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Az euró bevezetésének feltételei Magyarországon
[The conditions for introducing the euro in Hungary]

Author

Listed:
  • Neményi, Judit

Abstract

A 2004. májusi Európai Unióhoz való csatlakozás kapujában egyre több szó esik az euró bevezetésével járó lehetséges előnyökről és veszélyekről, valamint a közös valutaövezethez való csatlakozás időzítéséről. Ebben a cikkben azokat a feltételeket tárgyaljuk, amelyek teljesülése esetén a legnagyobb az esély arra, hogy a saját valuta és az önálló monetáris politika feladása ne jelentsen komoly veszteséget a gazdaságpolitika számára, hanem a kockázatok mérséklésén keresztül dinamizálja a magyar gazdaság felzárkózását, s tovább mélyítse az Európai Unió tagországaival már ma is magas szintű integrációt. A monetáris politikának korlátozottak a lehetőségei a tőkeáramlásokból eredő sokkok kezelésében, ami ösztönzi a mielőbbi euróövezeti csatlakozást. A tartós növekedési pálya és a magyar gazdaság szerkezeti jellemzői, az euró bevezetéséig várható sokkok jellege, valamint a kétezres évek elején bekövetkezett gazdaságpolitikai "kisiklás" - az egyensúlyi pályától való eltévelyedés - elkerülhetetlenül szükséges korrekcója ugyanakkor meghatározza a gazdaságpolitika mozgásterét a monetáris unióhoz való csatlakozás maastrichti kritériumainak teljesítését, az euró bevezetésének időzítését illetően. E tényezőket áttekintve arra lehet következtetni, hogy Magyarországon az euró 2007-2008. évi bevezetésének feltételei megteremthetők. Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) kód: E42, E48, F33

Suggested Citation

  • Neményi, Judit, 2003. "Az euró bevezetésének feltételei Magyarországon [The conditions for introducing the euro in Hungary]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(6), pages 479-504.
    • Handle: RePEc:ksa:szemle:617
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E42 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Monetary Systems; Standards; Regimes; Government and the Monetary System
    • F33 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Monetary Arrangements and Institutions

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