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Költségvetési kiigazítás és növekedés az Európai Unióban. Tanulságok Magyarország számára
[Budget adjustment and growth in the European Union lessons for Hungary]

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  • Győrffy, Dóra

Abstract

A tanulmány a magyarországi költségvetési konszolidáció nehézségeinek kapcsán azt a kérdést vizsgálja, hogy mennyiben lehetséges külső nyomásra tartós kiigazítást végrehajtani, illetve megvalósítani a felzárkózást. A válaszhoz jó lehetőséget kínálnak az Európai Unió régi tagállamainak kiigazítási és növekedési tapasztalatai, mivel azonos külső kényszer mellett eltérő teljesítményt nyújtottak. A szerző megállapítja, hogy azok az országok bizonyultak igazán sikeresnek, amelyekben az államháztartási egyensúly melletti társadalmi konszenzuson alapuló, belső elkötelezettség az eurócsatlakozástól függetlenül is kialakult. Ezekben az országokban kiadásoldali konszolidációra több kormányzati cikluson keresztül is sor kerülhetett, míg a csupán euróövezeti tagságra pályázó országokban elsősorban bevételnövelő intézkedéseket hajtottak végre. Az eltérő kiigazítási stratégiák következtében az első csoport gazdaságaiban bizonyult tartósnak a konszolidáció, ami a növekedési teljesítményben is tükröződött. Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) kód: E62, H6, O11.

Suggested Citation

  • Győrffy, Dóra, 2008. "Költségvetési kiigazítás és növekedés az Európai Unióban. Tanulságok Magyarország számára [Budget adjustment and growth in the European Union lessons for Hungary]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(11), pages 962-986.
    • Handle: RePEc:ksa:szemle:1055
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    1. Kovács, Bernadett & Csuka, Gyöngyi, 2012. "The role of independent fiscal institutions in managing the European sovereign debt crisis: The case of the United Kingdom, Germany and Poland," MPRA Paper 40354, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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    JEL classification:

    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy; Modern Monetary Theory
    • H6 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt
    • O11 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development

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