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Multicriteria methods for technology foresight

Author

Listed:
  • Tommi Gustafsson

    (Helsinki University of Technology, Finland)

  • Ahti Salo

    (Helsinki University of Technology, Finland)

  • Ramakrishnan Ramanathan

    (College of Commerce and Economics, Sultan Qaboos University, Sultanate of Oman)

Abstract

In recent years, many countries have carried out foresight exercises to better exploit scientific and technological opportunities. Often, these exercises have sought to identify 'critical' or 'key' technologies or, more broadly, to establish research priorities. In this paper, we consider the potential of multicriteria decision-making methods in this kind of priority-determination and examine the limitations of these methods in the foresight context. We also provide results from a combined evaluation and foresight study where multicriteria methods were deployed to support the shaping of research and technology development activities in the Finnish forestry and forest industry. Copyright © 2003 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

Suggested Citation

  • Tommi Gustafsson & Ahti Salo & Ramakrishnan Ramanathan, 2003. "Multicriteria methods for technology foresight," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 22(2-3), pages 235-255.
  • Handle: RePEc:jof:jforec:v:22:y:2003:i:2-3:p:235-255
    DOI: 10.1002/for.850
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Doukas, Haris Ch. & Andreas, Botsikas M. & Psarras, John E., 2007. "Multi-criteria decision aid for the formulation of sustainable technological energy priorities using linguistic variables," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 182(2), pages 844-855, October.
    2. Doukas, Haris & Patlitzianas, Konstantinos D. & Psarras, John, 2006. "Supporting sustainable electricity technologies in Greece using MCDM," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 31(2), pages 129-136, June.
    3. repec:spr:grdene:v:24:y:2015:i:2:d:10.1007_s10726-014-9392-8 is not listed on IDEAS
    4. Franco, L. Alberto & Montibeller, Gilberto, 2010. "Facilitated modelling in operational research," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 205(3), pages 489-500, September.
    5. Doukas, Haris, 2013. "Modelling of linguistic variables in multicriteria energy policy support," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 227(2), pages 227-238.
    6. repec:spr:grdene:v:23:y:2014:i:1:d:10.1007_s10726-012-9328-0 is not listed on IDEAS

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