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Twelve lessons from 'Key Technologies 2005': the French technology foresight exercise

Listed author(s):
  • Thomas Durand

    (CM International, France)

Registered author(s):

    The paper draws lessons from the French technology foresight exercise 'Key Technologies 2005'. It first describes the exercise as it took place: its context and objectives as well as the methodology that was adopted to identify, select and characterize 120 key technologies. Specifically, the paper describes the criteria used to select among the candidate key technologies, and then presents a specific tool which was developed to describe each technology (a characterization grid relating functional market needs and technological solutions to fulfil the generic need). Finally, twelve lessons are discussed. These deal with both the content of the foresight results and the methodology of running a technology foresight at national level. Copyright © 2003 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1002/for.856
    File Function: Link to full text; subscription required
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    Article provided by John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. in its journal Journal of Forecasting.

    Volume (Year): 22 (2003)
    Issue (Month): 2-3 ()
    Pages: 161-177

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    Handle: RePEc:jof:jforec:v:22:y:2003:i:2-3:p:161-177
    DOI: 10.1002/for.856
    Contact details of provider: Web page: http://www3.interscience.wiley.com/cgi-bin/jhome/2966

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    1. Nelson, Richard R. & Winter, Sidney G., 1993. "In search of useful theory of innovation," Research Policy, Elsevier, vol. 22(2), pages 108-108, April.
    2. Utterback, James M & Abernathy, William J, 1975. "A dynamic model of process and product innovation," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 3(6), pages 639-656, December.
    3. Durand, Thomas, 1992. "Dual technological trees: Assessing the intensity and strategic significance of technological change," Research Policy, Elsevier, vol. 21(4), pages 361-380, August.
    4. Clark, Kim B., 1985. "The interaction of design hierarchies and market concepts in technological evolution," Research Policy, Elsevier, vol. 14(5), pages 235-251, October.
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