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The Role of Digital Finance in Shaping Agricultural Economic Resilience: Evidence from Machine Learning

Author

Listed:
  • Chun Yang

    (College of Management, Sichuan Agricultural University, Chengdu 611130, China)

  • Wangping Liu

    (College of Management, Sichuan Agricultural University, Chengdu 611130, China)

  • Jiahao Zhou

    (Research Institute of Electronic Science and Technology, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, Chengdu 611731, China)

Abstract

This study offers detailed recommendations on strengthening government support without harming digital finance benefits, especially in negatively affected areas, which is critical for enhancing the inclusiveness of the digital financial landscape and reducing social disparities. This paper uses year 2011–2022 panel data from China’s 31 provinces to empirically analyze digital finance’s effects, mechanisms, and heterogeneity on agricultural economy resilience with a two-way, fixed-effect model. It further explores each feature’s impacts using machine learning methodologies like the random forest, GBRT, SHAP value method, and ALE plot. The findings show that digital finance boosted agri-economy resilience, varying by food-producing status and marketization. Among all the features analyzed, government input, urbanization level, and planting structure emerged as the most critical factors influencing agri-economy resilience. Notably, government input negatively moderated this relationship. The ALE plot revealed non-linear effects of digital finance and planting structure on agri-economy resilience.

Suggested Citation

  • Chun Yang & Wangping Liu & Jiahao Zhou, 2024. "The Role of Digital Finance in Shaping Agricultural Economic Resilience: Evidence from Machine Learning," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 14(10), pages 1-15, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jagris:v:14:y:2024:i:10:p:1834-:d:1501836
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Yaru Cao & Yanjun Wang & Shenyu Xiao & Liming Xiao, 2025. "The Impact of Digital Financial Inclusion on the Construction of Agricultural Anti-Risk Capacity: Based on a Sample Analysis of 46 Prefecture-Level Cities in the Huaihe River Basin," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 15(6), pages 1-23, March.
    2. Jianling Qi & Juan Xu & Jing Jin & Shuting Zhang, 2025. "Digital Economy–Agriculture Integration Empowers Low-Carbon Transformation of Agriculture: Theory and Empirical Evidence," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 17(5), pages 1-20, March.
    3. Deyin Zhang & Daiyin Jiang & Bing He, 2025. "Empowering Agricultural Economic Resilience with Smart Supply Chain: Theoretical Mechanism and Action Path," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 17(7), pages 1-19, March.

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