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Trajectoires de croissance et volatilité macroéconomique dans le Mercosur : quelques éléments d'analyse empirique

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  • Alexis Saludjian

Abstract

[eng] Alexis Saludjian — Growth trends and macro-economic volatility in the Mercosur : Some elements of empirical analysis.. To determine whether or not the nature of economic integration is a vector of macro- economic volatility, it is necessary to study the characteristics of different growth patterns in the countries of the Mercosur by bringing to light established trends. Such is the purpose of this article, which assesses the performance of the zone during the 1960-2002 period and analyses the strengths and limits of each growth pattern. The Mercosur and the modalities of its development between 1991 and 2003 are given special consideration by stressing the importance of pattern change and its impact as regards macro-economic volatility.

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  • Alexis Saludjian, 2004. "Trajectoires de croissance et volatilité macroéconomique dans le Mercosur : quelques éléments d'analyse empirique," Revue Tiers Monde, Programme National Persée, vol. 45(179), pages 595-615.
    • Handle: RePEc:prs:rtiers:tiers_1293-8882_2004_num_45_179_5511
    DOI: 10.3406/tiers.2004.5511
    Note: DOI:10.3406/tiers.2004.5511
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    1. Ricardo J.Caballero, 2001. "Macroeconomic volatility in Latin America: a view and three case studies," Estudios de Economia, University of Chile, Department of Economics, vol. 28(1 Year 20), pages 5-52, June.
    2. Hausmann, Ricardo & Gavin, Michael, 1996. "Securing Stability and Growth in a Shock Prone Region: The Policy Challenge for Latin America," IDB Publications (Working Papers) 6191, Inter-American Development Bank.
    3. Guillermo A. Calvo & Frederic S. Mishkin, 2003. "The Mirage of Exchange Rate Regimes for Emerging Market Countries," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 17(4), pages 99-118, Fall.
    4. Ricardo J. Caballero, 2000. "Macroeconomic Volatility in Latin America: A Conceptual Framework and Three Case Studies," Economía Journal, The Latin American and Caribbean Economic Association - LACEA, vol. 0(Fall 2000), pages 31-107, August.
    5. Ricardo Hausmann & Michael Gavin, 1996. "Securing Stability and Growth in a Shock Prone Region: The Policy Challenge for Latin America," Research Department Publications 4020, Inter-American Development Bank, Research Department.
    6. Ricardo J.Caballero, 2001. "Macroeconomic volatility in Latin America: a view and three case studies," Estudios de Economia, University of Chile, Department of Economics, vol. 28(1 Year 20), pages 5-52, June.
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    1. Alexis Saludjian, 2005. "Le modèle de la croissance excluante et l'insécurité économique dans le Mercosur depuis 1990," Revue Tiers-Monde, Armand Colin, vol. 0(4), pages 883-905.
    2. Saludjian, Alexis, 2007. "Le Régime d’accumulation dans le Cône Sud-Americain depuis les années 1990," Revue de la Régulation - Capitalisme, institutions, pouvoirs, Association Recherche et Régulation, vol. 1.
    3. Alexis Saludjian, 2007. "Le Régime d'Accumulation dans le Cône Sud-Americain depuis les années 1990. Crise de régulation ou crise d'accumulation ?," Post-Print halshs-00199770, HAL.

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