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Identifying Bull and Bear Markets in Japan

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  • Mai Shibata

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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1007/s10690-011-9143-7
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    Article provided by Springer & Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering in its journal Asia-Pacific Financial Markets.

    Volume (Year): 19 (2012)
    Issue (Month): 2 (May)
    Pages: 99-117

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    Handle: RePEc:kap:apfinm:v:19:y:2012:i:2:p:99-117
    DOI: 10.1007/s10690-011-9143-7
    Contact details of provider: Web page: http://www.springer.com

    Web page: http://www.jafee.gr.jp/

    Order Information: Web: http://www.springer.com/finance/journal/10690/PS2

    Keywords: Bull and bear markets; Volatility; TOPIX; Markov switching model; Duration;

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    1. Gerhard Bry & Charlotte Boschan, 1971. "Cyclical Analysis of Time Series: Selected Procedures and Computer Programs," NBER Books, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number bry_71-1, 01.
    2. Maheu, John M & McCurdy, Thomas H, 2000. "Identifying Bull and Bear Markets in Stock Returns," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 18(1), pages 100-112, January.
    3. Gerhard Bry & Charlotte Boschan, 1971. "Foreword to "Cyclical Analysis of Time Series: Selected Procedures and Computer Programs"," NBER Chapters,in: Cyclical Analysis of Time Series: Selected Procedures and Computer Programs, pages -1 National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    4. Hamilton, James D, 1989. "A New Approach to the Economic Analysis of Nonstationary Time Series and the Business Cycle," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 57(2), pages 357-384, March.
    5. Akifumi Isogai & Satoru Kanoh & Toshifumi Tokunaga, 2008. "A further extension of duration-dependent models," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(5), pages 427-449.
    6. Harding, Don & Pagan, Adrian, 2003. "A comparison of two business cycle dating methods," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 27(9), pages 1681-1690, July.
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    Cited by:

    1. Mai Shibata, 2014. "The Influence of Japan’s Unsecured Overnight Call Rate on Bull and Bear Markets and Market Turns," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 21(4), pages 331-349, November.

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