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Modeling Page Views Across Multiple Websites with an Application to Internet Reach and Frequency Prediction


  • Peter J. Danaher

    () (Melbourne Business School, The University of Melbourne, Carlton, Victoria 3053, Australia)


In this study, we develop a multivariate generalization of the negative binomial distribution (NBD). This new model has potential application to situations where separate NBDs are correlated, such as for page views across multiple websites. In turn, our page view model is used to predict the audience for Internet advertising campaigns. For very large Internet advertising schedules, a simple approximation to the multivariate model is also derived. In a test of nearly 3,000 Internet advertising schedules, the two new models are compared with some proprietary and nonproprietary models previously used for Internet advertising and are shown to be significantly more accurate.

Suggested Citation

  • Peter J. Danaher, 2007. "Modeling Page Views Across Multiple Websites with an Application to Internet Reach and Frequency Prediction," Marketing Science, INFORMS, vol. 26(3), pages 422-437, 05-06.
  • Handle: RePEc:inm:ormksc:v:26:y:2007:i:3:p:422-437

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    References listed on IDEAS

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    2. David A. Schweidel & Young-Hoon Park & Zainab Jamal, 2014. "A Multiactivity Latent Attrition Model for Customer Base Analysis," Marketing Science, INFORMS, vol. 33(2), pages 273-286, March.
    3. Peter J. Danaher & Janghyuk Lee & Laoucine Kerbache, 2010. "Optimal Internet Media Selection," Marketing Science, INFORMS, vol. 29(2), pages 336-347, 03-04.
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    20. David A. Schweidel & Peter S. Fader & Eric T. Bradlow, 2008. "A Bivariate Timing Model of Customer Acquisition and Retention," Marketing Science, INFORMS, vol. 27(5), pages 829-843, 09-10.


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