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The Role of Preference Structure and Moral Hazard in a Multiple Equilibria. Model of Financial Crises

  • Sergio Masciantonio

    ()

    (Università degli Studi "Roma Tre")

This paper proposes an analysis of financial crises by a multiple equilibria model, based on the assumption of common knowledge. This model modifies and broadens the Corsetti, Guimaraes and Roubini (2003) model based on global games theory. In the first part we assert the implications for the International Monetary Fund (IMF) as an international lender of last resort, utilising existing literature based on multiple equilibria models. In the second part, we extend the analysis and highlight the interesting implications. The model predicts the IMF should not be too conservative in its decisions, while avoiding the excessive liquidity supports, which can lead to moral hazard distortions.

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File URL: http://www.rivistapoliticaeconomica.it/2005/nov-dic/Masciantonio_eng.pdf
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Article provided by SIPI Spa in its journal Rivista di Politica Economica.

Volume (Year): 95 (2005)
Issue (Month): 6 (November-December)
Pages: 135-165

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Handle: RePEc:rpo:ripoec:v:95:y:2005:i:6:p:135-165
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  1. Maurice Obstfeld., 1998. "The Global Capital Market: Benefactor or Menace?," Center for International and Development Economics Research (CIDER) Working Papers C98-098, University of California at Berkeley.
  2. Douglas W. Diamond & Philip H. Dybvig, 2000. "Bank runs, deposit insurance, and liquidity," Quarterly Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, issue Win, pages 14-23.
  3. Rochet, Jean-Charles & Vives, Xavier, 2002. "Coordination Failures and the Lender of Last Resort: Was Bagehot Right After All?," CEPR Discussion Papers 3233, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  4. Olivier Jeanne & Charles Wyplosz, 2001. "The International Lender of Last Resort: How Large is Large Enough?," NBER Working Papers 8381, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  5. Steven Radelet & Jeffrey Sachs, 1998. "The Onset of the East Asian Financial Crisis," NBER Working Papers 6680, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  6. Bengt Holmstrom & Jean Tirole, 1996. "Private and Public Supply of Liquidity," NBER Working Papers 5817, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  7. Stanley Fischer, 1999. "On the Need for an International Lender of Last Resort," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 13(4), pages 85-104, Fall.
  8. Luis Felipe Céspedes & Roberto Chang & Andrés Velasco, 2004. "Balance Sheets and Exchange Rate Policy," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 94(4), pages 1183-1193, September.
  9. Jeffrey D. Sachs, 1999. "Creditor Panics: Causes and Remedies," Cato Journal, Cato Journal, Cato Institute, vol. 18(3), pages 377-390, Winter.
  10. Paul Krugman, 1999. "Balance Sheets, the Transfer Problem, and Financial Crises," International Tax and Public Finance, Springer, vol. 6(4), pages 459-472, November.
  11. Roberto Chang & Andrés Velasco, 2001. "A Model Of Financial Crises In Emerging Markets," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, MIT Press, vol. 116(2), pages 489-517, May.
  12. Michael P. Dooley & Sujata Verma, 2003. "Rescue Packages and Output Losses Following Crises," NBER Chapters, in: Managing Currency Crises in Emerging Markets, pages 125-186 National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  13. Dani Rodrik & Andres Velasco, 1999. "Short-Term Capital Flows," NBER Working Papers 7364, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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