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Forecasting Travel on Congested Urban Transportation Networks: Review and Prospects for Network Equilibrium Models

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  • David Boyce


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    The historical origins, development and application of traffic network equilibrium models with variable origin–destination flows are examined in this review. The original formulation and analysis of this model during 1952–1955 by Beckmann, McGuire and Winsten at the Cowles Commission for Research in Economics is the starting point for the review. Subsequent research building upon the original formulation is described, and contrasted with urban travel forecasting practice stemming from the same period. Additional model developments through the end of the twentieth century are then summarized, followed by a brief discussion of travel forecasting practice and software development stimulated by the original formulation. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media, LLC 2007

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    Article provided by Springer in its journal Networks and Spatial Economics.

    Volume (Year): 7 (2007)
    Issue (Month): 2 (June)
    Pages: 99-128

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    Handle: RePEc:kap:netspa:v:7:y:2007:i:2:p:99-128
    DOI: 10.1007/s11067-006-9009-0
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    1. D E Boyce & K S Chon & Y J Lee & K T Lin & L J LeBlanc, 1983. "Implementation and Computational Issues for Combined Models of Location, Destination, Mode, and Route Choice," Environment and Planning A, , vol. 15(9), pages 1219-1230, September.
    2. Lam, William H. K. & Huang, Hai-Jun, 1992. "A combined trip distribution and assignment model for multiple user classes," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 26(4), pages 275-287, August.
    3. Train,Kenneth E., 2009. "Discrete Choice Methods with Simulation," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521766555, March.
    4. F. H. Knight, 1924. "Some Fallacies in the Interpretation of Social Cost," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, Oxford University Press, vol. 38(4), pages 582-606.
    5. H C W L Williams, 1977. "On the Formation of Travel Demand Models and Economic Evaluation Measures of User Benefit," Environment and Planning A, , vol. 9(3), pages 285-344, March.
    6. Lam, William H. K. & Huang, Hai-Jun, 1992. "Calibration of the combined trip distribution and assignment model for multiple user classes," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 26(4), pages 289-305, August.
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