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A tudástermelési függvénytől a fejlesztéspolitikai hatáselemzésig
[From the knowledge production function to development policy-impact modelling]

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  • Varga, Attila

Abstract

Akadémiai székfoglaló előadásában a szerző - a kezdetektől a legfrissebb elemzésekig - végigköveti az elmúlt két évtized során kutatócsoportjaival kidolgozott földrajzi, makro- és regionális (Geographic, Macro and Regional, GMR) hatáselemző modellrendszer kifejlődését. A GMR modelleket számos esetben alkalmazták hazai és európai uniós vizsgálatokban a kohéziós politika, az innovációalapú fejlesztéspolitikák vagy a vállalkozásösztönzés regionális, nemzeti és EU-szintű hatásainak megbecslésére. A hatásokat többek között a GDP-re, a gazdasági növekedésre, a foglalkoztatottságra vagy a régiók közötti egyenlőtlenségek alakulására számítják ki. A GMR modellek sajátossága az, hogy (a nemzetközi gyakorlatban is egyedülállóan) mind regionális, mind nemzeti (és nemzetek feletti) szinten megbecsülik a hatásokat úgy, hogy a földrajzi tényezőket (szállítási költséget, agglomerációs hatásokat, régióközi migrációt, interregionális kereskedelmet, térbeli tudás-továbbterjedést) is beépítik az elemzésekbe. A szerző - követve a székfoglaló előadásban elhangzottakat - a GMR modellek elméleti alapjainak bemutatása után az integrált regionális és makrogazdasági hatás modellezésének kihívásait határozza meg, valamint azt, hogy a GMR modellek miként válaszolnak e kihívásokra. Végül a modellek képességeinek illusztrálására néhány, a közelmúltban készült intelligens szakosodási szimulációt ismertet.* Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) kód: C63, L26, M13, O10, R58.

Suggested Citation

  • Varga, Attila, 2020. "A tudástermelési függvénytől a fejlesztéspolitikai hatáselemzésig [From the knowledge production function to development policy-impact modelling]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(6), pages 537-556.
    • Handle: RePEc:ksa:szemle:1909
    DOI: 10.18414/KSZ.2020.6.537
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Varga, Attila & Sebestyén, Tamás & Szabó, Norbert, 2021. "Az intelligens szakosodási politika gazdasági hatásainak modellezése [Economic impact assessment of smart specialization policy]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(9), pages 901-929.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • C63 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Computational Techniques
    • L26 - Industrial Organization - - Firm Objectives, Organization, and Behavior - - - Entrepreneurship
    • M13 - Business Administration and Business Economics; Marketing; Accounting; Personnel Economics - - Business Administration - - - New Firms; Startups
    • O10 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - General
    • R58 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Regional Government Analysis - - - Regional Development Planning and Policy

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