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A "Parallel Approach" Path to Estimating Collision Risk During Simultaneous Landings

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  • Arnold Barnett

    (Operations Research Center, Sloan School of Management, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, Massachusetts 02139-4307)

Abstract

Airport capacity could increase if, even during inclement weather, independent landings could occur on parallel runways only about half a mile apart. A key question about such operations is whether the collision risk they entail is acceptably low. Pursuing that issue, we explore a method for estimating the chance that a plane on final approach during instrument flight conditions will "blunder" in a way that could imperil nearby aircraft. We argue that the method could yield an attractive combination of high estimation accuracy and relatively low cost.

Suggested Citation

  • Arnold Barnett, 1999. "A "Parallel Approach" Path to Estimating Collision Risk During Simultaneous Landings," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 45(3), pages 382-394, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:inm:ormnsc:v:45:y:1999:i:3:p:382-394
    DOI: 10.1287/mnsc.45.3.382
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Robert E. Machol, 1995. "Thirty Years of Modeling Midair Collisions," Interfaces, INFORMS, vol. 25(5), pages 151-172, October.
    2. Arnold Barnett & Mary K. Higgins, 1989. "Airline Safety: The Last Decade," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 35(1), pages 1-21, January.
    3. Kenneth E. Geisinger, 1985. "Airspace Conflict Equations," Transportation Science, INFORMS, vol. 19(2), pages 139-153, May.
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    Cited by:

    1. Thomas R. Willemain, 2003. "Factors Influencing Blind Conflict Risk in En Route Sectors Under Free-Flight Conditions," Transportation Science, INFORMS, vol. 37(4), pages 457-470, November.

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