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Openness-Inflation Puzzle: Evidence from Pakistan

Author

Listed:
  • Ahmad, Khalil

    (Department of Economics, National College of Busine ss Administration and Economics, Lahore, Pakistan.)

  • Mahmood, Haider

    (Department of Management Sciences, COMSATS Institut e of Technology, Lahore, Pakistan.)

Abstract

In the literature, there is evidence of an inverse relation between trade openness and inflation which has been widely questioned. More recently, economic openness has been related to aggregate demand and supply to shed light on inverse openness-inflation in the developed countries. This paper contributes to the literature by examining the long run connection between trade openness and inflation in a developing country, Pakistan, using the Autoregressive Distributed Lag. The empirical finding suggests that the negative openness-inflation relationship holds for Pakistan.

Suggested Citation

  • Ahmad, Khalil & Mahmood, Haider, 2013. "Openness-Inflation Puzzle: Evidence from Pakistan," Bangladesh Development Studies, Bangladesh Institute of Development Studies (BIDS), vol. 36(3), pages 69-78, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:ris:badest:0561
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Barro, Robert J. & Gordon, David B., 1983. "Rules, discretion and reputation in a model of monetary policy," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 12(1), pages 101-121.
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    3. William Gruben & Darryl Mcleod, 2004. "The openness-inflation puzzle revisited," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 11(8), pages 465-468.
    4. David Romer, 1993. "Openness and Inflation: Theory and Evidence," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 108(4), pages 869-903.
    5. M. Hashem Pesaran & Yongcheol Shin & Richard J. Smith, 2001. "Bounds testing approaches to the analysis of level relationships," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 16(3), pages 289-326.
    6. Cristina T. Terra, 1998. "Openness and Inflation: A New Assessment," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 113(2), pages 641-648.
    7. Cameron, Samuel, 1994. "A review of the econometric evidence on the effects of capital punishment," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics (formerly The Journal of Socio-Economics), Elsevier, vol. 23(1-2), pages 197-214.
    8. Johansen, Soren, 1991. "Estimation and Hypothesis Testing of Cointegration Vectors in Gaussian Vector Autoregressive Models," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 59(6), pages 1551-1580, November.
    9. Jim Granato & Melody Lo & M. C. Sunny Wong, 2007. "A note on Romer's openness-inflation relation: the responsiveness of AS and AD to economic openness and monetary policy," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 39(2), pages 191-197.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Khalil Ahmad & Amjad Ali & Michael Yang, 2022. "The Effect Of Trade Liberalization On Expenditure Structure Of Pakistan," Bulletin of Business and Economics (BBE), Research Foundation for Humanity (RFH), vol. 11(1), pages 73-84, March.
    2. Mahmood, Haider, 2016. "Determinants of Bilateral FDI Inflows in Pakistan from Major Investing Countries: A Dynamic Panel Approach," MPRA Paper 109456, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Alkhateeb, Tarek Tawfik Yousef & Mahmood, Haider & Sultan, Zafar Ahmad & Ahmad, Nawaz, 2017. "Financial Market Development and Employment Nexus in Saudi Arabia," MPRA Paper 109450, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Mahmood, Haider & Chaudhary, A. R., 2013. "Impact of FDI on Income Inequality in Pakistan," MPRA Paper 109460, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Mahmood, Haider, 2016. "Revisiting Money Demand Function for GCC Countries and Testing its Stability," MPRA Paper 109457, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Alkhateeb, Tarek Tawfik Yousef & Mahmood, Haider & Sultan, Zafar Ahmad & Ahmad, Nawaz, 2017. "Trade Openness and Employment Nexus in Saudi Arabia," MPRA Paper 109451, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. Mahmood, Haider, 2016. "Testing Fiscal Sustainability under the Inter-Temporal Budget Constraint in Saudi Arabia," MPRA Paper 109458, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    8. Masood Ahmed Qazi & Syed Ammad, 2021. "Public investment efficiency and sectoral economic growth in Pakistan," Development Policy Review, Overseas Development Institute, vol. 39(3), pages 450-470, May.
    9. Mahmood, Haider & Alkhateeb, Tarek Tawfik Yousef & Ahmad, Nawaz, 2017. "Impact of Devaluation on Foreign Trade in Saudi Arabia," MPRA Paper 109452, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    10. Al-Qahtani, Maleeha Mohammed Zaaf & Alkhateeb, Tarek Tawfik Yousef & Mahmood, Haider & Abdalla, Manal Abdalla Zahed & Mawad, Ghada Shihata Ebrahim & Alkhatib, Maha Ahmed Hussein, 2020. "Exploring the Level of Managerial, Political, Academic, Economic and Social Women Empowerment in Saudi Arabia," MPRA Paper 109447, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    11. Alkhateeb, Tarek Tawfik Yousef & Mahmood, Haider & Sultan, Zafar Ahmad, 2016. "The Relationship between Exports and Economic Growth in Saudi Arabia," MPRA Paper 109459, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    12. Mahmood, Haider, 2018. "An Investigation of Macroeconomic Determinants of FDI Inflows in Bangladesh," MPRA Paper 109448, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    13. Alkhateeb, Tarek Tawfik Yousef & Alkahtani, Nasser Saad & Mahmood, Haider, 2017. "Assessing the Role of Foreign Labour on Saudi Labour Unemployment in Saudi Arabia," MPRA Paper 109449, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    14. Mahmood, Haider & Alkhateeb, Tarek Tawfik, 2017. "An Estimation of Service Quality in King Khalid Hospital, Saudi Arabia," MPRA Paper 109453, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    15. Mahmood, Haider & Alkhateeb, Tarek Tawfik Yousef & Ahmed, Nawaz, 2017. "Impact of devaluation on Saudi oil exports: The J-Curve analysis," MPRA Paper 109454, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    16. Rizwan Zeb, 2013. "Pakistan and Afghanistan, 2014 and Beyond: Not Friends, Not Yet Enemies?," Journal of South Asian Development, , vol. 8(2), pages 165-183, August.
    17. Mahmood, Haider & Alkhateeb, Tarek Tawfik Yousef & Ahmed, Nawaz, 2017. "Impact of Devaluation on Industrial Exports in Saudi Arabia: J-Curve Hypothesis," MPRA Paper 109455, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Inflation; Openness; Cointegration; ARDL;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics

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