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Crony Capitalism and Sovereign Default

  • Victor Vaugirard

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    Cronyism provides policymakers with marked incentives to repay sovereign debt. This takes place at the expense of the average citizen who bears both steep costs of debt repudiation and high costs of debt service, as clientelism increases both financial fragility and the debt burden. The paper sets up a model of strategic debt default that nails down this point, with political distortions and where a representative agent can dismiss the government and overrule its decision. Economic hard times provide an opportunity to implement reforms fighting clientelism, as the implicit coalition between groups of cronies may break down. A model is built along these lines, which highlights cross-country contagion of debt repudiation. Copyright Springer Science + Business Media, Inc. 2005

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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1007/s11079-005-5333-0
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    Article provided by Springer in its journal Open Economies Review.

    Volume (Year): 16 (2005)
    Issue (Month): 1 (January)
    Pages: 77-99

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    Handle: RePEc:kap:openec:v:16:y:2005:i:1:p:77-99
    Contact details of provider: Web page: http://www.springerlink.com/link.asp?id=100323

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    1. James A. Robinson & Thierry Verdier, 2013. "The Political Economy of Clientelism," Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 115(2), pages 260-291, 04.
    2. Laura E. Kodres & Matthew Pritsker, 2002. "A Rational Expectations Model of Financial Contagion," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 57(2), pages 769-799, 04.
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    4. Frank Gunter, 1991. "Thomas Jefferson on the repudiation of public debt," Constitutional Political Economy, Springer, vol. 2(3), pages 283-301, September.
    5. Seema Jayachandran & Michael Kremer, 2006. "Odious Debt," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 96(1), pages 82-92, March.
    6. Roberto Chang, 2005. "Financial Crises and Political Crises," NBER Working Papers 11779, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    7. Keefer, Philip, 2001. "When do special interests run rampant ? disentangling the role in banking crises of elections, incomplete information, and checks and balances," Policy Research Working Paper Series 2543, The World Bank.
    8. Tabellini, Guido, 1991. "The Politics of Intergenerational Redistribution," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 99(2), pages 335-57, April.
    9. Giannetti, Mariassunta, 2003. " Bank-Firm Relationships and Contagious Banking Crises," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 35(2), pages 239-61, April.
    10. Joseph H. Haslag & Rowena Pecchenino, 2005. "Crony Capitalism and Financial System Stability," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 43(1), pages 24-38, January.
    11. Di Gioacchino, Debora & Ginebri, Sergio & Sabani, Laura, 2000. " Bribery and Public Debt Repudiation," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 105(3-4), pages 303-21, December.
    12. Calvo, Guillermo A, 1988. "Servicing the Public Debt: The Role of Expectations," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 78(4), pages 647-61, September.
    13. Victor E. Vaugirard, 2004. "Informational Contagion of Sudden Stops in a Global Games Framework," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 15(2), pages 169-192, 04.
    14. Kumar, Manmohan S & Persaud, Avinash, 2002. "Pure Contagion and Investors' Shifting Risk Appetite: Analytical Issues and Empirical Evidence," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 5(3), pages 401-36, Winter.
    15. Raymond Fisman, 2001. "Estimating the Value of Political Connections," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 91(4), pages 1095-1102, September.
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