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The problem of land value betterment: a simplified agent-based test

Author

Listed:
  • Yiming Wang

    (University College London
    Tongji University)

  • Michelle Baddeley

    (University College London)

Abstract

In this paper, we employ behaviour-driven cellular automata as a simplified agent-based modelling approach to test the seminal Coase theorem, with a policy focus on the land value betterment effect of urban infrastructure provision. Four prototypical development regimes are identified from international practice: (1) the private developer-oriented Metroland model dating back to the suburbanisation of London in the nineteenth century England; (2) the private household-led special district model, which can be observed in many contemporary US suburbs; (3) the public planning-regulated model, as featured in most post-war European welfare state countries, including the present-day UK; (4) the public state-as-developer model, which characterises what has been taking place in China. A repeated analysis of variance (ANOVA) based on the results of a large number of cellular automata simulations suggests no significant difference between models I and II in terms of their welfare outcomes measured by aggregate utility. However, models III and IV are both found to generate significantly less welfare than models I and II, under strict assumptions of zero transaction costs, perfect information, perfect capital markets and perfect competition.

Suggested Citation

  • Yiming Wang & Michelle Baddeley, 2016. "The problem of land value betterment: a simplified agent-based test," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 57(2), pages 413-436, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:anresc:v:57:y:2016:i:2:d:10.1007_s00168-015-0675-z
    DOI: 10.1007/s00168-015-0675-z
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • C63 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Computational Techniques
    • H54 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - Infrastructures
    • R14 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Land Use Patterns
    • R38 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Real Estate Markets, Spatial Production Analysis, and Firm Location - - - Government Policy

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