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Momentum and Reversal: Does What Goes Up Always Come Down?

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  • Jennifer Conrad
  • M. Deniz Yavuzm

Abstract

The stocks in a momentum portfolio, which contribute to momentum profits, do not experience significant subsequent reversals. Conversely, stocks that do not contribute to momentum profits over the intermediate horizon exhibit subsequent reversals. Merging these separate securities into a single portfolio causes momentum and reversal patterns to appear linked. Stocks with momentum can be separated from those that exhibit reversal by sorting on size and book-to-market equity ratio. Controlling for proxies for behavioral biases, market illiquidity, and macroeconomic factors does not affect our results.

Suggested Citation

  • Jennifer Conrad & M. Deniz Yavuzm, 2017. "Momentum and Reversal: Does What Goes Up Always Come Down?," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 21(2), pages 555-581.
    • Handle: RePEc:oup:revfin:v:21:y:2017:i:2:p:555-581.
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1093/rof/rfw006
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Grinblatt, Mark & Titman, Sheridan & Wermers, Russ, 1995. "Momentum Investment Strategies, Portfolio Performance, and Herding: A Study of Mutual Fund Behavior," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 85(5), pages 1088-1105, December.
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    Cited by:

    1. Li, Lifang & Galvani, Valentina, 2018. "Market states, sentiment, and momentum in the corporate bond market," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 89(C), pages 249-265.
    2. Nicholas Apergis & Vasilios Plakandaras & Ioannis Pragidis, 2022. "Industry momentum and reversals in stock markets," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(3), pages 3093-3138, July.
    3. Chen, Tsung-Yu & Chou, Pin-Huang & Ko, Kuan-Cheng & Rhee, S. Ghon, 2021. "Non-parametric momentum based on ranks and signs," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 94-109.
    4. Li, Kai, 2021. "Nonlinear effect of sentiment on momentum," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    5. Hofmann, Daniel & Keiber, Karl Ludwig & Luczak, Adalbert, 2022. "Up and down together? On the linkage of momentum and reversal," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    6. Zhu, Zhaobo & Duan, Xinrui & Sun, Licheng & Tu, Jun, 2019. "Momentum and reversal: The role of short selling," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 104(C), pages 95-110.
    7. Papailias, Fotis & Liu, Jiadong & Thomakos, Dimitrios D., 2021. "Return signal momentum," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 124(C).
    8. Chou, Pin-Huang & Ko, Kuan-Cheng & Yang, Nien-Tzu, 2019. "Asset growth, style investing, and momentum," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 98(C), pages 108-124.
    9. Chen, Tsung-Yu & Chou, Pin-Huang & Hsieh, Chia-Hsun & Ghon Rhee, S., 2021. "Momentum life cycle, revisited," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 127(C).
    10. Ana Escribano & Francisco Jareño & Jose Ángel Cano, 2023. "Study of the leading European construction companies using risk factor models," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(3), pages 3386-3402, July.
    11. Joseph Engelberg & Linh Thompson & Jared Williams, 2020. "Stock market anomalies and baseball cards," The Financial Review, Eastern Finance Association, vol. 55(3), pages 461-479, August.
    12. Subrahmanyam, Avanidhar, 2018. "Equity market momentum: A synthesis of the literature and suggestions for future work," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 291-296.
    13. Christian Walkshäusl & Florian Weißofner & Ulrich Wessels, 2019. "Separating momentum from reversal in international stock markets," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 20(2), pages 111-123, March.
    14. Daniel Hofmann & Karl Ludwig Keiber, 2021. "Seasonalities in the German stock market," Financial Markets and Portfolio Management, Springer;Swiss Society for Financial Market Research, vol. 35(2), pages 151-192, June.
    15. Chen, Tsung-Yu & Chou, Pin-Huang & Yang, Nien-Tzu, 2020. "Momentum and reversals: Are they really separate phenomena?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 32(C).
    16. Ming‐Yu Liu, 2019. "Improving momentum strategies using residual returns and option‐implied information," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(4), pages 499-521, April.
    17. Jareño, Francisco & González, María de la O & Escolástico, Alba M., 2020. "Extension of the Fama and French model: A study of the largest European financial institutions," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 164(C), pages 115-139.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • D03 - Microeconomics - - General - - - Behavioral Microeconomics: Underlying Principles

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