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Enhancing Environmental Policy Decisions in Korea and Japan Through AI-Driven Air Pollution Forecast

Author

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  • Yushin Kim

    (Major in Bio-Artificial Intelligence, Department of Computer Science and Engineering, Hanyang University, Ansan 15588, Republic of Korea)

  • Jungin Kim

    (Major in Bio-Artificial Intelligence, Department of Applied Artificial Intelligence, Hanyang University, Ansan 15588, Republic of Korea)

  • Sunghyun Cho

    (Department of Computer Science and Engineering, Hanyang University ERICA, Ansan 15588, Republic of Korea)

  • Hyein Sim

    (Major in Japanese Politics & Diplomacy, Department of Japanese Language and Culture, Hanyang University, Ansan 15588, Republic of Korea)

  • Ji-Young Kim

    (Major in Japanese Politics & Diplomacy, Department of Japanese Language and Culture, Hanyang University ERICA, Ansan 15588, Republic of Korea)

Abstract

(1) Background: Although numerous artificial intelligence (AI)-based air pollution prediction models have been proposed, research that links key pollution drivers, such as regional industrial facilities, to actionable policy recommendations is required. (2) Methods: This study employs the radial basis function (RBF) and spatial lag features to capture spatial interactions among regions, utilizing a transformer model for analysis. The model was trained on air quality and industrial data from South Korea (2010–2022) and Japan (2017–2020). (3) Results: The transformer model achieved a mean squared error of 0.045 for the Korean dataset and 0.166 for the Japanese dataset, outperforming benchmark models, including Support Vector Regression, neural networks, and the AutoRegressive Integrated Moving Average model. (4) Conclusions: By capturing complex spatial dynamics, the proposed model provides valuable insights that can assist policymakers in developing effective, data-driven strategies for air pollution reduction at the national and regional levels, thereby supporting the broader goals of sustainability through informed, equitable environmental interventions.

Suggested Citation

  • Yushin Kim & Jungin Kim & Sunghyun Cho & Hyein Sim & Ji-Young Kim, 2024. "Enhancing Environmental Policy Decisions in Korea and Japan Through AI-Driven Air Pollution Forecast," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(23), pages 1-20, November.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:16:y:2024:i:23:p:10436-:d:1531977
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Muhui Zhang, 2024. "Transboundary fine dust pollution in China and Korea: How has international politics impeded environmental negotiations?," Asia and the Pacific Policy Studies, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 11(1), January.
    2. Filip Arnaut & Vladimir Đurđević & Aleksandra Kolarski & Vladimir A. Srećković & Sreten Jevremović, 2024. "Improving Air Quality Data Reliability through Bi-Directional Univariate Imputation with the Random Forest Algorithm," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(17), pages 1-17, September.
    3. Forida Parvin & Shariful Islam & AKM Saiful Islam & Zakia Urmy & Shaharia Ahmed, 2020. "A Study on the Solutions of Environment Pollutions and Worker’s Health Problems Caused by Textile Manufacturing Operations," Biomedical Journal of Scientific & Technical Research, Biomedical Research Network+, LLC, vol. 28(4), pages 21831-21844, July.
    4. Diebold, Francis X & Mariano, Roberto S, 2002. "Comparing Predictive Accuracy," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 20(1), pages 134-144, January.
    5. Shihe Fu & V Brian Viard & Peng Zhang, 2021. "Air Pollution and Manufacturing Firm Productivity: Nationwide Estimates for China [Management and shocks to worker productivity]," The Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 131(640), pages 3241-3273.
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