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Means-Tested Transfers in the US: Facts and Parametric Estimates

Author

Listed:
  • Nezih Guner

    (CEMFI)

  • Christopher Rauh

    (University of Cambridge)

  • Gustavo Ventura

    (Arizona State University)

Abstract

How large and important are means-tested transfers to working-age households in the United States? Using microdata from the Survey of Income and Program Participation, we document that a substantial share of households, more than one-third of them, receive transfers in a given year. Conditional on receipt, transfers average about $17,000 in 2016 dollars, exceeding one-fifth of mean household income. For households with no income, total conditional transfers amount to $26,500, nearly one-third of the mean household income. Transfers decline sharply with income but remain surprisingly widespread even in the middle and upper portions of the distribution. The system substantially compresses inequality, and its redistributive role has grown over time, driven largely by the expansion of Medicaid. Non-medical transfers are strongly countercyclical, and benefit reduction rates (the implicit tax rates on the first dollar earned) are significant. We provide parametric estimates of effective transfer functions by program, household type, and income level, ready for use in quantitative work in macroeconomics and public finance. (Copyright: Elsevier)

Suggested Citation

  • Nezih Guner & Christopher Rauh & Gustavo Ventura, 2026. "Means-Tested Transfers in the US: Facts and Parametric Estimates," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 61, August.
  • Handle: RePEc:red:issued:24-248
    DOI: 10.1016/j.red.2026.101348
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    2. Bergstrom, Katy & Dodds, William & Lacoste, Nicholas & Rios, Juan, 2026. "Estimating the welfare cost of labor supply frictions," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 253(C).
    3. Qiu, Xincheng & Russo, Nicolo, 2025. "Income Taxation Across Countries," IZA Discussion Papers 18190, IZA Network @ LISER.
    4. Alexandre Cunha & Guilherme Gallego & Marcelo Santos & Bernardus Van Doornik, 2026. "Labor Market Effects of Unemployment Insurance and UBI in Developing Economies," Working Papers Series 646, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.

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    JEL classification:

    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy; Modern Monetary Theory
    • H24 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue - - - Personal Income and Other Nonbusiness Taxes and Subsidies
    • H31 - Public Economics - - Fiscal Policies and Behavior of Economic Agents - - - Household

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