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Empirical Examination of the Gravity Model in two Different Contexts: Estimation and Explanation

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  • Ana Lúcia Marto Sargento

Abstract

Ziel dieses Artikels ist die Analyse der Leistungsfähigkeit des Gravitätsmodells, im Zusammenhang mit bereits bekannten Handelsströmen (Fall (a)), und als Prognosemodell (Fall (b)). Im Fall (a) dient das Modell der Erläuterung der Entwicklung von Handelsströmen. Der Test mit mehreren ökonometrischen Gleichungen hat zur Auswahl eines dreidimensionalen Fehlermodells geführt, das eine zusätzliche Variable berücksichtigt: die Angabe der Herkunft beim Export des Produkts k. Das Modell wurde jeweils auf zehn Produkte angewandt, so dass produktspezifische Koeffizienten ermittelt wurden. Im Fall (b) sind die Ergebnisse nicht zufriedenstellend und deuten darauf hin, dass das Gravitätsmodell nicht das geeignetste ist, um unbekannte Handelsdaten zu generieren. Copyright Springer-Verlag 2007

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  • Ana Lúcia Marto Sargento, 2007. "Empirical Examination of the Gravity Model in two Different Contexts: Estimation and Explanation," Review of Regional Research: Jahrbuch für Regionalwissenschaft, Springer;Gesellschaft für Regionalforschung (GfR), vol. 27(2), pages 103-127, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:jahrfr:v:27:y:2007:i:2:p:103-127
    DOI: 10.1007/s10037-007-0013-8
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    2. Wolfgang Polasek & Richard Sellner, 2013. "The Does Globalization Affect Regional Growth? Evidence for NUTS-2 Regions in EU-27," DANUBE: Law and Economics Review, European Association Comenius - EACO, issue 1, pages 23-65, March.

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