IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jsusta/v16y2024i13p5460-d1423449.html

Study on Sustainable Operation Mechanism of Green Agricultural Supply Chain Based on Uncertainty of Output and Demand

Author

Listed:
  • Qianyi Wang

    (College of Economics and Management, Northeast Agricultural University, Harbin 150030, China
    School of Management, Heilongjiang University of Science and Technology, Harbin 150022, China)

  • Minghui Ni

    (College of Economics and Management, Heilongjiang Institute of Technology, Harbin 150006, China)

  • Wei Wen

    (College of Economics and Management, Northeast Agricultural University, Harbin 150030, China)

  • Ruijuan Qi

    (College of Economics and Management, Northeast Agricultural University, Harbin 150030, China)

  • Qiwen Zhang

    (College of Economics and Management, Northeast Agricultural University, Harbin 150030, China)

Abstract

A future trend in agricultural development is to promote the green transformation of agriculture and realize the transformation from extensive consumption to environmentally friendly consumption. However, in the process of circulating green agricultural products, the output and demand are uncertain, and the cooperation of various entities in the supply chain is unstable, which leads to the risk of interruptions to the supply chain, and then leads to ineffective supply chain operations for green agricultural products. Therefore, under the background of double uncertainty of output and demand, combined with CVaR theory and considering the risk avoidance degree of farmers, a Stackelberg game model of a “firm + farmer” two-level green agricultural product supply chain was constructed, and the supply coordination mechanism was studied. The results show that a benefit-sharing contract can effectively coordinate the supply chain of green agricultural products under the double uncertainty of output and demand and obtain optimal greenness, agricultural input, order quantity, and optimal inventory factors under centralized decision making. The optimal production decisions of farmers and the optimal pricing decisions of companies are obtained under decentralized decision making. The benefit-sharing contract is used to coordinate the supply chain, and the overall incomes of farmers, companies, and the supply chain improved after the coordination. The research results can enrich the relevant research on coordinating green agricultural products supply chains under the uncertainty of output and demand and provide a reference for ensuring the effective and stable operation of supply chains.

Suggested Citation

  • Qianyi Wang & Minghui Ni & Wei Wen & Ruijuan Qi & Qiwen Zhang, 2024. "Study on Sustainable Operation Mechanism of Green Agricultural Supply Chain Based on Uncertainty of Output and Demand," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(13), pages 1-17, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:16:y:2024:i:13:p:5460-:d:1423449
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/16/13/5460/pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/16/13/5460/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Dmitry Ivanov, 2024. "Two views of supply chain resilience," International Journal of Production Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 62(11), pages 4031-4045, June.
    2. Olivier Deschênes & Michael Greenstone, 2012. "The Economic Impacts of Climate Change: Evidence from Agricultural Output and Random Fluctuations in Weather: Reply," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 102(7), pages 3761-3773, December.
    3. Mikiko Cars & Emma West, 2015. "Education for sustainable society: attainments and good practices in Sweden during the United Nations Decade for Education for Sustainable Development (UNDESD)," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 17(1), pages 1-21, February.
    4. Qifan Hu & Qianyun Xu & Bing Xu, 2019. "Introducing of Online Channel and Management Strategy for Green Agri-food Supply Chain based on Pick-Your-Own Operations," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 16(11), pages 1-25, June.
    5. Grégoire Tallard & Marcel Adenäuer & Koen Deconinck & Gaëlle Gouarin, 2022. "Potential impact of dietary changes on the triple challenge facing food systems: Three stylised scenarios," OECD Food, Agriculture and Fisheries Papers 173, OECD Publishing.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Emmalee Gisslevik & Inga Wernersson & Christel Larsson, 2018. "Home Economics Teachers’ Perceptions of Facilitating and Inhibiting Factors When Teaching Sustainable Food Consumption," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(5), pages 1-16, May.
    2. Jonathan Colmer, 2013. "Climate Variability, Child Labour and Schooling: Evidence on the Intensive and Extensive Margin," GRI Working Papers 132, Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment.
    3. Jianhong Mu & Anne Wein & Bruce McCarl, 2015. "Land use and management change under climate change adaptation and mitigation strategies: a U.S. case study," Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Springer, vol. 20(7), pages 1041-1054, October.
    4. Cheng, Dongshu & Wei, Ying & Zhang, Mengchen & Wang, Chang, 2025. "The smart city pilot policy and corporate supply chain resilience," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
    5. Tu, Yubo & Hu, Lingyu & Hua, Xianglu & Li, Haohui, 2025. "Supply chain stability and corporate green technology innovation," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 97(C).
    6. Zhang, Hongliang & Antle, John, 2016. "Assessing Climate Vulnerability of Agricultural Systems Using High-order moments: A Case Study in the U.S. Pacific Northwest," 2016 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Boston, Massachusetts 236233, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    7. Mashkhura Babadjanova & Ihtiyor Bobojonov & Maksud Bekchanov & Lena Kuhn & Thomas Glauben, 2024. "Can domestic wheat farming meet the climate change-induced challenges of national food security in Uzbekistan?," International Journal of Water Resources Development, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 40(3), pages 448-462, May.
    8. Maria Waldinger, 2015. "The effects of climate change on internal and international migration: implications for developing countries," GRI Working Papers 192, Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment.
    9. Christian Hott & Judith Regner, 2023. "Weather extremes, agriculture and the value of weather index insurance," The Geneva Risk and Insurance Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Association for the Study of Insurance Economics (The Geneva Association), vol. 48(2), pages 230-259, September.
    10. Zhang, Justin Zuopeng & Dou, Junpeng & Liu, Yulong David & Nazrul, Asif & Behl, Abhishek, 2025. "Building resilient circular supply chains with blockchain: Exploring the impact of relationships and capabilities," Technovation, Elsevier, vol. 148(C).
    11. Yun, Seong Do & Gramig, Benjamin M & Delgado, Michael S. & Florax, Raymond J.G.M., 2015. "Does Spatial Correlation Matter in Econometric Models of Crop Yield Response and Weather?," 2015 AAEA & WAEA Joint Annual Meeting, July 26-28, San Francisco, California 205465, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    12. Chaijaroen, Pasita, 2019. "Long-lasting income shocks and adaptations: Evidence from coral bleaching in Indonesia," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 136(C), pages 119-136.
    13. Hongliang Zhang & John M. Antle, 2018. "Weather, Climate and Production Risk," IRENE Working Papers 18-01, IRENE Institute of Economic Research.
    14. Kaixing Huang, 2015. "The Economic Impacts of Global Warming on Agriculture: the Role of Adaptation," School of Economics and Public Policy Working Papers 2015-20, University of Adelaide, School of Economics and Public Policy.
    15. Cai, Qingyin & Çakır, Metin & Beatty, Timothy & Park, Timothy A., 2022. "Drought and the Specialty Crops Production in California," 2022 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Anaheim, California 322530, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    16. Leppänen, Simo & Solanko, Laura & Kosonen, Riitta, 2015. "Could climate change affect government expenditures? Early evidence from the Russian regions," BOFIT Discussion Papers 27/2015, Bank of Finland, Institute for Economies in Transition.
    17. Fang Qiu & Qifan Hu & Bing Xu, 2020. "Fresh Agricultural Products Supply Chain Coordination and Volume Loss Reduction Based on Strategic Consumer," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 17(21), pages 1-25, October.
    18. Riccardo Colacito & Bridget Hoffmann & Toan Phan, 2019. "Temperature and Growth: A Panel Analysis of the United States," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 51(2-3), pages 313-368, March.
    19. David Albouy & Walter Graf & Ryan Kellogg & Hendrik Wolff, 2016. "Climate Amenities, Climate Change, and American Quality of Life," Journal of the Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, University of Chicago Press, vol. 3(1), pages 205-246.
    20. Xun Su & Minpeng Chen, 2022. "Econometric Approaches That Consider Farmers’ Adaptation in Estimating the Impacts of Climate Change on Agriculture: A Review," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(21), pages 1-23, October.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:16:y:2024:i:13:p:5460-:d:1423449. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.