IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jsusta/v13y2021i19p10902-d647421.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Demographic Resilience in the Rural Area of Romania. A Statistical-Territorial Approach of the Last Hundred Years

Author

Listed:
  • Ionel Muntele

    (Faculty of Geography and Geology, Alexandru Ioan Cuza University of Iasi, 700505 Iași, Romania
    Center of Geographical Studies, Romanian Academy, 700505 Iași, Romania)

  • Marinela Istrate

    (Faculty of Geography and Geology, Alexandru Ioan Cuza University of Iasi, 700505 Iași, Romania)

  • Raluca Ioana Horea-Șerban

    (Faculty of Geography and Geology, Alexandru Ioan Cuza University of Iasi, 700505 Iași, Romania)

  • Alexandru Banica

    (Faculty of Geography and Geology, Alexandru Ioan Cuza University of Iasi, 700505 Iași, Romania
    Center of Geographical Studies, Romanian Academy, 700505 Iași, Romania)

Abstract

The deep demographic crisis that Romania has been going through, like most Eastern European states, requires complex analyses. The present study aims at analyzing the numerical evolution of the rural population of Romania, extended for more than 100 years (1912–2020), on the basis of which a multivariate analysis was subsequently performed. The manifestation of specific patterns of territorial evolution and the identification of the incidence of some physical–geographical and socio-economic factors are investigated by means of the dynamics of certain distinct processes, such as rural depopulation or ability to adapt to various transitions. The identification of the fragile and dynamic areas allows discussions on the need for public policies better oriented towards mending excesses, illustrated by the persistence of some gaps, in terms of access to basic services. At the same time, the identification of trends towards a shrinking population system, with an increasingly evident concentration of the population in peri-urban areas or along major transport routes, calls for specific policies geared more towards environmental management in depopulated and depopulating areas, or towards creating the conditions for sustainable spatial planning in high-density areas. For the time being, the disadvantaged areas are rather ignored, while the extension of metropolitan areas is rather chaotic and poorly regulated.

Suggested Citation

  • Ionel Muntele & Marinela Istrate & Raluca Ioana Horea-Șerban & Alexandru Banica, 2021. "Demographic Resilience in the Rural Area of Romania. A Statistical-Territorial Approach of the Last Hundred Years," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(19), pages 1-17, September.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:13:y:2021:i:19:p:10902-:d:647421
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/13/19/10902/pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/13/19/10902/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Paul Krugman & Anthony J. Venables, 1995. "Globalization and the Inequality of Nations," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 110(4), pages 857-880.
    2. Ana-Maria ZAMFIR, 2017. "Urban-Rural Educational Inequalities and Human Capital Polarization in Romania," Revista romaneasca pentru educatie multidimensionala - Journal for Multidimensional Education, Editura Lumen, Department of Economics, vol. 9(3), pages 156-164, December.
    3. Lamara HADJOU & Marie Noëlle DUQUENNE, 2013. "A Theoretical And Methodological Approach Of "Fragile" Areas: The Cases Of Greek Regions Crossed By The Egnatia Road," Regional Science Inquiry, Hellenic Association of Regional Scientists, vol. 0(2), pages 45-58, December.
    4. Massimo Cecchini & Sirio Cividino & Rosario Turco & Luca Salvati, 2019. "Population Age Structure, Complex Socio-Demographic Systems and Resilience Potential: A Spatio-Temporal, Evenness-Based Approach," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(7), pages 1-12, April.
    5. Ionuț Săvulescu & Bogdan-Andrei Mihai & Marina Vîrghileanu & Constantin Nistor & Bogdan Olariu, 2019. "Mountain Arable Land Abandonment (1968–2018) in the Romanian Carpathians: Environmental Conflicts and Sustainability Issues," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(23), pages 1-11, November.
    6. M. Ionita & P. Scholz & S. Chelcea, 2016. "Assessment of droughts in Romania using the Standardized Precipitation Index," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 81(3), pages 1483-1498, April.
    7. Stephen K. Wegren, 2016. "The Quest for Rural Sustainability in Russia," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 8(7), pages 1-18, June.
    8. repec:fth:iniesr:430 is not listed on IDEAS
    9. Wolfgang Lutz, 2014. "A Population Policy Rationale for the Twenty-First Century," Population and Development Review, The Population Council, Inc., vol. 40(3), pages 527-544, September.
    10. Alexandru Bănică & Marinela Istrate & Ionel Muntele, 2017. "Challenges for the Resilience Capacity of Romanian Shrinking Cities," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 9(12), pages 1-20, December.
    11. Tomaz Ponce DENTINHO & Cristina SERBANICA, 2020. "Space justice, demographic resilience and sustainability. Revelations of the evolution of the population hierarchy of the regions of Romania from 1948 to 2011," Eastern Journal of European Studies, Centre for European Studies, Alexandru Ioan Cuza University, vol. 11, pages 27-44, June.
    12. repec:hhs:iuiwop:430 is not listed on IDEAS
    13. Rodríguez-Soler, Rocío & Uribe-Toril, Juan & De Pablo Valenciano, Jaime, 2020. "Worldwide trends in the scientific production on rural depopulation, a bibliometric analysis using bibliometrix R-tool," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 97(C).
    14. István Horváth & Tamás Kiss, 2015. "Depopulating semi-periphery? Longer term dynamics of migration and socioeconomic development in Romania," Demográfia, Hungarian Demographic Research Institute, vol. 58(5), pages 91-132.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Mingming Li & Marko Milojevic & Dmitry Gura, 2024. "Development of methodology for evaluating sustainable rural development," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 26(8), pages 21237-21257, August.
    2. Agustín Dorta Rodríguez & Joana A. Quintela & Helena Albuquerque, 2025. "Sustainable Agritourism Heritage as a Response to the Abandonment of Rural Areas: The Case of Buenavista Del Norte (Tenerife)," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 17(19), pages 1-22, September.
    3. Karolina Józefowicz, 2025. "Population Aging and Economic Competitiveness in Polish Small Towns," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 17(10), pages 1-18, May.
    4. Marius-Ionuț Gordan & Elena Peț & Gabriela Popescu & Ioan Brad & Anda Ioana Milin & Tabita Cornelia Adamov & Ramona Ciolac & Anka Roxana Pascariu & Tiberiu Iancu, 2022. "Factors Influencing the Accommodation Prices of Romanian Rural Tourism," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(1), pages 1-22, December.
    5. Vladimir Malinić & Marko Sedlak & Filip Krstić & Marko Joksimović & Rajko Golić & Mirjana Gajić & Snežana Vujadinović & Dejan Šabić, 2025. "Land Cover Changes in the Rural Border Region of Serbia Affected by Demographic Dynamics," Land, MDPI, vol. 14(8), pages 1-35, August.
    6. Vlad STOICESCU & Catalin VRABIE & Teodora BITOIU, 2023. "Energy ecosystems layered over hydrogen valleys for sustainable smart communities. Strategic framework for the Green Deal Industrial Plan implementation in Romania," Smart Cities International Conference (SCIC) Proceedings, Smart-EDU Hub, Faculty of Public Administration, National University of Political Studies & Public Administration, vol. 11, pages 443-498, June.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Ionel Muntele & Marinela Istrate & Haralambie Athes & Alexandru Bănică, 2023. "An Overview of Population Dynamics in Romanian Carpathians (1912–2021): Factors, Spatial Patterns and Urban–Rural Disparities," Land, MDPI, vol. 12(9), pages 1-20, September.
    2. Kutuk, Yasin, 2022. "Inequality convergence: A world-systems theory approach," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 150-165.
    3. Rao, Amar & Sharma, Gagan Deep & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Hossain, Mohammad Razib & Dev, Dhairya, 2025. "Crude oil Price forecasting: Leveraging machine learning for global economic stability," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 216(C).
    4. Kopczewska Katarzyna, 2019. "Can public intervention improve local public sector economic performance? The analysis of Special Economic Zones in Poland," Central European Economic Journal, Sciendo, vol. 6(53), pages 221-245, January.
    5. David Greenaway & Johan Torstensson, 2000. "Economic Geography, Comparative Advantage and Trade within Industries: Evidence from the OECD," Journal of Economic Integration, Center for Economic Integration, Sejong University, vol. 15, pages 260-280.
    6. Elena Lasarte Navamuel & Fernando Rubiera Moroll & Dusan Paredes, 2014. "City size and household food consumption: demand elasticities in Spain," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 46(14), pages 1624-1641, May.
    7. Cigno, Alessandro & Rosati, Furio C. & Guarcello, Lorenzo, 2002. "Does Globalization Increase Child Labor?," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 30(9), pages 1579-1589, September.
    8. Picard, Pierre M. & Toulemonde, Eric, 2006. "Firms agglomeration and unions," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 50(3), pages 669-694, April.
    9. Roxana Hatos, 2021. "Graduates On Labour Market In Romania. Precarity Or Resilience?," Oradea Journal of Business and Economics, University of Oradea, Faculty of Economics, vol. 6(2), pages 21-28, September.
    10. Nunnenkamp, Peter, 1997. "Aufhol- und Abkopplungsprozesse im europäischen Binnenmarkt," Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy 1715, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    11. Ferdinando Monte & Stephen J. Redding & Esteban Rossi-Hansberg, 2018. "Commuting, Migration, and Local Employment Elasticities," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 108(12), pages 3855-3890, December.
    12. Stephen J. Redding, 2010. "The Empirics Of New Economic Geography," Journal of Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 50(1), pages 297-311, February.
    13. Wolfgang Keller, 2002. "Geographic Localization of International Technology Diffusion," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 92(1), pages 120-142, March.
    14. Donald R. Davis & David E. Weinstein, 2008. "A Search For Multiple Equilibria In Urban Industrial Structure," Journal of Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 48(1), pages 29-65, February.
    15. Sari Pekkala, 2002. "Migration and Individual Earnings in Finland: A Regional Perspective," Regional Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 36(1), pages 13-24.
    16. Shuangqing Sheng & Wei Song & Hua Lian & Lei Ning, 2022. "Review of Urban Land Management Based on Bibliometrics," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(11), pages 1-25, November.
    17. Miren Lafourcade & Jacques-François Thisse, 2011. "New Economic Geography: The Role of Transport Costs," Chapters, in: André de Palma & Robin Lindsey & Emile Quinet & Roger Vickerman (ed.), A Handbook of Transport Economics, chapter 4, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    18. T. Gries & R. Grundmann & I. Palnau & M. Redlin, 2017. "Innovations, growth and participation in advanced economies - a review of major concepts and findings," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 14(2), pages 293-351, April.
    19. He, Qing & Xue, Chang & Zhu, Chenqi, 2014. "Financial development and patterns of industrial specialization : Regional evidence from China," BOFIT Discussion Papers 12/2014, Bank of Finland, Institute for Economies in Transition.
    20. Polina Bugakova & Ilya Prakhov, 2020. "Regional Accessibility Of Higher Education In Russia," HSE Working papers WP BRP 58/EDU/2020, National Research University Higher School of Economics.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:13:y:2021:i:19:p:10902-:d:647421. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.