IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jsusta/v11y2019i3p648-d200963.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Economic Assessment of Autonomous Electric Microtransit Vehicles

Author

Listed:
  • Aybike Ongel

    (TUMCREATE Ltd., Singapore 138602, Singapore)

  • Erik Loewer

    (School of Management, Technical University of Munich, 85748 Garching, Germany)

  • Felix Roemer

    (TUMCREATE Ltd., Singapore 138602, Singapore
    Institute of Automotive Technology, Technical University of Munich, 85748 Garching, Germany)

  • Ganesh Sethuraman

    (TUMCREATE Ltd., Singapore 138602, Singapore
    Institute of Automotive Technology, Technical University of Munich, 85748 Garching, Germany)

  • Fengqi Chang

    (TUMCREATE Ltd., Singapore 138602, Singapore
    Institute of Automotive Technology, Technical University of Munich, 85748 Garching, Germany)

  • Markus Lienkamp

    (Institute of Automotive Technology, Technical University of Munich, 85748 Garching, Germany)

Abstract

There is rapidly growing interest in autonomous electric vehicles due to their potential in improving safety, accessibility, and environmental outcomes. However, their market penetration rate is dependent on costs. Use of autonomous electric vehicles for shared-use mobility may improve their cost competitiveness. So far, most of the research has focused on the cost impact of autonomy on taxis and ridesourcing services. Singapore is planning for island-wide deployment of autonomous vehicles for both scheduled and on-demand services as part of their transit system in the year 2030. TUMCREATE developed an autonomous electric vehicle concept, a microtransit vehicle with 30-passenger capacity, which can complement the existing bus transit system. This study aims to determine the cost of autonomous electric microtransit vehicles and compare them to those of buses. A total cost of ownership (TCO) approach was used to compare the lifecycle costs. It was shown that although the acquisition costs of autonomous electric vehicles are higher than those of their conventional counterparts, they can reduce the TCO per passenger-km up to 75% and 60% compared to their conventional counterparts and buses, respectively.

Suggested Citation

  • Aybike Ongel & Erik Loewer & Felix Roemer & Ganesh Sethuraman & Fengqi Chang & Markus Lienkamp, 2019. "Economic Assessment of Autonomous Electric Microtransit Vehicles," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(3), pages 1-18, January.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:11:y:2019:i:3:p:648-:d:200963
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/11/3/648/pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/11/3/648/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Bansal, Prateek & Kockelman, Kara M., 2017. "Forecasting Americans’ long-term adoption of connected and autonomous vehicle technologies," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 49-63.
    2. Ben Vermeulen & Jan Kesselhut & Andreas Pyka & Pier Paolo Saviotti, 2018. "The Impact of Automation on Employment: Just the Usual Structural Change?," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(5), pages 1-27, May.
    3. Bösch, Patrick M. & Becker, Felix & Becker, Henrik & Axhausen, Kay W., 2018. "Cost-based analysis of autonomous mobility services," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 76-91.
    4. Wadud, Zia, 2017. "Fully automated vehicles: A cost of ownership analysis to inform early adoption," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 101(C), pages 163-176.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Hörcher, Daniel & Tirachini, Alejandro, 2021. "A review of public transport economics," Economics of Transportation, Elsevier, vol. 25(C).
    2. Badia, Hugo & Jenelius, Erik, 2021. "Design and operation of feeder systems in the era of automated and electric buses," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 152(C), pages 146-172.
    3. Youssef Amry & Elhoussin Elbouchikhi & Franck Le Gall & Mounir Ghogho & Soumia El Hani, 2022. "Electric Vehicle Traction Drives and Charging Station Power Electronics: Current Status and Challenges," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(16), pages 1-30, August.
    4. Fabio Antonialli & Sylvie Mira-Bonnardel & Julie Bulteau, 2021. "Economic Assessment of Services with Intelligent Autonomous Vehicles: EASI-AV," Post-Print hal-04369852, HAL.
    5. Qingyun Tian & Yun Hui Lin & David Z. W. Wang, 2021. "Autonomous and conventional bus fleet optimization for fixed-route operations considering demand uncertainty," Transportation, Springer, vol. 48(5), pages 2735-2763, October.
    6. Hatzenbühler, Jonas & Cats, Oded & Jenelius, Erik, 2020. "Transitioning towards the deployment of line-based autonomous buses: Consequences for service frequency and vehicle capacity," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 138(C), pages 491-507.
    7. Sehyun Tak & Soomin Woo & Sungjin Park & Sunghoon Kim, 2021. "The City-Wide Impacts of the Interactions between Shared Autonomous Vehicle-Based Mobility Services and the Public Transportation System," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(12), pages 1-29, June.
    8. Ralf-Martin Soe & Jaanus Müür, 2020. "Mobility Acceptance Factors of an Automated Shuttle Bus Last-Mile Service," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(13), pages 1-18, July.
    9. Tirachini, Alejandro & Antoniou, Constantinos, 2020. "The economics of automated public transport: Effects on operator cost, travel time, fare and subsidy," Economics of Transportation, Elsevier, vol. 21(C).
    10. Zhou, Yirong & Liu, Xiaoyue Cathy & Grubesic, Tony, 2021. "Unravel the impact of COVID-19 on the spatio-temporal mobility patterns of microtransit," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 97(C).
    11. Sun, Shanshan & Wong, Yiik Diew & Rau, Andreas, 2020. "Economic assessment of a Dynamic Autonomous Road Transit system for Singapore," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Badia, Hugo & Jenelius, Erik, 2021. "Design and operation of feeder systems in the era of automated and electric buses," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 152(C), pages 146-172.
    2. Becker, Henrik & Becker, Felix & Abe, Ryosuke & Bekhor, Shlomo & Belgiawan, Prawira F. & Compostella, Junia & Frazzoli, Emilio & Fulton, Lewis M. & Guggisberg Bicudo, Davi & Murthy Gurumurthy, Krishna, 2020. "Impact of vehicle automation and electric propulsion on production costs for mobility services worldwide," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 138(C), pages 105-126.
    3. Kassens-Noor, Eva & Dake, Dana & Decaminada, Travis & Kotval-K, Zeenat & Qu, Teresa & Wilson, Mark & Pentland, Brian, 2020. "Sociomobility of the 21st century: Autonomous vehicles, planning, and the future city," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 99(C), pages 329-335.
    4. Elvik, Rune, 2020. "The demand for automated vehicles: A synthesis of willingness-to-pay surveys," Economics of Transportation, Elsevier, vol. 23(C).
    5. Tirachini, Alejandro & Antoniou, Constantinos, 2020. "The economics of automated public transport: Effects on operator cost, travel time, fare and subsidy," Economics of Transportation, Elsevier, vol. 21(C).
    6. Bridgelall, Raj & Stubbing, Edward, 2021. "Forecasting the effects of autonomous vehicles on land use," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 163(C).
    7. Compostella, Junia & Fulton, Lewis M. & De Kleine, Robert & Kim, Hyung Chul & Wallington, Timothy J., 2020. "Near- (2020) and long-term (2030–2035) costs of automated, electrified, and shared mobility in the United States," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 54-66.
    8. Militão, Aitan M. & Tirachini, Alejandro, 2021. "Optimal fleet size for a shared demand-responsive transport system with human-driven vs automated vehicles: A total cost minimization approach," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 151(C), pages 52-80.
    9. Wadud, Zia & Mattioli, Giulio, 2021. "Fully automated vehicles: A cost-based analysis of the share of ownership and mobility services, and its socio-economic determinants," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 151(C), pages 228-244.
    10. Jiang, Like & Chen, Haibo & Paschalidis, Evangelos, 2023. "Diffusion of connected and autonomous vehicles concerning mode choice, policy interventions and sustainability impacts: A system dynamics modelling study," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 141(C), pages 274-290.
    11. Simpson, Jesse R. & Mishra, Sabyasachee & Talebian, Ahmadreza & Golias, Mihalis M., 2019. "An estimation of the future adoption rate of autonomous trucks by freight organizations," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    12. Marletto, Gerardo, 2019. "Who will drive the transition to self-driving? A socio-technical analysis of the future impact of automated vehicles," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 139(C), pages 221-234.
    13. Gu, Yewen & Goez, Julio C. & Mario, Guajardo & Wallace, Stein W., 2019. "Autonomous vessels: State of the art and potential opportunities in logistics," Discussion Papers 2019/6, Norwegian School of Economics, Department of Business and Management Science.
    14. Hörcher, Daniel & Tirachini, Alejandro, 2021. "A review of public transport economics," Economics of Transportation, Elsevier, vol. 25(C).
    15. Almlöf, Erik & Nybacka, Mikael & Pernestål, Anna & Jenelius, Erik, 2022. "Will leisure trips be more affected than work trips by autonomous technology? Modelling self-driving public transport and cars in Stockholm, Sweden," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 165(C), pages 1-19.
    16. Fabio Antonialli & Sylvie Mira-Bonnardel & Julie Bulteau, 2021. "Economic Assessment of Services with Intelligent Autonomous Vehicles: EASI-AV," Post-Print hal-04369852, HAL.
    17. Eric Williams & Vivekananda Das & Andrew Fisher, 2020. "Assessing the Sustainability Implications of Autonomous Vehicles: Recommendations for Research Community Practice," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(5), pages 1-13, March.
    18. Taiebat, Morteza & Stolper, Samuel & Xu, Ming, 2019. "Forecasting the Impact of Connected and Automated Vehicles on Energy Use: A Microeconomic Study of Induced Travel and Energy Rebound," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 247(C), pages 297-308.
    19. Huang, Yantao & Kockelman, Kara M. & Quarles, Neil, 2020. "How will self-driving vehicles affect U.S. megaregion traffic? The case of the Texas Triangle," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    20. Mohamed Alawadhi & Jumah Almazrouie & Mohammed Kamil & Khalil Abdelrazek Khalil, 2020. "A systematic literature review of the factors influencing the adoption of autonomous driving," International Journal of System Assurance Engineering and Management, Springer;The Society for Reliability, Engineering Quality and Operations Management (SREQOM),India, and Division of Operation and Maintenance, Lulea University of Technology, Sweden, vol. 11(6), pages 1065-1082, December.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:11:y:2019:i:3:p:648-:d:200963. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.