IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jsusta/v13y2021i23p13196-d690372.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Impact of Decentralization and Rail Network Extension on Future Traffic in the Bangkok Metropolitan Region

Author

Listed:
  • Masanobu Kii

    (Faculty of Engineering and Design, Kagawa University, Takamatsu 761-0396, Japan)

  • Varameth Vichiensan

    (Department of Civil Engineering & Center for Logistics Engineering Technology and Management, Faculty of Engineering, Kasetsart University, Bangkok 10900, Thailand)

  • Carlos Llorca

    (Department of Mobility Systems Engineering, Technical University of Munich, 80333 Munich, Germany)

  • Ana Moreno

    (Department of Mobility Systems Engineering, Technical University of Munich, 80333 Munich, Germany)

  • Rolf Moeckel

    (Department of Mobility Systems Engineering, Technical University of Munich, 80333 Munich, Germany)

  • Yoshitsugu Hayashi

    (Center for Sustainable Development and Global Smart City, Chubu University, Kasugai 487-8501, Japan)

Abstract

In many large cities in developing countries, investments in transportation infrastructure are insufficient for the growing population, resulting in chronic traffic congestion and overcrowding. The urban population of developing countries is expected to increase further toward the middle of this century, and urban planning and transportation policies that foresee future population changes and economic growth are necessary to make these cities more sustainable. Bangkok is one of the most congested metropolitan areas in the world, and transport projects such as the extension of the public transportation system are being implemented. However, due to the monocentric urban structure, both road and rail traffic is extremely congested during peak hours, which impedes some economic activities and personal interaction. In this study, we simulate the impact of urban and transportation measures in Bangkok from today to 2050. In addition to the expansion of the planned rail transit network, we evaluate the effects of a land use scenario in which sub-centers are established to develop a polycentric urban structure. The impact of alternative zoning and transportation policies and projects in Bangkok is discussed. Although this study is focused on Bangkok, the findings are assumed to be transferable to other large cities in developing countries.

Suggested Citation

  • Masanobu Kii & Varameth Vichiensan & Carlos Llorca & Ana Moreno & Rolf Moeckel & Yoshitsugu Hayashi, 2021. "Impact of Decentralization and Rail Network Extension on Future Traffic in the Bangkok Metropolitan Region," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(23), pages 1-24, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:13:y:2021:i:23:p:13196-:d:690372
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/13/23/13196/pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/13/23/13196/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. repec:oup:ecpoli:v:21:y:2006:i:46:p:263-310 is not listed on IDEAS
    2. Georgina Santos & Gordon Fraser, 2006. "Road pricing: lessons from London [‘The impact of congestion charging on vehicle emissions in London’]," Economic Policy, CEPR, CESifo, Sciences Po;CES;MSH, vol. 21(46), pages 264-310.
    3. Yuan Gao & Peter Newman, 2018. "Beijing’s Peak Car Transition: Hope for Emerging Cities in the 1.5 °C Agenda," Urban Planning, Cogitatio Press, vol. 3(2), pages 82-93.
    4. Hensher, David A. & Stopher, Peter & Bullock, Philip, 2003. "Service quality--developing a service quality index in the provision of commercial bus contracts," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 37(6), pages 499-517, July.
    5. Kingham, S. & Dickinson, J. & Copsey, S, 2001. "Travelling to work: will people move out of their cars," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 8(2), pages 151-160, April.
    6. David Levinson & Ajay Kumar, 1994. "The Rational Locator: Why Travel Times Have Remained Stable," Working Papers 199402, University of Minnesota: Nexus Research Group.
    7. Ibraeva, Anna & Van Wee, Bert & Correia, Gonçalo Homem de Almeida & Pais Antunes, António, 2021. "Longitudinal macro-analysis of car-use changes resulting from a TOD-type project: The case of Metro do Porto (Portugal)," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
    8. Yusak Susilo & Kees Maat, 2007. "The influence of built environment to the trends in commuting journeys in the Netherlands," Transportation, Springer, vol. 34(5), pages 589-609, September.
    9. Xu, Shu-Xian & Liu, Tian-Liang & Huang, Hai-Jun & Wang, David Z.W., 2021. "Optimizing the number of employment subcenters to decentralize a congested city," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    10. Witsarut Achariyaviriya & Yoshitsugu Hayashi & Hiroyuki Takeshita & Masanobu Kii & Varameth Vichiensan & Thanaruk Theeramunkong, 2021. "Can Space–Time Shifting of Activities and Travels Mitigate Hyper-Congestion in an Emerging Megacity, Bangkok? Effects on Quality of Life and CO 2 Emission," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(12), pages 1-19, June.
    11. Masanobu Kii & Yuki Goda & Varameth Vichiensan & Hiroyuki Miyazaki & Rolf Moeckel, 2021. "Assessment of Spatiotemporal Peak Shift of Intra-Urban Transportation Taking a Case in Bangkok, Thailand," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(12), pages 1-16, June.
    12. Marshall, Stephen & Banister, David, 2000. "Travel reduction strategies: intentions and outcomes," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 34(5), pages 321-338, June.
    13. Capurso, Mauro & Hess, Stephane & Dekker, Thijs, 2019. "Modelling the role of consideration of alternatives in mode choice: An application on the Rome-Milan corridor," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 129(C), pages 170-184.
    14. Ahmad, Sohail & Puppim de Oliveira, Jose A., 2016. "Determinants of urban mobility in India: Lessons for promoting sustainable and inclusive urban transportation in developing countries," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 106-114.
    15. Kii, Masanobu & Nakanishi, Hitomi & Nakamura, Kazuki & Doi, Kenji, 2016. "Transportation and spatial development: An overview and a future direction," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 148-158.
    16. Zhang, Wenjia & Kockelman, Kara M., 2016. "Congestion pricing effects on firm and household location choices in monocentric and polycentric cities," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 1-12.
    17. Redman, Lauren & Friman, Margareta & Gärling, Tommy & Hartig, Terry, 2013. "Quality attributes of public transport that attract car users: A research review," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 25(C), pages 119-127.
    18. Urbanek, Anna, 2021. "Potential of modal shift from private cars to public transport: A survey on the commuters’ attitudes and willingness to switch – A case study of Silesia Province, Poland," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
    19. Xiaoyan Li & Yanchuan Mou & Huiying Wang & Chaohui Yin & Qingsong He, 2018. "How Does Polycentric Urban Form Affect Urban Commuting? Quantitative Measurement Using Geographical Big Data of 100 Cities in China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(12), pages 1-14, December.
    20. Holmgren, Johan, 2007. "Meta-analysis of public transport demand," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 41(10), pages 1021-1035, December.
    21. Cools, Mario & Fabbro, Yannick & Bellemans, Tom, 2016. "Free public transport: A socio-cognitive analysis," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 96-107.
    22. Fujita, Masahisa & Ogawa, Hideaki, 1982. "Multiple equilibria and structural transition of non-monocentric urban configurations," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 12(2), pages 161-196, May.
    23. Kanaroglou, Pavlos S. & Higgins, Christopher D. & Chowdhury, Tufayel A., 2015. "Excess commuting: a critical review and comparative analysis of concepts, indices, and policy implications," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 13-23.
    24. Apantri Peungnumsai & Hiroyuki Miyazaki & Apichon Witayangkurn & Sohee Minsun Kim, 2020. "A Grid-Based Spatial Analysis for Detecting Supply–Demand Gaps of Public Transports: A Case Study of the Bangkok Metropolitan Region," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(24), pages 1-27, December.
    25. Satoshi Fujii & Ryuichi Kitamura, 2003. "What does a one-month free bus ticket do to habitual drivers? An experimental analysis of habit and attitude change," Transportation, Springer, vol. 30(1), pages 81-95, February.
    26. Robert E. Lucas & Esteban Rossi-Hansberg, 2002. "On the Internal Structure of Cities," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 70(4), pages 1445-1476, July.
    27. Shannon, Tya & Giles-Corti, Billie & Pikora, Terri & Bulsara, Max & Shilton, Trevor & Bull, Fiona, 2006. "Active commuting in a university setting: Assessing commuting habits and potential for modal change," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 13(3), pages 240-253, May.
    28. Banister, David, 2008. "The sustainable mobility paradigm," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 15(2), pages 73-80, March.
    29. Carlo V. Fiorio & Marco Percoco, 2007. "Would You Stick To Using Your Car Even If Charged? Evidence from Trento, Italy," Transport Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 27(5), pages 605-620, February.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Urbanek, Anna, 2021. "Potential of modal shift from private cars to public transport: A survey on the commuters’ attitudes and willingness to switch – A case study of Silesia Province, Poland," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
    2. Masanobu Kii & Yuki Goda & Varameth Vichiensan & Hiroyuki Miyazaki & Rolf Moeckel, 2021. "Assessment of Spatiotemporal Peak Shift of Intra-Urban Transportation Taking a Case in Bangkok, Thailand," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(12), pages 1-16, June.
    3. Redman, Lauren & Friman, Margareta & Gärling, Tommy & Hartig, Terry, 2013. "Quality attributes of public transport that attract car users: A research review," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 25(C), pages 119-127.
    4. Dorsa Alipour & Hussein Dia, 2023. "A Systematic Review of the Role of Land Use, Transport, and Energy-Environment Integration in Shaping Sustainable Cities," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(8), pages 1-29, April.
    5. Habibian, Meeghat & Kermanshah, Mohammad, 2013. "Coping with congestion: Understanding the role of simultaneous transportation demand management policies on commuters," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 229-237.
    6. Cass, Noel & Faulconbridge, James, 2016. "Commuting practices: New insights into modal shift from theories of social practice," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 1-14.
    7. Qihao Liu & Yuzheng Liu & Chia-Lin Chen & Enrica Papa & Yantao Ling & Mengqiu Cao, 2023. "Is It Possible to Compete With Car Use? How Buses Can Facilitate Sustainable Transport," Urban Planning, Cogitatio Press, vol. 8(3), pages 69-83.
    8. Toşa, Cristian & Sato, Hitomi & Morikawa, Takayuki & Miwa, Tomio, 2018. "Commuting behavior in emerging urban areas: Findings of a revealed-preferences and stated-intentions survey in Cluj-Napoca, Romania," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 78-93.
    9. Zhang, Wenjia & Kockelman, Kara M., 2016. "Optimal policies in cities with congestion and agglomeration externalities: Congestion tolls, labor subsidies, and place-based strategies," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 64-86.
    10. Kono, Tatsuhito & Nakajima, Kentaro & Ozane, Kanta, 2023. "Quantitative Impact Analysis of the Centralization of Firms in the Tokyo Metropolitan Area Considering Firm-to-Firm Trade Networks," MPRA Paper 117594, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    11. Xu, Shu-Xian & Liu, Tian-Liang & Huang, Hai-Jun & Wang, David Z.W., 2021. "Optimizing the number of employment subcenters to decentralize a congested city," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    12. Santos, Georgina & Behrendt, Hannah & Teytelboym, Alexander, 2010. "Part II: Policy instruments for sustainable road transport," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 28(1), pages 46-91.
    13. Alejandro Sánchez-Atondo & Leonel García & Julio Calderón-Ramírez & José Manuel Gutiérrez-Moreno & Alejandro Mungaray-Moctezuma, 2020. "Understanding Public Transport Ridership in Developing Countries to Promote Sustainable Urban Mobility: A Case Study of Mexicali, Mexico," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(8), pages 1-21, April.
    14. Du, Rui & Zheng, Siqi, 2020. "Agglomeration, housing affordability, and new firm formation: The role of subway network," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 48(C).
    15. Daniel Štraub, 2020. "The Effects of Fare-Free Public Transport: A Lesson from Frýdek-Místek (Czechia)," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(21), pages 1-15, November.
    16. Yao, Di & Xu, Liqun & Zhang, Chunqin & Li, Jinpei, 2021. "Revisiting the interactions between bus service quality, car ownership and mode use: A case study in Changzhou, China," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 154(C), pages 329-344.
    17. Katrin Lättman & Margareta Friman & Lars E. Olsson, 2016. "Perceived Accessibility of Public Transport as a Potential Indicator of Social Inclusion," Social Inclusion, Cogitatio Press, vol. 4(3), pages 36-45.
    18. Eriksson, Lars & Friman, Margareta & Gärling, Tommy, 2013. "Perceived attributes of bus and car mediating satisfaction with the work commute," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 87-96.
    19. Paula Vicente & Elizabeth Reis, 2016. "Profiling public transport users through perceptions about public transport providers and satisfaction with the public transport service," Public Transport, Springer, vol. 8(3), pages 387-403, December.
    20. Haotian Zhong & Wei Li, 2023. "What if autonomous vehicles had been introduced into cities? A counterfactual analysis," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 60(16), pages 3198-3215, December.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:13:y:2021:i:23:p:13196-:d:690372. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.