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The Macroeconomics of Demonetization: Theory and Some Conjectures

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  • Subhasankar Chattopadhyay

Abstract

The withdrawal of high-denomination paper money in India—popularly termed ‘demonetization’—has generated interest among common people to understand what the usual macroeconomic consequences of such one-time monetary shock are. This article conjectures (a) that such unanticipated supply-side replacement of paper money of higher denominations may lead to a currency ‘trap’ in the short run and a permanent increase in the hoarding of lower denomination currencies in the long run and (b) that the effect on the GDP in the medium run can be ambiguous in a simple IS-LM framework once the effects of variable price level and changing inflation expectations are captured through the presence of an informal sector. JEL Classification: E 12, E 26, E 44, E 52

Suggested Citation

  • Subhasankar Chattopadhyay, 2019. "The Macroeconomics of Demonetization: Theory and Some Conjectures," South Asian Journal of Macroeconomics and Public Finance, , vol. 8(2), pages 118-143, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:smppub:v:8:y:2019:i:2:p:118-143
    DOI: 10.1177/2277978719861212
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