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The Effects of the Clock and Kickoff Rule Changes on Actual and Market-Based Expected Scoring in NCAA Football

Author

Listed:
  • Kenneth Linna

    (Department of Economics, Finance, and Marketing, Auburn University at Montgomery, P.O. Box 244023, Montgomery, AL 36124, USA)

  • Evan Moore

    (Department of Economics, Finance, and Marketing, Auburn University at Montgomery, P.O. Box 244023, Montgomery, AL 36124, USA)

  • Rodney Paul

    (Department of Finance, Syracuse University, 810 Nottingham Road, Syracuse, NY 13224, USA)

  • Andrew Weinbach

    (Department of Finance and Economics, Coastal Carolina University, P.O. Box 261954, Conway, SC 29528-6054, USA)

Abstract

Clock rule changes were introduced in the 2006 season with the goal of reducing the average duration of the game; these changes were reversed in 2007. In addition, in 2007 the kickoff rule was changed to create more excitement and potentially more scoring. We examine what happened to actual and expected scoring during these National Collegiate Athletic Association (NCAA) football seasons. The clock rule change in 2006 led to lower scoring which was not fully encompassed in the betting market, leading to significant returns to betting the under. Multiple rule changes in 2007 led to volatility in the betting market that subsided by season’s end.

Suggested Citation

  • Kenneth Linna & Evan Moore & Rodney Paul & Andrew Weinbach, 2014. "The Effects of the Clock and Kickoff Rule Changes on Actual and Market-Based Expected Scoring in NCAA Football," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 2(2), pages 1-14, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jijfss:v:2:y:2014:i:2:p:179-192:d:35174
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    Cited by:

    1. Lopez Michael J. & Matthews Gregory J., 2015. "Building an NCAA men’s basketball predictive model and quantifying its success," Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports, De Gruyter, vol. 11(1), pages 5-12, March.
    2. Moore, Evan, 2021. "A comment on Paul, Weinbach, and Wilson’s (2004) “Efficient markets, fair bets, and profitability in NBA totals 1995-96 to 2001-02”," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 26-29.

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