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Does network topology influence systemic risk contribution? A perspective from the industry indices in Chinese stock market

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  • Haiming Long
  • Ji Zhang
  • Nengyu Tang

Abstract

This study considers the effect of an industry’s network topology on its systemic risk contribution to the stock market using data from the CSI 300 two-tier industry indices from the Chinese stock market. We first measure industry’s conditional-value-at-risk (CoVaR) and the systemic risk contribution (ΔCoVaR) using the fitted time-varying t-copula function. The network of the stock industry is established based on dynamic conditional correlations with the minimum spanning tree. Then, we investigate the connection characteristics and topology of the network. Finally, we utilize seemingly unrelated regression estimation (SUR) of panel data to analyze the relationship between network topology of the stock industry and the industry’s systemic risk contribution. The results show that the systemic risk contribution of small-scale industries such as real estate, food and beverage, software services, and durable goods and clothing, is higher than that of large-scale industries, such as banking, insurance and energy. Industries with large betweenness centrality, closeness centrality, and clustering coefficient and small node occupancy layer are associated with greater systemic risk contribution. In addition, further analysis using a threshold model confirms that the results are robust.

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  • Haiming Long & Ji Zhang & Nengyu Tang, 2017. "Does network topology influence systemic risk contribution? A perspective from the industry indices in Chinese stock market," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 12(7), pages 1-19, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:plo:pone00:0180382
    DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0180382
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    2. Xie, Yiwei & Jiao, Feng & Li, Shihan & Liu, Qingfu & Tse, Yiuman, 2022. "Systemic risk in financial institutions: A multiplex network approach," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    3. Hongxing Yao & Yanyu Lu & Bilal Ahmed Memon, 2019. "Impact of US-China Trade War on the Network Topology Structure of Chinese Stock Market," Journal of Asian Business Strategy, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 9(2), pages 235-250, December.
    4. Yang, Ming-Yuan & Wang, Chengjin & Wu, Zhen-Guo & Wu, Xin & Zheng, Chengsi, 2023. "Influential risk spreaders and their contribution to the systemic risk in the cryptocurrency network," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
    5. Bentian Li & Dechang Pi, 2018. "Analysis of global stock index data during crisis period via complex network approach," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 13(7), pages 1-16, July.
    6. Wu, Shan & Tong, Mu & Yang, Zhongyi & Zhang, Tianyi, 2021. "Interconnectedness, systemic risk, and the influencing factors: Some evidence from China’s financial institutions," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 569(C).
    7. Nie, Chun-Xiao & Song, Fu-Tie, 2023. "Stable versus fragile community structures in the correlation dynamics of Chinese industry indices," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 167(C).

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