IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/taf/eurjfi/v14y2008i5p427-449.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

A further extension of duration-dependent models

Author

Listed:
  • Akifumi Isogai
  • Satoru Kanoh
  • Toshifumi Tokunaga

Abstract

The duration dependence of stock market cycles has been investigated using the Markov switching model where the market conditions are unobservable. In conventional modeling, restrictions are imposed such that the transition probability is a monotonic function of duration, which is truncated at a certain value. This paper proposes a model that is free from these arbitrary restrictions and nests the conventional models. In the model, the parameters that characterize the transition probability are formulated in the state space. Empirical results from several stock markets show that the duration structures greatly differ depending on countries. These structures are not necessarily monotonic functions of duration and, therefore, cannot be described by the conventional models.

Suggested Citation

  • Akifumi Isogai & Satoru Kanoh & Toshifumi Tokunaga, 2008. "A further extension of duration-dependent models," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(5), pages 427-449.
  • Handle: RePEc:taf:eurjfi:v:14:y:2008:i:5:p:427-449
    DOI: 10.1080/13518470802042518
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/13518470802042518
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Mai Shibata, 2012. "Identifying Bull and Bear Markets in Japan," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 19(2), pages 99-117, May.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:taf:eurjfi:v:14:y:2008:i:5:p:427-449. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Chris Longhurst). General contact details of provider: http://www.tandfonline.com/REJF20 .

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service hosted by the Research Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis . RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.