IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jjrfmx/v18y2025i5p246-d1648008.html

“Feeling Stressed?” A Critical Analysis of the Regulatory Prescribed Stress Tests for Financial Services in the UK

Author

Listed:
  • Stavros Pantos

    (School of Law, Foxhill House, Whiteknights Road, University of Reading, Reading RG6 7BA, UK)

Abstract

This paper captures a qualitative review of the regulatory prescribed stress tests for UK financial services designed by the Bank of England and the Prudential Regulation Authority (PRA)/Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) after the Global Financial Crisis. It presents a critical analysis of the use of stress testing as part of supervisory practices for UK banking institutions and insurance undertakings, commenting on their qualitative characteristics, after looking at the regulatory prescribed stress tests from three key categories: the macroeconomic scenarios for banks, denoted as the bank stress tests (BST), the insurance stress tests (IST), and the biennial exploratory scenarios (BES). In this study, five trends describing regulatory prescribed stress are identified: (1) the regulatory collaboration, (2) cross-industry stress tests, (3) exploratory scenarios, (4) reporting and disclosure requirements, and (5) the underlying modelling capabilities and tools. The associated challenges of (A) governance, (B) frequency, (C) individual disclosures, (D) data and modelling, and (E) capabilities and skillset from participating institutions underpinning these stresses are highlighted, shaping the policy recommendations for future exercises. These address the gaps identified from existing stress tests towards the effective prudential supervision of UK financial services, based on each scenario category, for improvements and advances to practices.

Suggested Citation

  • Stavros Pantos, 2025. "“Feeling Stressed?” A Critical Analysis of the Regulatory Prescribed Stress Tests for Financial Services in the UK," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 18(5), pages 1-40, May.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jjrfmx:v:18:y:2025:i:5:p:246-:d:1648008
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/1911-8074/18/5/246/pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/1911-8074/18/5/246/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Richard J. Herring & Anthony M. Santomero, 2000. "What Is Optimal Financial Regulation?," Center for Financial Institutions Working Papers 00-34, Wharton School Center for Financial Institutions, University of Pennsylvania.
    2. Rodolfo Maino & Kalin Tintchev, 2013. "Stress Testing Interconnected Banking Systems," Palgrave Macmillan Books, in: Jonathan A. Batten & Peter MacKay & Niklas Wagner (ed.), Advances in Financial Risk Management, chapter 7, pages 148-180, Palgrave Macmillan.
    3. Kolari, James W. & López-Iturriaga, Félix J. & Sanz, Ivan Pastor, 2019. "Predicting European bank stress tests: Survival of the fittest," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 44-57.
    4. Pavel Kapinos & Oscar A. Mitnik, 2016. "A Top-down Approach to Stress-testing Banks," Journal of Financial Services Research, Springer;Western Finance Association, vol. 49(2), pages 229-264, June.
    5. Susan Black & Anthony Brassil & Mark Hack, 2010. "The Impact of the Financial Crisis on the Bond Market," RBA Bulletin (Print copy discontinued), Reserve Bank of Australia, pages 55-62, June.
    6. Borio, Claudio & Drehmann, Mathias & Tsatsaronis, Kostas, 2014. "Stress-testing macro stress testing: Does it live up to expectations?," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 12(C), pages 3-15.
    7. Breuer, Thomas & Summer, Martin, 2020. "Systematic stress tests on public data," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 118(C).
    8. Bakoush, Mohamed & Gerding, Enrico & Mishra, Tapas & Wolfe, Simon, 2022. "An integrated macroprudential stress test of bank liquidity and solvency," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
    9. Viral V. Acharya & Lasse H. Pedersen & Thomas Philippon & Matthew Richardson, 2017. "Measuring Systemic Risk," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 30(1), pages 2-47.
    10. Goldstein, Itay & Leitner, Yaron, 2018. "Stress tests and information disclosure," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 177(C), pages 34-69.
    11. Kieran Dent & Ben Westwood & Miguel Segoviano, 2016. "Stress testing of banks: an introduction," Bank of England Quarterly Bulletin, Bank of England, vol. 56(3), pages 130-143.
    12. Cranston, Ross, 2002. "Principles of Banking Law," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, edition 2, number 9780199253319.
    13. Jan Willem van den End & Marco Hoeberichts & Mostafa Tabbae, 2006. "Modelling Scenario Analysis and Macro Stress-testing," DNB Working Papers 119, Netherlands Central Bank, Research Department.
    14. Schuermann, Til, 2014. "Stress testing banks," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 30(3), pages 717-728.
    15. Freixas, Xavier & Laeven, Luc & Peydró, José-Luis, 2015. "Systemic Risk, Crises, and Macroprudential Regulation," MIT Press Books, The MIT Press, edition 1, volume 1, number 0262028697, December.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Aikman, David & Angotti, Romain & Budnik, Katarzyna, 2024. "Stress testing with multiple scenarios: a tale on tails and reverse stress scenarios," Working Paper Series 2941, European Central Bank.
    2. Engle, Robert F. & Emambakhsh, Tina & Manganelli, Simone & Parisi, Laura & Pizzeghello, Riccardo, 2024. "Estimating systemic risk for non-listed Euro-area banks," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    3. Billio, Monica & Casarin, Roberto & Costola, Michele & Pasqualini, Andrea, 2016. "An entropy-based early warning indicator for systemic risk," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 42-59.
    4. Santiago Gamba & Oscar Jaulín & Angélica Lizarazo & Juan Carlos Mendoza & Paola Morales & Daniel Osorio & Eduardo Yanquen, 2017. "SYSMO I: A Systemic Stress Model for the Colombian Financial System," Borradores de Economia 1028, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    5. Matthew Pritsker, 2017. "Choosing Stress Scenarios for Systemic Risk Through Dimension Reduction," Supervisory Research and Analysis Working Papers RPA 17-4, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.
    6. Jondeau, Eric & Khalilzadeh, Amir, 2022. "Predicting the stressed expected loss of large U.S. banks," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
    7. Harun, Cicilia A. & Taruna, Aditya Anta & Ramdani,, 2021. "Capturing the nonlinear impact in distress state: Enhancing scenario design of stress test," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 265-288.
    8. Sahin, Cenkhan & de Haan, Jakob & Neretina, Ekaterina, 2020. "Banking stress test effects on returns and risks," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 117(C).
    9. Pliszka, Kamil, 2021. "System-wide and banks' internal stress tests: Regulatory requirements and literature review," Discussion Papers 19/2021, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    10. Lazzari, Valter & Vena, Luigi & Venegoni, Andrea, 2017. "Stress tests and asset quality reviews of banks: A policy announcement tool," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 32(C), pages 86-98.
    11. Joel Shapiro & Jing Zeng, 2024. "Stress Testing and Bank Lending," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 37(4), pages 1265-1314.
    12. repec:spo:wpmain:info:hdl:2441/7986np0ssj9fu9fg833t5dehhf is not listed on IDEAS
    13. Wang, Zheqi & Crook, Jonathan & Andreeva, Galina, 2020. "Reducing estimation risk using a Bayesian posterior distribution approach: Application to stress testing mortgage loan default," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 287(2), pages 725-738.
    14. Pacicco, Fausto & Vena, Luigi & Venegoni, Andrea, 2020. "Communication and financial supervision: How does disclosure affect market stability?," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 1-15.
    15. Hale, Galina & Lopez, Jose A., 2019. "Monitoring banking system connectedness with big data," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 212(1), pages 203-220.
    16. Petr Jakubik & Saida Teleu, 2024. "Do insurance stress tests matter? Evidence from the EU-wide insurance stress tests," Risk Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 26(3), pages 1-27, September.
    17. Daniel Quigley & Ansgar Walther, 2024. "Inside and Outside Information," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 79(4), pages 2667-2714, August.
    18. Mikhail Stolbov & Maria Shchepeleva, 2018. "Systemic risk in Europe: deciphering leading measures, common patterns and real effects," Annals of Finance, Springer, vol. 14(1), pages 49-91, February.
    19. Lilit Popoyan, 2020. "Macroprudential Policy: a Blessing or a Curse?," Review of Economics and Institutions, Università di Perugia, vol. 11(1-2).
    20. Wiersema, Garbrand & Kemp, Esti & Farmer, J. Doyne, 2026. "Liquidity spirals," Working Paper Series 3169, European Central Bank.
    21. Bank for International Settlements, 2016. "Literature review on integration of regulatory capital and liquidity instruments," BCBS Working Papers 30, Bank for International Settlements.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jjrfmx:v:18:y:2025:i:5:p:246-:d:1648008. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager The email address of this maintainer does not seem to be valid anymore. Please ask MDPI Indexing Manager to update the entry or send us the correct address (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.