IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jeners/v17y2024i24p6437-d1548760.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

A Planning Method for Charging Station Based on Long-Term Charging Load Forecasting of Electric Vehicles

Author

Listed:
  • Boyu Xiang

    (School of Electronic and Information Engineering, Chongqing Three Gorges University, Wanzhou 404020, China)

  • Zhengyang Zhou

    (School of Electronic and Information Engineering, Chongqing Three Gorges University, Wanzhou 404020, China)

  • Shukun Gao

    (School of Electronic and Information Engineering, Chongqing Three Gorges University, Wanzhou 404020, China)

  • Guoping Lei

    (School of Electronic and Information Engineering, Chongqing Three Gorges University, Wanzhou 404020, China)

  • Zefu Tan

    (School of Electronic and Information Engineering, Chongqing Three Gorges University, Wanzhou 404020, China)

Abstract

During the planning and construction of electric vehicle charging stations (EVCSs), consideration of the long-term operating revenue loss for investors is often lacking. To address this issue, this study proposes an EVCS planning method that takes into account the potential loss of long-term operating revenues associated with charging facilities. First, the method combines the Bass model with electric vehicle (EV) user travel characteristics to generate a charging load dataset. Then, the cost of profit loss—which represents the EVCS utilization rate—is incorporated into the construction of the objective function. Additionally, a parallel computing method is introduced into the solution algorithm to generate the EVCS planning scheme. Finally, the cost-to-profit ratio of the EVCSs is used as a filtering condition to obtain the optimal EVCS planning scheme. The results show that the EVCS planning scheme considering the profit loss reduces the annual comprehensive cost by 24.25% and 16.93%, and increases the net profit by 22.14% and 24.49%, respectively, when compared to the traditional planning scheme under high and low oil prices. In particular, the charging station strategy proposed in this study has the best effect in the case of high oil prices.

Suggested Citation

  • Boyu Xiang & Zhengyang Zhou & Shukun Gao & Guoping Lei & Zefu Tan, 2024. "A Planning Method for Charging Station Based on Long-Term Charging Load Forecasting of Electric Vehicles," Energies, MDPI, vol. 17(24), pages 1-20, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jeners:v:17:y:2024:i:24:p:6437-:d:1548760
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/17/24/6437/pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/17/24/6437/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Liu, Ke & Liu, Yanli, 2023. "Stochastic user equilibrium based spatial-temporal distribution prediction of electric vehicle charging load," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 339(C).
    2. Frank M. Bass & Trichy V. Krishnan & Dipak C. Jain, 1994. "Why the Bass Model Fits without Decision Variables," Marketing Science, INFORMS, vol. 13(3), pages 203-223.
    3. Bampos, Zafeirios N. & Laitsos, Vasilis M. & Afentoulis, Konstantinos D. & Vagropoulos, Stylianos I. & Biskas, Pantelis N., 2024. "Electric vehicles load forecasting for day-ahead market participation using machine and deep learning methods," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 360(C).
    4. Tommaso Schettini & Mauro dell’Amico & Francesca Fumero & Ola Jabali & Federico Malucelli, 2023. "Locating and Sizing Electric Vehicle Chargers Considering Multiple Technologies," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(10), pages 1-16, May.
    5. Li, Chengzhe & Zhang, Libo & Ou, Zihan & Wang, Qunwei & Zhou, Dequn & Ma, Jiayu, 2022. "Robust model of electric vehicle charging station location considering renewable energy and storage equipment," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 238(PA).
    6. Cheng, Fang & Liu, Hui, 2024. "Multi-step electric vehicles charging loads forecasting: An autoformer variant with feature extraction, frequency enhancement, and error correction blocks," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 376(PB).
    7. Khan, Waqas & Somers, Ward & Walker, Shalika & de Bont, Kevin & Van der Velden, Joep & Zeiler, Wim, 2023. "Comparison of electric vehicle load forecasting across different spatial levels with incorporated uncertainty estimation," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 283(C).
    8. Wu, Xiaomei & Feng, Qijin & Bai, Chenchen & Lai, Chun Sing & Jia, Youwei & Lai, Loi Lei, 2021. "A novel fast-charging stations locational planning model for electric bus transit system," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 224(C).
    9. Li, Yanbin & Wang, Jiani & Wang, Weiye & Liu, Chang & Li, Yun, 2023. "Dynamic pricing based electric vehicle charging station location strategy using reinforcement learning," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 281(C).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Guo, Hongxia & Chen, Lingxuan & Wang, Zhaocai & Li, Lin, 2025. "Day-ahead prediction of electric vehicle charging demand based on quadratic decomposition and dual attention mechanisms," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 381(C).
    2. Wu, Jiabin & Li, Qihang & Bie, Yiming & Zhou, Wei, 2024. "Location-routing optimization problem for electric vehicle charging stations in an uncertain transportation network: An adaptive co-evolutionary clustering algorithm," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 304(C).
    3. Lai, Chun Sing & Chen, Dashen & Zhang, Jinning & Zhang, Xin & Xu, Xu & Taylor, Gareth A. & Lai, Loi Lei, 2022. "Profit maximization for large-scale energy storage systems to enable fast EV charging infrastructure in distribution networks," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 259(C).
    4. Wang, Song & Shi, Lefeng, 2024. "EV diffusion promotion analysis under different charging market structure," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 208(C).
    5. Qian, Tao & Liang, Zeyu & Shao, Chengcheng & Guo, Zishan & Hu, Qinran & Wu, Zaijun, 2025. "Unsupervised learning for efficiently distributing EVs charging loads and traffic flows in coupled power and transportation systems," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 377(PB).
    6. Yin, Linfei & Zhang, Yifan, 2024. "Particle swarm optimization based on data driven for EV charging station siting," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 310(C).
    7. Harasis, Salman & Khan, Irfan & Massoud, Ahmed, 2024. "Enabling large-scale integration of electric bus fleets in harsh environments: Possibilities, potentials, and challenges," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 300(C).
    8. Frank M. Bass, 2004. "Comments on "A New Product Growth for Model Consumer Durables The Bass Model"," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 50(12_supple), pages 1833-1840, December.
    9. Boud Verbrugge & Mohammed Mahedi Hasan & Haaris Rasool & Thomas Geury & Mohamed El Baghdadi & Omar Hegazy, 2021. "Smart Integration of Electric Buses in Cities: A Technological Review," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(21), pages 1-23, November.
    10. Yuri Peers & Dennis Fok & Philip Hans Franses, 2012. "Modeling Seasonality in New Product Diffusion," Marketing Science, INFORMS, vol. 31(2), pages 351-364, March.
    11. Constanza Fosco, 2012. "Spatial Difusion and Commuting Flows," Documentos de Trabajo en Economia y Ciencia Regional 30, Universidad Catolica del Norte, Chile, Department of Economics, revised Sep 2012.
    12. Youssef Amry & Elhoussin Elbouchikhi & Franck Le Gall & Mounir Ghogho & Soumia El Hani, 2022. "Electric Vehicle Traction Drives and Charging Station Power Electronics: Current Status and Challenges," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(16), pages 1-30, August.
    13. Guseo, Renato, 2016. "Diffusion of innovations dynamics, biological growth and catenary function," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 464(C), pages 1-10.
    14. Mohamed Abdel-Basset & Abduallah Gamal & Ibrahim M. Hezam & Karam M. Sallam, 2024. "Sustainability assessment of optimal location of electric vehicle charge stations: a conceptual framework for green energy into smart cities," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 26(5), pages 11475-11513, May.
    15. Toka, Agorasti & Iakovou, Eleftherios & Vlachos, Dimitrios & Tsolakis, Naoum & Grigoriadou, Anastasia-Loukia, 2014. "Managing the diffusion of biomass in the residential energy sector: An illustrative real-world case study," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 129(C), pages 56-69.
    16. Krishnan, Trichy V. & Feng, Shanfei & Jain, Dipak C., 2023. "Peak sales time prediction in new product sales: Can a product manager rely on it?," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 165(C).
    17. Najmeh Madadi & Azanizawati Ma’aram & Kuan Yew Wong, 2017. "A simulation-based product diffusion forecasting method using geometric Brownian motion and spline interpolation," Cogent Business & Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 4(1), pages 1300992-130, January.
    18. Brito, Thiago Luis Felipe & Islam, Towhidul & Stettler, Marc & Mouette, Dominique & Meade, Nigel & Moutinho dos Santos, Edmilson, 2019. "Transitions between technological generations of alternative fuel vehicles in Brazil," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
    19. Wedad Elmaghraby & Altan Gülcü & P{i}nar Keskinocak, 2008. "Designing Optimal Preannounced Markdowns in the Presence of Rational Customers with Multiunit Demands," Manufacturing & Service Operations Management, INFORMS, vol. 10(1), pages 126-148, June.
    20. Vakratsas, Demetrios & Kolsarici, Ceren, 2008. "A dual-market diffusion model for a new prescription pharmaceutical," International Journal of Research in Marketing, Elsevier, vol. 25(4), pages 282-293.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jeners:v:17:y:2024:i:24:p:6437-:d:1548760. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.