IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/sae/soasur/v30y2023i1p7-31.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Economic Contagion and the Repercussion on Remittances: Evidence from Low and Middle-Income Economies

Author

Listed:
  • Fredrick Oteng Agyeman
  • Malcom Frimpong Dapaah
  • Agyemang Kwasi Sampene
  • Abdul Razak Monto
  • Emmanuel Adu Gyamfi Kedjanyi

Abstract

The outbreak of the coronavirus disease in 2019 (COVID-19) wreaked havoc on the social, psychological, economic, and political buoyancy of all economic activities worldwide. The economic challenges caused by the interruption in worldwide economic activities significantly impacted remittances flow to low- and middle-income economies (LMIEs). This study used the past, present, and predicted remittances data of migration dynamics within countries to analyse the economic impact on remittances. Remittances to most LMIEs plunged during the pandemic intense period; however, the decline was temporary as the flows increased due to countrywide policies and individuals’ emergent needs. The trend of economic contagion is fundamentally unique in that even the primary source of remittance sending nations have been greatly impacted. The global nature of this pandemic raises numerous questions, including whether the decline in remittances will continue for a short term or will last for an extended period to stagnate LMIEs. This current study’s results reveal that while remittances flow to key recipient nations declined between 2019 and 2020, there has not been a sharp decrease and most of the nations were on the path of recovery in 2021. This study proposes that policymakers support remittances flow on a higher growth trend in successive years based on Sustainable Development Goals to attain global inclusive development. This research further recommends the adoption of higher technology transfer of remittances of migrant workers within the emerging and low- and middle-income economies.

Suggested Citation

  • Fredrick Oteng Agyeman & Malcom Frimpong Dapaah & Agyemang Kwasi Sampene & Abdul Razak Monto & Emmanuel Adu Gyamfi Kedjanyi, 2023. "Economic Contagion and the Repercussion on Remittances: Evidence from Low and Middle-Income Economies," South Asian Survey, , vol. 30(1), pages 7-31, March.
  • Handle: RePEc:sae:soasur:v:30:y:2023:i:1:p:7-31
    DOI: 10.1177/09715231221136338
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/09715231221136338
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1177/09715231221136338?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Gharib, Cheima & Mefteh-Wali, Salma & Jabeur, Sami Ben, 2021. "The bubble contagion effect of COVID-19 outbreak: Evidence from crude oil and gold markets," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 38(C).
    2. Frisancho, Verónica & Parrado, Eric, 2021. "International Remittances to Latin America and the Caribbean amid the COVID-19 Crisis: A Push for Digitalization?," IDB Publications (Working Papers) 11839, Inter-American Development Bank.
    3. Shuangshuang Tang & Xin Li, 2021. "Responding to the pandemic as a family unit: social impacts of COVID-19 on rural migrants in China and their coping strategies," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 8(1), pages 1-11, December.
    4. Daron Acemoglu & Ufuk Akcigit & William Kerr, 2016. "Networks and the Macroeconomy: An Empirical Exploration," NBER Macroeconomics Annual, University of Chicago Press, vol. 30(1), pages 273-335.
    5. Reena Marwah & Sanika Sulochani Ramanayake, 2021. "Pandemic-Led Disruptions in Asia: Tracing the Early Economic Impacts on Sri Lanka and Thailand," South Asian Survey, , vol. 28(1), pages 172-198, March.
    6. Suri, Tavneet & Boozer, Michael A. & Ranis, Gustav & Stewart, Frances, 2011. "Paths to Success: The Relationship Between Human Development and Economic Growth," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 39(4), pages 506-522, April.
    7. Komla Amega, 2018. "Remittances, education and health in Sub-Saharan Africa," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 6(1), pages 1516488-151, January.
    8. Banerjee, Abhijit V. & Duflo, Esther, 2005. "Growth Theory through the Lens of Development Economics," Handbook of Economic Growth, in: Philippe Aghion & Steven Durlauf (ed.), Handbook of Economic Growth, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 7, pages 473-552, Elsevier.
    9. Barua, Suborna, 2020. "Understanding Coronanomics: The economic implications of the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic," MPRA Paper 99693, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    10. Fotiadis, Anestis & Polyzos, Stathis & Huan, Tzung-Cheng T.C., 2021. "The good, the bad and the ugly on COVID-19 tourism recovery," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
    11. Hector Perez-Saiz & Mr. Jemma Dridi & Tunc Gursoy & Mounir Bari, 2019. "The Impact of Remittances on Economic Activity: The Importance of Sectoral Linkages," IMF Working Papers 2019/175, International Monetary Fund.
    12. André Stel & Martin Carree & Roy Thurik, 2005. "The Effect of Entrepreneurial Activity on National Economic Growth," Small Business Economics, Springer, vol. 24(3), pages 311-321, February.
    13. Mohammad Imran Hossain, 2021. "COVID-19 Impacts on Employment and Livelihood of Marginal People in Bangladesh: Lessons Learned and Way Forward," South Asian Survey, , vol. 28(1), pages 57-71, March.
    14. Rebecca Forman & Elias Mossialos, 2021. "The EU Response to COVID‐19: From Reactive Policies to Strategic Decision‐Making," Journal of Common Market Studies, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 59(S1), pages 56-68, September.
    15. John E. Ataguba, 2020. "COVID-19 Pandemic, a War to be Won: Understanding its Economic Implications for Africa," Applied Health Economics and Health Policy, Springer, vol. 18(3), pages 325-328, June.
    16. Arti Yadav & Badar Alam Iqbal, 2021. "Socio-economic Scenario of South Asia: An Overview of Impacts of COVID-19," South Asian Survey, , vol. 28(1), pages 20-37, March.
    17. Bichaka Fayissa & Christian Nsiah, 2010. "The Impact of Remittances on Economic Growth and Development in Africa," The American Economist, Sage Publications, vol. 55(2), pages 92-103, November.
    18. Ma, Li & Zhai, Xin & Zhong, Weiguo & Zhang, Zhi-Xue, 2019. "Deploying human capital for innovation: A study of multi-country manufacturing firms," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 208(C), pages 241-253.
    19. Yumei Zhang & Yue Zhan & Xinshen Diao & Kevin Z. Chen & Sherman Robinson, 2021. "The Impacts of COVID‐19 on Migrants, Remittances, and Poverty in China: A Microsimulation Analysis," China & World Economy, Institute of World Economics and Politics, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, vol. 29(6), pages 4-33, November.
    20. Huma Siddiqi, 2021. "Understanding the Causes of Variance in Provincial Response to COVID-19 in Pakistan by Using the Policy Capacity Framework," South Asian Survey, , vol. 28(1), pages 133-156, March.
    21. Nelson, Richard R, 1998. "The Agenda for Growth Theory: A Different Point of View," Cambridge Journal of Economics, Cambridge Political Economy Society, vol. 22(4), pages 497-520, July.
    22. Fredrick Oteng Agyeman & Ma Zhiqiang & Mingxing Li & Agyemang Kwasi Sampene & Malcom Frimpong Dapaah & Emmanuel Adu Gyamfi Kedjanyi & Paul Buabeng & Yiyao Li & Saifullah Hakro & Mohammad Heydari, 2022. "Probing the Effect of Governance of Tourism Development, Economic Growth, and Foreign Direct Investment on Carbon Dioxide Emissions in Africa: The African Experience," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(13), pages 1-24, June.
    23. Sharma, Hari, 2020. "The effect of emigration and remittances on labour supply of the left-behind: Evidence from Nepal," MPRA Paper 102091, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    24. Hansen, G.D. & Ohanian, L.E., 2016. "Neoclassical Models in Macroeconomics," Handbook of Macroeconomics, in: J. B. Taylor & Harald Uhlig (ed.), Handbook of Macroeconomics, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 2043-2130, Elsevier.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Sadananda Prusty & Anubha & Saurabh Gupta, 2021. "On the Road to Recovery: The Role of Post-Lockdown Stimulus Package," FIIB Business Review, , vol. 11(2), pages 206-224, June.
    2. Nano Prawoto & Eko Priyo Purnomo & Abitassha Az Zahra, 2020. "The Impacts of Covid-19 Pandemic on Socio-Economic Mobility in Indonesia," International Journal of Economics & Business Administration (IJEBA), International Journal of Economics & Business Administration (IJEBA), vol. 0(3), pages 57-71.
    3. Eunice Adu-Darko & Emmanuel K Aidoo, 2022. "Government Stability in the Remittance-Economic Growth Link in Ghana," International Journal of Applied Economics, Finance and Accounting, Online Academic Press, vol. 14(1), pages 1-14.
    4. Hector Perez-Saiz & Mr. Jemma Dridi & Tunc Gursoy & Mounir Bari, 2019. "The Impact of Remittances on Economic Activity: The Importance of Sectoral Linkages," IMF Working Papers 2019/175, International Monetary Fund.
    5. Lo Turco, Alessia & Maggioni, Daniela & Zazzaro, Alberto, 2019. "Financial dependence and growth: The role of input-output linkages," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 162(C), pages 308-328.
    6. Dietrich Vollrath, 2009. "The dual economy in long-run development," Journal of Economic Growth, Springer, vol. 14(4), pages 287-312, December.
    7. Konon, Alexander & Fritsch, Michael & Kritikos, Alexander S., 2018. "Business cycles and start-ups across industries: An empirical analysis of German regions," Journal of Business Venturing, Elsevier, vol. 33(6), pages 742-761.
    8. Mika Nieminen, 2017. "Patterns of international capital flows and their implications for developing countries," WIDER Working Paper Series wp-2017-171, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    9. Peydró, José-Luis & Jiménez, Gabriel & Kenan, Huremovic & Moral-Benito, Enrique & Vega-Redondo, Fernando, 2020. "Production and financial networks in interplay: Crisis evidence from supplier-customer and credit registers," CEPR Discussion Papers 15277, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    10. Mike Waugh & David Lagakos & Doug Gollin, 2011. "The Agricultural Productivity Gap in Developing Countries," 2011 Meeting Papers 1397, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    11. Małgorzata Sztorc, 2022. "The Implementation of the European Green Deal Strategy as a Challenge for Energy Management in the Face of the COVID-19 Pandemic," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(7), pages 1-21, April.
    12. Evgeny N. SMIRNOV & Sergey A. LUKYANOV, 2019. "Assessment of the transforming impact of global value chains on international trade," Upravlenets, Ural State University of Economics, vol. 10(3), pages 36-46, July.
    13. Mohammed Shahedur Rahman, 2023. "Impact of Remittance on Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth in Bangladesh: An overview from 2000 to 2020," International Journal of Science and Business, IJSAB International, vol. 28(1), pages 183-192.
    14. Altinoglu, Levent, 2021. "The origins of aggregate fluctuations in a credit network economy," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 316-334.
    15. Marconi, G. & de Grip, A., 2014. "Education and growth with learning by doing," ROA Research Memorandum 010, Maastricht University, Research Centre for Education and the Labour Market (ROA).
    16. Mengmeng Meng & Weiguo Fan & Jianchang Lu & Xiaobin Dong & Hejie Wei, 2020. "Research on the Influence of Energy Utilization and Economic Development on Human Well-Being in Qinghai-Tibet Plateau," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(1), pages 1-26, December.
    17. Bertoli, Simone & Brücker, Herbert, 2011. "Selective immigration policies, migrants' education and welfare at origin," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 113(1), pages 19-22, October.
    18. Elias Giannakis & Theofanis P. Mamuneas, 2022. "Sectoral demand-driven and supply-driven input-output multipliers in Cyprus," Cyprus Economic Policy Review, University of Cyprus, Economics Research Centre, vol. 16(1), pages 1-10, June.
    19. Erik Frohm & Vanessa Gunnella, 2021. "Spillovers in global production networks," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 29(3), pages 663-680, August.
    20. Orietta Nicolis & Jean Paul Maidana & Fabian Contreras & Danilo Leal, 2024. "Analyzing the Impact of COVID-19 on Economic Sustainability: A Clustering Approach," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(4), pages 1-30, February.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:sae:soasur:v:30:y:2023:i:1:p:7-31. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: SAGE Publications (email available below). General contact details of provider: .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.