IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/plo/pone00/0300601.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Spatio-temporal pattern and the evolution of the distributional dynamics of county-level agricultural economic resilience in China

Author

Listed:
  • Chengmin Li
  • Guoxin Yu
  • Haoyu Deng
  • Jian Liu
  • Dongmei Li

Abstract

Because the complexity of the external environment has put great pressure on the agricultural economy, making it vulnerable, it is necessary to promote a system of resilience in the agricultural economy so that Chinese agriculture can continue to persevere in the face of serious external uncertainties. Therefore, this paper investigates the spatio-temporal pattern and evolution of the distributional dynamics of China’s county-level agricultural economic resilience based on 2000–2020 data covering 2,545 counties. The results are as follows: first, from 2000 to 2020, the mean value of China’s county-level agricultural economic resilience showed an obvious upward trend, which indicates that China’s agricultural economy gradually increased its ability to resist risks and continued to develop in a favourable manner. Specifically, the county-level agricultural economic resilience index of the northeast region grew the most significantly, while the index of county units in the western region was relatively low. Second, the centre of gravity of the spatial distribution of China’s agricultural economic resilience gradually migrated to the northwest, showing a dominant direction from northeast to southwest and a tendency to develop from southeast to northwest. Third, the spatial differences in China’s agricultural economic resilience generally showed an upward trend, while county-level differences were the main source of the overall differences, followed by inter-provincial differences, inter-municipal differences and inter-regional differences. Additionally, the contribution of county-level differences to the overall differences fluctuated within the range of 54%-58%. Fourth, there is a possibility of localized convergence in China’s agricultural economic resilience, which is continuous in spatial effects and has obvious positively correlated spatial effects at different times and in different county spaces.

Suggested Citation

  • Chengmin Li & Guoxin Yu & Haoyu Deng & Jian Liu & Dongmei Li, 2024. "Spatio-temporal pattern and the evolution of the distributional dynamics of county-level agricultural economic resilience in China," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 19(5), pages 1-21, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:plo:pone00:0300601
    DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0300601
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0300601
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article/file?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0300601&type=printable
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1371/journal.pone.0300601?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Qifeng Yang & Pingyu Zhang & Yuxin Li & Jiachen Ning & Nanchen Chu, 2023. "Does the Policy of Decoupled Subsidies Improve the Agricultural Economic Resilience?—Evidence from China’s Main Corn Producing Regions," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(13), pages 1-23, June.
    2. Jiaxing Pang & Xue Li & Xiang Li & Ting Yang & Ya Li & Xingpeng Chen, 2022. "Analysis of Regional Differences and Factors Influencing the Intensity of Agricultural Water in China," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 12(4), pages 1-20, April.
    3. Saifi, Basim & Drake, Lars, 2008. "A coevolutionary model for promoting agricultural sustainability," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 65(1), pages 24-34, March.
    4. Xiaowen Wang & Meiyue Li, 2022. "Determinants of Regional Economic Resilience to Economic Crisis: Evidence from Chinese Economies," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(2), pages 1-25, January.
    5. Abboud, Ali & Betz, Michael R., 2021. "The local economic impacts of the oil and gas industry: Boom, bust and resilience to shocks," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 99(C).
    6. Guandong Song & Sheng Zhong & Liuguang Song, 2022. "Spatial Pattern Evolution Characteristics and Influencing Factors in County Economic Resilience in China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(14), pages 1-20, July.
    7. Ito, Junichi & Bao, Zongshun & Su, Qun, 2012. "Distributional effects of agricultural cooperatives in China: Exclusion of smallholders and potential gains on participation," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 37(6), pages 700-709.
    8. Cao, Kang Hua & Birchenall, Javier A., 2013. "Agricultural productivity, structural change, and economic growth in post-reform China," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 104(C), pages 165-180.
    9. Lino Briguglio & Gordon Cordina & Nadia Farrugia & Stephanie Vella, 2009. "Economic Vulnerability and Resilience: Concepts and Measurements," Oxford Development Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 37(3), pages 229-247.
    10. Ron Martin & Peter Sunley & Ben Gardiner & Peter Tyler, 2016. "How Regions React to Recessions: Resilience and the Role of Economic Structure," Regional Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(4), pages 561-585, April.
    11. Agnė Žičkienė & Rasa Melnikienė & Mangirdas Morkūnas & Artiom Volkov, 2022. "CAP Direct Payments and Economic Resilience of Agriculture: Impact Assessment," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(17), pages 1-24, August.
    12. Hui Zhang & Jing Li & Tianshu Quan, 2023. "Strengthening or Weakening: The Impact of an Aging Rural Workforce on Agricultural Economic Resilience in China," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 13(7), pages 1-16, July.
    13. Elias Giannakis & Adriana Bruggeman, 2017. "Determinants of regional resilience to economic crisis: a European perspective," European Planning Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 25(8), pages 1394-1415, August.
    14. Liangang Li & Pingyu Zhang & Xin Li, 2019. "Regional Economic Resilience of the Old Industrial Bases in China—A Case Study of Liaoning Province," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(3), pages 1-14, January.
    15. Ji, Xiaoqing & Liu, Shuai & Lang, Jingyi, 2022. "Assessing the impact of officials' turnover on urban economic efficiency: From the perspective of political promotion incentive and power rent-seeking incentive," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 82(PB).
    16. Ana Maria Corrales-Estrada & Loyda Lily Gómez-Santos & Cesar Augusto Bernal-Torres & Jaime Eric Rodriguez-López, 2021. "Sustainability and Resilience Organizational Capabilities to Enhance Business Continuity Management: A Literature Review," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(15), pages 1-25, July.
    17. Cheong, Tsun Se & Li, Victor Jing & Shi, Xunpeng, 2019. "Regional disparity and convergence of electricity consumption in China: A distribution dynamics approach," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    18. Artiom Volkov & Agnė Žičkienė & Mangirdas Morkunas & Tomas Baležentis & Erika Ribašauskienė & Dalia Streimikiene, 2021. "A Multi-Criteria Approach for Assessing the Economic Resilience of Agriculture: The Case of Lithuania," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(4), pages 1-16, February.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Guandong Song & Sheng Zhong & Liuguang Song, 2022. "Spatial Pattern Evolution Characteristics and Influencing Factors in County Economic Resilience in China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(14), pages 1-20, July.
    2. Yang Ban & Ying Wang & Xiaohong Chen & Liuqing Wei, 2022. "Synergistic Patterns of Urban Economic Efficiency and the Economic Resilience of the Harbin–Changchun Urban Agglomeration in China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(1), pages 1-21, December.
    3. Paolo Rizzi & Paola Graziano & Antonio Dallara, 2018. "A capacity approach to territorial resilience: the case of European regions," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 60(2), pages 285-328, March.
    4. Guozhu Li & Meichen Liu, 2022. "Spatiotemporal Evolution and Influencing Factors of Economic Resilience: Evidence from Resource-Based Cities in China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(16), pages 1-21, August.
    5. George J. XANTHOS & Evangelos N. DULUFAKIS, 2023. "Measurement Approaches Of Regional Economic Resilience: A Literature Review," Regional Science Inquiry, Hellenic Association of Regional Scientists, vol. 0(2), pages 47-59, June.
    6. Kaiming Cheng & Xinyu Wang & Shucheng Liu & Yanjie Zhuang, 2024. "Spatial differences and dynamic evolution of economic resilience: from the perspective of China’s eight comprehensive economic zones," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 57(2), pages 1-33, April.
    7. Pengyang Zhang & Yanmei Huang & Sipei Pan & Wanxu Chen & Hui Zhong & Ning Xu & Mingxing Zhong, 2022. "Does Resilience Exist in China’s Tourism Economy? From the Perspectives of Resistance and Recoverability," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(17), pages 1-21, August.
    8. Florin Oprea & Mihaela Onofrei & Dan Lupu & Georgeta Vintila & Gigel Paraschiv, 2020. "The Determinants of Economic Resilience. The Case of Eastern European Regions," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(10), pages 1-11, May.
    9. Wenjing Cui & Jing Chen & Tao Xue & Huawen Shen, 2021. "The Economic Resilience Cycle Evolution and Spatial-Temporal Difference of Tourism Industry in Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area from 2000 to 2019," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(21), pages 1-14, November.
    10. Tao Zhao & Jinwei Huo & Degang Yang & Xinhuan Zhang & Danni Lu & Mingjie Cui & Rongqian Lu & Yaning Chen, 2022. "Study on the Spatial Differentiation Characteristics and Influencing Factors of China’s Economic Resilience under Different Shocks," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(24), pages 1-15, December.
    11. Lisa Gianmoena & Vicente Rios, 2018. "The Determinants of Resilience in European Regions During the Great Recession: a Bayesian Model Averaging Approach," Discussion Papers 2018/235, Dipartimento di Economia e Management (DEM), University of Pisa, Pisa, Italy.
    12. Liangang Li & Shuoya Liu & Chen Li & Pingyu Zhang & Kevin Lo, 2022. "What Matters for Regional Economic Resilience Amid Multi Shock Situations: Structural or Agency? Evidence from Resource-Based Cities in China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(9), pages 1-18, May.
    13. Yuyun Hidayat & Titi Purwandari & Subiyanto & Sukono, 2021. "Identifying Unwanted Conditions through Chaotic Area Determination in the Context of Indonesia’s Economic Resilience at the City Level," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(9), pages 1-15, May.
    14. Nishi, Hiroshi, 2022. "Industrial sources and unevenness of regional employment resilience in Japan," MPRA Paper 113530, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    15. Liang Luo & Qi Nie & Yingying Jiang & Feng Luo & Jie Wei & Yong Cui, 2024. "Spatiotemporal Dynamics and Spatial Spillover Effects of Resilience in China’s Agricultural Economy," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 14(9), pages 1-24, September.
    16. Yi Xu & Jian Li & Yongcan Yan & Pengcheng Gao & Heng Xie, 2022. "Can Coordinated Development of Manufacturing and Information Communication Service Industries Boost Economic Resilience? An Empirical Study Based on China’s Provinces," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(17), pages 1-15, August.
    17. Decai Tang & Ziqian Zhao & Jiannan Li & Valentina Boamah, 2024. "Research on coupling coordination degree of digital finance and economic resilience in the Yangtze River Economic Belt," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 120(15), pages 14279-14309, December.
    18. Vassilis Monastiriotis & Ian R Gordon & Ioannis Laliotis, 2021. "Uneven geographies of economic recovery and the stickiness of individual displacement," Cambridge Journal of Regions, Economy and Society, Cambridge Political Economy Society, vol. 14(1), pages 157-178.
    19. Guandong Song & Chengli Tang & Sheng Zhong & Liuguang Song, 2024. "Multiscale study on differences in regional economic resilience in China," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 26(11), pages 29021-29055, November.
    20. Shenglan Ma & Junlin Huang, 2023. "Analysis of the spatio-temporal coupling coordination mechanism supporting economic resilience and high-quality economic development in the urban agglomeration in the middle reaches of the Yangtze Riv," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 18(2), pages 1-17, February.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:plo:pone00:0300601. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: plosone (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://journals.plos.org/plosone/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.