demographic Dividend or Demographic Threat in Pakistan?," The Pakistan Development Review, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, vol. 47(1), pages 1-26.
    2. Brian C. O'Neill & Deborah Balk & Melanie Brickman & Markos Ezra, 2001. "A Guide to Global Population Projections," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 4(8), pages 203-288.
    3. G. M. Arif & Nusrat Chaudhry, 2008. "Demographic Transition and Youth Employment in Pakistan," The Pakistan Development Review, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, vol. 47(1), pages 27-70.
    4. David Weil, 2006. "Population Aging," Working Papers 2006-09, Brown University, Department of Economics.
    5. Rowland, Donald T., 2003. "Demographic Methods and Concepts," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780198752639.
    6. Henry Kaiser, 1970. "A second generation little jiffy," Psychometrika, Springer;The Psychometric Society, vol. 35(4), pages 401-415, December.
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    Cited by:

    1. Pengkun Wu & Chong Wu & Yuanyuan Wu, 2018. "Reforming Path of China’s Fertility Policy in Stabilizing Demographic Dividends Perspective," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 137(3), pages 1225-1243, June.
    2. Patrizio Vanella & Moritz Heß & Christina B. Wilke, 2020. "A probabilistic projection of beneficiaries of long-term care insurance in Germany by severity of disability," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 54(3), pages 943-974, June.
    3. Muhammad N. Mahmood & Subas P. Dhakal, 2023. "Ageing population and society: a scientometric analysis," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 57(4), pages 3133-3150, August.

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