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Designing a Model for the Global Energy System—GENeSYS-MOD: An Application of the Open-Source Energy Modeling System (OSeMOSYS)

Author

Listed:
  • Konstantin Löffler

    (Workgroup for Infrastructure and Policy, TU Berlin, Straße des 17. Juni 135, 10623 Berlin, Germany
    Energy, Transport, and Environment, DIW Berlin, Mohrenstraße 58, 10117 Berlin, Germany)

  • Karlo Hainsch

    (Workgroup for Infrastructure and Policy, TU Berlin, Straße des 17. Juni 135, 10623 Berlin, Germany)

  • Thorsten Burandt

    (Workgroup for Infrastructure and Policy, TU Berlin, Straße des 17. Juni 135, 10623 Berlin, Germany)

  • Pao-Yu Oei

    (Workgroup for Infrastructure and Policy, TU Berlin, Straße des 17. Juni 135, 10623 Berlin, Germany
    Energy, Transport, and Environment, DIW Berlin, Mohrenstraße 58, 10117 Berlin, Germany
    German Advisory Council on Environment, SRU, Luisenstraße 46, 10117 Berlin, Germany)

  • Claudia Kemfert

    (Energy, Transport, and Environment, DIW Berlin, Mohrenstraße 58, 10117 Berlin, Germany
    German Advisory Council on Environment, SRU, Luisenstraße 46, 10117 Berlin, Germany
    Energy Economics and Sustainability, Hertie School of Governance, Friedrichstraße 180, 10117 Berlin, Germany)

  • Christian Von Hirschhausen

    (Workgroup for Infrastructure and Policy, TU Berlin, Straße des 17. Juni 135, 10623 Berlin, Germany
    Energy, Transport, and Environment, DIW Berlin, Mohrenstraße 58, 10117 Berlin, Germany)

Abstract

This paper develops a path for the global energy system up to 2050, presenting a new application of the open-source energy modeling system (OSeMOSYS) to the community. It allows quite disaggregate energy and emission analysis: Global Energy System Model (GENeSYS-MOD) uses a system of linear equations of the energy system to search for lowest-cost solutions for a secure energy supply, given externally defined constraints, mainly in terms of CO 2 -emissions. The general algebraic modeling system (GAMS) version of OSeMOSYS is updated to the newest version and, in addition, extended and enhanced to include e.g., a modal split for transport, an improved trading system, and changes to storages. The model can be scaled from small-scale applications, e.g., a company, to cover the global energy system. The paper also includes an application of GENeSYS-MOD to analyze decarbonization scenarios at the global level, broken down into 10 regions. Its main focus is on interdependencies between traditionally segregated sectors: electricity, transportation, and heating; which are all included in the model. Model calculations suggests that in order to achieve the 1.5–2 °C target, a combination of renewable energy sources provides the lowest-cost solution, solar photovoltaic being the dominant source. Average costs of electricity generation in 2050 are about 4 €cents/kWh (excluding infrastructure and transportation costs).

Suggested Citation

  • Konstantin Löffler & Karlo Hainsch & Thorsten Burandt & Pao-Yu Oei & Claudia Kemfert & Christian Von Hirschhausen, 2017. "Designing a Model for the Global Energy System—GENeSYS-MOD: An Application of the Open-Source Energy Modeling System (OSeMOSYS)," Energies, MDPI, vol. 10(10), pages 1-28, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jeners:v:10:y:2017:i:10:p:1468-:d:112841
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    decarbonization; energy system modeling; OSeMOSYS; renewables; energy policy; energy transition;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • Q - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics
    • Q0 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - General
    • Q4 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy
    • Q40 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - General
    • Q41 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Demand and Supply; Prices
    • Q42 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Alternative Energy Sources
    • Q43 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Energy and the Macroeconomy
    • Q47 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Energy Forecasting
    • Q48 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Government Policy
    • Q49 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Other

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