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Establishing a probability sample in a crisis context: the example of Ukrainian refugees in Germany in 2022

Author

Listed:
  • Hans Walter Steinhauer

    (German Institute for Economic Research)

  • Jean Philippe Décieux

    (Federal Institute for Population Research)

  • Manuel Siegert

    (Federal Office for Migration and Refugees)

  • Andreas Ette

    (Federal Institute for Population Research)

  • Sabine Zinn

    (German Institute for Economic Research
    Humboldt University Berlin)

Abstract

Following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in early 2022, more than one million refugees have arrived in Germany. These Ukrainian refugees differ in many aspects from Germany’s past forced migration experiences and there exists an urgent need for sound data and information for politics, practitioners, and academics. In response, the IAB-BiB/FReDA-BAMF-SOEP study was established to provide high-quality longitudinal data following a register-based probability sample. We detail on an approach for sampling refugees in brief time, making use of two different registers—the German population register and the central register of foreigners—and discuss the quality of the final sample with respect to potential selectivity of participation in the panel. Overall, we demonstrate the benefits and feasibility of establishing register-based samples even in the context of a geopolitical crisis and the necessity of sound data within brief time horizons. We provide guidance that can be followed for similar events in the future.

Suggested Citation

  • Hans Walter Steinhauer & Jean Philippe Décieux & Manuel Siegert & Andreas Ette & Sabine Zinn, 2024. "Establishing a probability sample in a crisis context: the example of Ukrainian refugees in Germany in 2022," AStA Wirtschafts- und Sozialstatistisches Archiv, Springer;Deutsche Statistische Gesellschaft - German Statistical Society, vol. 18(1), pages 77-97, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:astaws:v:18:y:2024:i:1:d:10.1007_s11943-024-00338-0
    DOI: 10.1007/s11943-024-00338-0
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    References listed on IDEAS

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