In Optimism We Trust? Explaining the Disconnect between Post-Election Optimism and Own-Firm Expectations
Author
Abstract
Suggested Citation
DOI: 10.29338/ph2025-02
Download full text from publisher
References listed on IDEAS
- Brent Meyer & Nicholas B. Parker & Xuguang Sheng, 2021.
"Unit Cost Expectations and Uncertainty: Firms' Perspectives on Inflation,"
FRB Atlanta Working Paper
2021-12a, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
- Brent Meyer & Xuguang Sheng, 2024. "Unit Cost Expectations and Uncertainty: Firms' Perspectives on Inflation," FRB Atlanta Working Paper 2021-12b, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
- Brent H. Meyer & Nicholas B. Parker & Xuguang Simon Sheng, 2021. "Unit Cost Expectations and Uncertainty: Firms' Perspectives on Inflation," Working Papers 2021-002, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting, revised Nov 2021.
- Susanto Basu & Brent Bundick, 2017.
"Uncertainty Shocks in a Model of Effective Demand,"
Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 85, pages 937-958, May.
- Susanto Basu & Brent Bundick, 2011. "Uncertainty Shocks in a Model of Effective Demand," Boston College Working Papers in Economics 774, Boston College Department of Economics, revised 01 Nov 2015.
- Susanto Basu & Brent Bundick, 2012. "Uncertainty shocks in a model of effective demand," Working Papers 12-15, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.
- Susanto Basu & Brent Bundick, 2012. "Uncertainty Shocks in a Model of Effective Demand," NBER Working Papers 18420, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Susanto Basu & Brent Bundick, 2014. "Uncertainty shocks in a model of effective demand," Research Working Paper RWP 14-15, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.
- Bartosz Mackowiak & Mirko Wiederholt, 2009.
"Optimal Sticky Prices under Rational Inattention,"
American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 99(3), pages 769-803, June.
- Maćkowiak, Bartosz & Wiederholt, Mirko, 2005. "Optimal sticky prices under rational inattention," SFB 649 Discussion Papers 2005-040, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
- Maćkowiak, Bartosz & Wiederholt, Mirko, 2009. "Optimal sticky prices under rational inattention," Working Paper Series 1009, European Central Bank.
- Mackowiak, Bartosz & Wiederholt, Mirko, 2007. "Optimal Sticky Prices under Rational Inattention," CEPR Discussion Papers 6243, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Mirko Wiederholt & Bartosz Mackowiak, 2005. "Optimal Sticky Prices under Rational Inattention," 2005 Meeting Papers 369, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Nicholas Bloom, 2009.
"The Impact of Uncertainty Shocks,"
Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 77(3), pages 623-685, May.
- Nicholas Bloom, 2007. "The Impact of Uncertainty Shocks," NBER Working Papers 13385, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
Most related items
These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.- Bachmann, Rüdiger & Born, Benjamin & Elstner, Steffen & Grimme, Christian, 2019.
"Time-varying business volatility and the price setting of firms,"
Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 101(C), pages 82-99.
- Bachmann, Rüdiger & Born, Benjamin & Grimme, Christian, 2013. "Time-Varying Business Volatility and the Price Setting of Firms," CEPR Discussion Papers 9702, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Ruediger Bachmann & Benjamin Born & Steffen Elstner & Christian Grimme, 2013. "Time-Varying Business Volatility and the Price Setting of Firms," NBER Working Papers 19180, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Bachmann, Rüdiger & Born, Benjamin & Elstner, Steffen & Grimme, Christian, 2013. "Time-varying business volatility, price setting, and the real effects of monetary policy," Working Papers 01/2013, German Council of Economic Experts / Sachverständigenrat zur Begutachtung der gesamtwirtschaftlichen Entwicklung.
- Bachmann, Rildiger & Born, Benjamin & Elstner, Steffen & Grimme, Christian, 2019. "Time-varying business volatility and the price setting of firms," Munich Reprints in Economics 78278, University of Munich, Department of Economics.
- Luca Gambetti & Dimitris Korobilis & John D. Tsoukalas & Francesco Zanetti, 2023.
"Agreed and Disagreed Uncertainty,"
Working Papers
2023_04, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow.
- Luca Gambetti & Dimitris Korobilis & John D. Tsoukalas & Francesco Zanetti, 2023. "Agreed and Disagreed Uncertainty," CAMA Working Papers 2023-11, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Luca Gambetti & Dimitris Korobilis & John Tsoukalas & Francesco Zanetti, 2023. "Agreed and Disagreed Uncertainty," Papers 2302.01621, arXiv.org.
- Luca Gambetti & Dimitris Korobilis & John D. Tsoukalas & Francesco Zanetti, 2023. "Agreed and Disagreed Uncertainty," Discussion Papers 2304, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
- Luca Gambetti & Dimitris Korobilis & John D. Tsoukalas & Francesco Zanetti, 2023. "Agreed and Disagreed Uncertainty," Working Paper series 23-01, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Luca Gambetti & Dimitris Korobilis & John D. Tsoukalas & Francesco Zanetti, 2025. "Agreed and Disagreed Uncertainty," Working Papers 2025_01, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow.
- Luca Gambetti & Dimitris Korobilis & John D. Tsoukalas & Francesco Zanetti, 2023. "Agreed and Disagreed Uncertainty," BCAM Working Papers 2206, Birkbeck Centre for Applied Macroeconomics.
- Luca Gambetti & Dimitris Korobilis & John D. & Francesco Zanetti, 2025. "Agreed and Disagreed Uncertainty," Working Papers No 02/2025, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
- Luca Gambetti & Dimitris Korobilis & John D. Tsoukalas & Francesco Zanetti, 2023. "Agreed and Disagreed Uncertainty," Economics Series Working Papers 999, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
- Luca Gambetti & Dimitris Korobilis & John D. Tsoukalas & Francesco Zanetti, 2023. "Agreed and Disagreed Uncertainty," CESifo Working Paper Series 10463, CESifo.
- Canales, Mario & Lopez-Martin, Bernabe, 2024. "Exchange rates, uncertainty, and price-setting: Evidence from CPI microdata," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
- Mario Canales & Bernabe Lopez-Martin, 2021. "Uncertainty, Risk, and Price-Setting: Evidence from CPI Microdata," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 908, Central Bank of Chile.
- Laura Veldkamp & Anna Orlik, 2016. "Understanding Uncertainty Shocks and the Role of the Black Swan," Working Papers 16-04, New York University, Leonard N. Stern School of Business, Department of Economics.
- Idriss Fontaine, 2021.
"Uncertainty and Labour Force Participation,"
Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 83(2), pages 437-471, April.
- Idriss Fontaine, 2020. "Uncertainty and Labour Force Participation," Post-Print hal-03119706, HAL.
- Wen Xu, 2016. "Estimation of Dynamic Panel Data Models with Stochastic Volatility Using Particle Filters," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 4(4), pages 1-13, October.
- Yoshito Funashima, 2022. "Economic policy uncertainty and unconventional monetary policy," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 90(3), pages 278-292, June.
- Miescu, Mirela & Rossi, Raffaele, 2021.
"COVID-19-induced shocks and uncertainty,"
European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
- Mirela Miescu & Raffaele Rossi, 2020. "COVID-19-Induced Shocks and Uncertainty," Economics Discussion Paper Series 2013, Economics, The University of Manchester, revised Aug 2021.
- Alessandri, Piergiorgio & Mumtaz, Haroon, 2019.
"Financial regimes and uncertainty shocks,"
Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 101(C), pages 31-46.
- Piergiorgio Alessandri & Haroon Mumtaz, 2014. "Financial Regimes and Uncertainty Shocks," Working Papers 729, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
- Piergiorgio Alessandri & Haroon Mumtaz, 2014. "Financial regimes and uncertainty shocks," BCAM Working Papers 1404, Birkbeck Centre for Applied Macroeconomics.
- Alessandro Paolo Rigamonti & Giulio Greco & Mariarita Pierotti & Alessandro Capocchi, 2024. "Macroeconomic uncertainty and earnings management: evidence from commodity firms," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 62(4), pages 1615-1649, May.
- Chen, Cheng & Senga, Tatsuro & Sun, Chang & Zhang, Hongyong, 2023.
"Uncertainty, imperfect information, and expectation formation over the firm’s life cycle,"
Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 140(C), pages 60-77.
- Cheng CHEN & Tatsuro SENGA & Chang SUN & Hongyong ZHANG, 2018. "Uncertainty, Imperfect Information, and Expectation Formation over the Firm's Life Cycle," Discussion papers 18010, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI).
- Cheng Chen & Tatsuro Senga & Chang Sun & Hongyong Zhang, 2020. "Uncertainty, Imperfect Information, and Expectation Formation over the Firm's Life Cycle," CESifo Working Paper Series 8468, CESifo.
- Arigoni, Filippo & Lenarčič, Črt, 2020. "The impact of trade policy uncertainty shocks on the Euro Area," MPRA Paper 100832, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Benhabib, Jess & Liu, Xuewen & Wang, Pengfei, 2016. "Endogenous information acquisition and countercyclical uncertainty," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 165(C), pages 601-642.
- Magnus Reif, 2020. "Macroeconomics, Nonlinearities, and the Business Cycle," ifo Beiträge zur Wirtschaftsforschung, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 87, September.
- Hong, T., 2021. "Revisiting the Trade Policy Uncertainty Index," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 2174, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
- Isoré, Marlène & Szczerbowicz, Urszula, 2017.
"Disaster risk and preference shifts in a New Keynesian model,"
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 97-125.
- Isoré, Marlène & Szczerbowicz, Urszula, 2015. "Disaster risk and preference shifts in a New Keynesian model," MPRA Paper 65643, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- M. Isor & Urzula Szczerbowicz, 2016. "Disaster Risk and Preference Shifts in a New Keynesian Model," Working papers 614, Banque de France.
- Marlène Isoré & Urszula Szczerbowicz, 2015. "Disaster Risk and Preference Shifts in a New Keynesian Model," Working Papers 2015-16, CEPII research center.
- Nicholas Bloom & Max Floetotto & Nir Jaimovich & Itay Saporta†Eksten & Stephen J. Terry, 2018.
"Really Uncertain Business Cycles,"
Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 86(3), pages 1031-1065, May.
- Nicholas Bloom & Max Floetotto & Nir Jaimovich & Itay Saporta-Eksten & Stephen J. Terry, 2012. "Really Uncertain Business Cycles," NBER Working Papers 18245, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Bloom, Nicholas & Floetotto, Max & Jaimovich, Nir & Saporta-Eksten, Itay & Terry, Stephen, 2013. "Really uncertain business cycles," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 51526, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Nicholas Bloom & Max Floetotto & Nir Jaimovich & Itay Saporta-Eksten & Stephen Terry, 2013. "Really Uncertain Business Cycles," CEP Discussion Papers dp1195, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE.
- Nicholas Bloom & Max Floetotto & Nir Jaimovich & Itay Saporta-Eksten & Stephen J. Terry, 2014. "Really Uncertain Business Cycles," Working Papers 14-18, Center for Economic Studies, U.S. Census Bureau.
- Øivind A. Nilsen & Magne Vange, 2019.
"Intermittent Price Changes in Production Plants: Empirical Evidence Using Monthly Data,"
Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 81(1), pages 98-122, February.
- Nilsen, Øivind A. & Vange, Magne, 2016. "Intermittent Price Changes in Production Plants: Empirical Evidence using Monthly Data," Discussion Paper Series in Economics 22/2016, Norwegian School of Economics, Department of Economics.
- Øivind Anti Nilsen & Magne Vange, 2018. "Intermittent Price Changes in Production Plants: Empirical Evidence Using Monthly Data," CESifo Working Paper Series 7145, CESifo.
- Niko Hauzenberger & Maximilian Bock & Michael Pfarrhofer & Anna Stelzer & Gregor Zens, 2018.
"Implications of macroeconomic volatility in the Euro area,"
Papers
1801.02925, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2018.
- Hauzenberger, Niko & Böck, Maximilian & Pfarrhofer, Michael & Stelzer, Anna & Zens, Gregor, 2018. "Implications of Macroeconomic Volatility in the Euro Area," Department of Economics Working Paper Series 6246, WU Vienna University of Economics and Business.
- Niko Hauzenberger & Maximilian Böck & Michael Pfarrhofer & Anna Stelzer & Gregor Zens, 2018. "Implications of Macroeconomic Volatility in the Euro Area," Department of Economics Working Papers wuwp261, Vienna University of Economics and Business, Department of Economics.
- Hauzenberger, Niko & Böck, Maximilian & Pfarrhofer, Michael & Stelzer, Anna & Zens, Gregor, 2018. "Implications of macroeconomic volatility in the Euro area," ESRB Working Paper Series 80, European Systemic Risk Board.
More about this item
Keywords
business survey; economic growth; optimism; policies;All these keywords.
JEL classification:
- C83 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Data Collection and Data Estimation Methodology; Computer Programs - - - Survey Methods; Sampling Methods
- D22 - Microeconomics - - Production and Organizations - - - Firm Behavior: Empirical Analysis
- D70 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making - - - General
Statistics
Access and download statisticsCorrections
All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:fip:a00068:99644. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.
If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.
If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .
If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Robert Sarwark (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/frbatus.html .
Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.